wxsniss Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Mesos leading the comeback here at 12z... that was a big boost up by Euro across CT/western MA. If mesos have any clue, that boost will propagate eastward in guidance tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Just now, Hoth said: ASCATT I pull for SCT, but if you need to rain for me to get nuked I will cheer for floating cars on I-95. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 31 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeesh, that's a brutal job by the Euro...look at how different 00z run was You're being kind... Internist I Don't Know strikes again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 12z euro 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 38 minutes ago, dryslot said: Euro last to the party for this one. I don't get why some were trying to give it credit on this one.....GFS had the right idea about the further east 50/50 in the first place, while Euro was trying to go HECS at day 5. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 12z GFS bufkit for BDL. This is pretty damn solid. Pretty impressive ratios too with that heavier lift EDIT: Ratios as high as 13:1 to 15:1 with that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 All kidding aside, GFS has closed the gap by a good margin. Euro still probably superior, but not like it was 5 years ago. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: All kidding aside, GFS has closed the gap by a good margin. Euro still probably superior, but not like it was 5 years ago. Yeah it's too bad that it's become more unreliable over the last couple years. I don't really see it better than the GFS anymore. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: All kidding aside, GFS has closed the gap by a good margin. Euro still probably superior, but not like it was 5 years ago. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 16 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: 12z euro La la lock it up. Unless 18z wants to go higher. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Yeah it's too bad that it's become more unreliable over the last couple years. I don't really see it better than the GFS anymore. Agree... While I still sometimes anxiously await the arrival of the Euro, I'm getting pretty comfortable dealing with the combo of the GFS & mesos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 I just roll with the NAVGEM... go Navy!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 8 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Yeah it's too bad that it's become more unreliable over the last couple years. I don't really see it better than the GFS anymore. I still see issues with both, but they're not the same. ex, the GFS has a subtle progressive/speed shearing bias. contrasting, the Euro tries for to expand ridging to a bit too earnestly through the mid range... These aren't completely obvious to anyone given a single run, but it's just something one might notice if they pour over a lot of cycles over extended periods - which no hobbyist in here every does that, huh ....haha kidding but yea 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Box following high-res guidance with more widespread 6-8... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWilly Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 The doomers have affected CNN it seems: "Boston and New York City are gearing up for their biggest snow of the season – and it’s not even that much" I agree Boston won't get as much but while 6-7 inches isn't historic, we have had many winters where such a storm was the biggest of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 The "heavy snow" in my previous forecast by BOX has been revised to just, "snow" 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 18z RAP continues to really amped up that leading band for the pike region....12z run had almost nothing for BOS prior to 09-10z but now it has like 3" of snow in that band by that point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 1 minute ago, WeatherWilly said: The doomers have affected CNN it seems: "Boston and New York City are gearing up for their biggest snow of the season – and it’s not even that much" I agree Boston won't get as much but while 6-7 inches isn't historic, we have had many winters where such a storm was the biggest of the season. looks more like a general 2-4", haven't really looked at NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z RAP continues to really amped up that leading band for the pike region....12z run had almost nothing for BOS prior to 09-10z but now it has like 3" of snow in that band by that point. It also has a little CJ band coming in from the ocean. Starts out as a weak inv trough type thing, but retros west as the boundary layer flow turns to E-ESE. That would move into ern areas and adjacent SNH and ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 38 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: 12z euro not sure why it seems every model has a area of lesser amounts near my area kind of weird you would think just west of here where the elevation lowers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: not sure why it seems every model has a area of lesser amounts near my area kind of weird you would think just west of here where the elevation lowers East slope enhancement vs shadowed? I also think sometimes the models are a bit off with topography 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Possibly driving from Brooklyn, CT to Brentwood, NH. What is timing of heaviest snow?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 The Graup has an issue, took the sea bus from ACK to BOS to fly to JFK tomorrow morning. the Graups gonna have issues and their ain’t a damn thing I can do about it, so Turks and Caicos won’t feel the wrath of the mountain of molten manhood tomorrow, the Graup ! 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Another bump up following good trends this afternoon... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 16 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: East slope enhancement vs shadowed? I also think sometimes the models are a bit off with topography The IVT tomorrow really would favor eastern slopes of ORH hills with that light easterly glide. The enhancement has been showing up on a lot of mesos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 9 minutes ago, The Graupler said: The Graup has an issue, took the sea bus from ACK to BOS to fly to JFK tomorrow morning. the Graups gonna have issues and their ain’t a damn thing I can do about it, so Turks and Caicos won’t feel the wrath of the mountain of molten manhood tomorrow, the Graup ! Doesn't sound like you have a very good strangle hold on the situation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Well I guess now is a good time to start watching radar trends across OH and PA...which is actually fun because there is some severe weather involved. TDS near Carlisle, OH. Hopefully the radar blossoms beautifully in the upcoming hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 21 minutes ago, The Graupler said: so Turks and Caicos won’t feel the wrath of the mountain of molten manhood tomorrow, the Graup ! Maybe you can swing thru Tolland instead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 18z NAM around BDL (or some place in Hartford County). Even a bit of a MAUL. Could certainly help with intense rates for a bit of a time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 State worker snow day tomorrow. Sweet 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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