WeatherWilly Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Wham Bam Thank You NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Needs a little more push, but a good lead fronto band. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nam trying for a slam band near us. Nice look along the pike with that northern band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Definitely nice to see the mesos amp up a little. Keep it going through 12z please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 8 to 12 on the Nam 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Just now, Ginx snewx said: 8 to 12 on the Nam Fingers crossed for you and the s and sw folks. A warning level storm which change the tenor nicely and then we can hope for March 4, and then maybe winter will have arrived for the rest of NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Fingers crossed for you and the s and sw folks. A warning level storm which change the tenor nicely and then we can hope for March 4, and then maybe winter will have arrived for the rest of NE. Nam amped up a bit and was a tic or two north this run, You want to see this ramp up some as we start to get inside 36 hrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Nam amped up a bit and was a tic or two north this run, You want to see this ramp up some as we start to get inside 36 hrs. Ramp up, but keep that mix line south of the CT coast. I do think that even if they do mix Tuesday morning the damage is already done in terms of snowfall. This also looks like a more pasty snow than powder? @ORH_wxman 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Ramp up, but keep that mix line south of the CT coast. I do think that even if they do mix Tuesday morning the damage is already done in terms of snowfall. This also looks like a more pasty snow than powder? @ORH_wxman I don’t think it looks that pasty until during the day on Tuesday. Soundings are keeping sfc temps in the upper 20s across most of CT during the best snows Monday night/predawn Tues. The south coast may be the exception where sfc temps creep closer to freezing. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 The NAM is in it's N-NW bias range ... but if it gets other support would naturally arouse confidence 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The NAM is in it's N-NW bias range ... but if it gets other support would naturally arouse confidence Yeah i certainly wouldn’t be forecasting NAM amounts here right now. It’s been the northern outlier since yesterday. It’s nice that it bumped north a little though instead of coming back toward consensus. RGEM is coming in now and not providing any support really. It did bump north but only marginally. It’s been consistently in the opposite spectrum as the furthest south model. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Gfs still paltry ern areas. Looks good srn and sw ct. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 ICON 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Looks like a nice event in CT. Good luck folks 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 If anything to take from this, Its been consistent. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 UkMET looks good for 4 to 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 I’ll gladly take the 7+ that the GFS and ICON are showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I’ll gladly take the 7+ that the GFS and ICON are showing. 36-48 hrs hours out and most of the guidance at 12z has a general 4-8/6-10 for the entire state. Hopefully, not much fluctuation from here on out, even a tick or 2 north and we should still do pretty well. I just had my second largest snowfall yesterday of 0.5". This one should Hopefully, at least double the seasonal snowfall here.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I’ll gladly take the 7+ that the GFS and ICON are showing. We’re going with 4-8” WCT leaving some wiggle room for crappy snow growth. A plowable event though is a win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Been pretty steady as she goes . West - cent CT looks pretty dang solid and I’d be feeling good to Garth and Steve as well . NE of there may see less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 6 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: Don't see any reason to change from 4-8 statewide, most of the overnight runs support and increase confidence in that. Still a bit of time to go some may have to adjust a tick up or down depending. Will be looking a bit closer tomorrow to see snow growth and bufkit and fine tune a bit OKX/BOX latest has nudged up numbers, we have a watch for Litchfield now. Tips fav, the Icon seems to be hitting that CT crack pipe at 6z, looks like 8-10 for the state, ha. 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’re going with 4-8” WCT leaving some wiggle room for crappy snow growth. A plowable event though is a win. Love the Southbury snow hole there, they know. At least there seems to be no red flags at this point....we actually have some wiggle room for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 HRRR, 3km nam, and href look very thumpy with impressive rates between 9pm and 3am 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’re going with 4-8” WCT leaving some wiggle room for crappy snow growth. A plowable event though is a win. Will probably take up our 2-4” zone since our 2” floor is looking low today (by design). Hopefully everyone ends up near the higher end on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Love the Southbury snow hole there, they know. At least there seems to be no red flags at this point....we actually have some wiggle room for a change. Yea lol what’s up with that… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 9 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: HRRR, 3km nam, and href look very thumpy with impressive rates between 9pm and 3am That HREF ensemble mean is impressive… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 12z nam 12z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: 12z nam 12z gfs Glad you woke up but little late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Glad you woke up but little late I didn't see anyone else post clown maps so figured I would. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Ukie looks fairly light. 3-4 western CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 8 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: I didn't see anyone else post clown maps so figured I would. Why do they call em clown maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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