HoarfrostHubb Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 This is moving towards a forgettable event for many. Some snow but nothing to really get excited about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Will do you have any Gut feeling on how this trends or what the goal posts are regarding its “intactness” upon approach There’s competing forces going on. The SE ridges always make me leery of northward shifts. However, with the block in place opposing the SE ridge, we run a risk of a weaker shortwave getting sheared/shredded in the meat grinder between those two. So I’m kind of expecting a shift north, but worried that it may come with a weaker system smeared out into like a 3-6” type event. That’s why I’m rooting for the stronger shortwave ejection on these next few cycles. If we can get it a touch stronger, it’s going to produce some really nice fronto bands with that geopotential gradient in place. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 WPC has the low a few hundred miles east of the Delmarva by Tuesday am for what it’s worth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: This is moving towards a forgettable event for many. Some snow but nothing to really get excited about. Nuisance. Probably not even enough to cancel school or work, just make it miserable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Nuisance. Probably not even enough to cancel school or work, just make it miserable Is it really miserable when it snows 3-5” where you live or will you be posting photos and giggling like a school girl 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Is it really miserable when it snows 3-5” where you live or will you be posting photos and giggling like a school girl I will not be. I have to commute to Wilmington for the foreseeable future, so I’ll be navigating that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Euro has that look where things struggle further northeast. Verbatim a decent event for SW CT where they are really in a snow hole this season. We’ll see how things get sampled. I agree with Will regarding the north ticks, but this thing is going to get shredded a bit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Qpf is fairly light on recent runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 This storm looks to have potential to get the folks that have had the least snow some of the better totals. Hopefully it holds up . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: This is moving towards a forgettable event for many. Some snow but nothing to really get excited about. It could still end up the biggest storm of the year for some so there’s that. At least this winter will help cure weenies of their obsession with -NAO wrt to snow. Doesn’t always work out, hey? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: This storm looks to have potential to get the folks that have had the least snow some of the better totals. Hopefully it doesn’t become congrats NW NJ. I hope it does, if the alternative is 2” here. We need to see a more consolidated system on the 12z runs or it’s game over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: SW CT where they are really in a snow hole this season. This season and every season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 22 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: This season and every season. We've done well over the years but .8 at BDR is crazy for Feb 25th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: We've done well over the years but .8 at BDR is crazy for Feb 25th Yep. All time awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Yep. All time awful. I think their record low is 8.2” for a season so they are in epic territory. This system is starting to look pretty decent for them though. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Shortwave looks a little more vigorous on the NAM through 48. The block though also looks like it is holding a bit tougher too so not sure if we’ll see much trend here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I think their record low is 8.2” for a season so they are in epic territory. This system is starting to look pretty decent for them though. Still worried about ticking warmer near game time if this trends north, but I think northern CT is in good shape. Would probably hedge conservative near the shoreline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Slowly starting to accept that it may just be an inch or two here. Oh well, we’re nearing the finish line. Give me a few bluebird 55F light wind days in March, and I’ll be happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 NAM def better looking. Not totally surprising though as it was the most paltry at 00z and 06z. So it wa a probably going to trend toward others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 13 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Still worried about ticking warmer near game time if this trends north, but I think northern CT is in good shape. Would probably hedge conservative near the shoreline. I think W CT is where it’s at in SNE for this one . Cut the State in 1/2 SW/NE and SW side looks good . I’m not sold the CCB gets going in any capacity for E SNE But maybe some are 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 NAM is definitely a better system than 6 hours ago. LEts see if it holds together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 12z NAM is high end adv or low end warning up here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 NAM looks better. But I’d like to see the moisture not rip off to the southeast. Hopefully we can work on that inflow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 51 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: This season and every season. We have to hold tight to the 2020/2021 memories neighbor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAM looks better. But I’d like to see the moisture not rip off to the southeast. Hopefully we can work on that inflow. Just keep ticking that shortwave a little stronger and I think it would pay dividends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Nuisance. Probably not even enough to cancel school or work, just make it miserable For the love of God, we know how you're feeling about this winter lol. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Just keep ticking that shortwave a little stronger and I think it would pay dividends. 12/23/97 off the table? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Just keep ticking that shortwave a little stronger and I think it would pay dividends. Also love how the NAM went a little colder too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: 12/23/97 off the table? lol I mean, look at the 12/23/97 shortwave…it really wasn’t that impressive. But it had a nice neg tilt and held together just enough to pull that moisture in. We’re still not sure what caused the 6-8” per hour rates in that. Really bizarre. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Just keep ticking that shortwave a little stronger and I think it would pay dividends. Yep that’s what I hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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