ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 18z eps actually had a handful of members now hanging back again when 12z virtually had none. So that’s a good sign too that some of these are capturing a bit aloft. Even if you don’t fully capture it back, even prolonging the good stuff 3-4 hours makes a good bit of difference. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z eps actually had a handful of members now hanging back again when 12z virtually had none. So that’s a good sign too that some of these are capturing a bit aloft. Even if you don’t fully capture it back, even prolonging the good stuff 3-4 hours makes a good bit of difference. Things that make ya go ‘hmmm’. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The euro still struggles to get more than high end advisory here. This needs work to get to double digits Sorry brother, only care about my people in CT. We’ve been through enough. I’m sure Ray is rooting for you to clean up though. Too early to throw out numbers, but my bar is minimal warning level imby, which I think is reasonable given the totality of the guidance. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 12 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Sorry brother, only care about my people in CT. We’ve been through enough. I’m sure Ray is rooting for you to clean up though. Too early to throw out numbers, but my bar is minimal warning level imby, which I think is reasonable given the totality of the guidance. Ray is really hoping the cranberry bogs clean up, I can almost promise you that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: That picture has popped up so many times in my 10 years here, I find it just as funny every time for some reason. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That picture has popped up so many times in my 10 years here, I find it just as funny every time for some reason. He could get 18-20 while I get 3” but if he gets 16” and I get 24”, nuclear warfare is on the table. 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He could get 18-20 while I get 3” but if he gets 16” and I get 24”, nuclear warfare is on the table. Don’t let that smilin’ face deceive you His lust for the jackpot runs deep 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 29 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That picture has popped up so many times in my 10 years here, I find it just as funny every time for some reason. Because every time it pops up, your region is bending me over the Merrimack 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 3 hours ago, DavisStraight said: Saying is sometimes the Euro follows the Ukie How do you know it’s not the ukmet following the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Hope everyone enjoys their flurries on the NAM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 NAM is ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Hope everyone enjoys their flurries on the NAM. More snow tomorrow than 2/28? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Would have been so much better if the Nam had a 980mb low moving east south of LI, Hate to see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 10 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Hope everyone enjoys their flurries on the NAM. NAM with a coup? Lol Seriously though... Are you concerned? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: More snow tomorrow than 2/28? Close to it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 truly strange times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 16 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Hope everyone enjoys their flurries on the NAM. It didn't look good at 18z either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 7 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Close to it lol The odds are typically against the NAM ( One compared to the GFS or Euro ).. but the way this winter season has gone, who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Man everyone going wild over the 84 hour NAM. Euro/gfs with nice 18z solutions. Let’s see what the rest of 0z says. If it’s a busy so be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 It seems like this is turning into one of the most vivid examples of the “de”magnification phenomenon yet, where the models correct grandiosity down to gerbil turds 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Man everyone going wild over the 84 hour NAM. Euro/gfs with nice 18z solutions. Let’s see what the rest of 0z says. If it’s a busy so be it. 84 NAM One of the runs tomorrow will probably go bonkers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, RDRY said: 84 NAM One of the runs tomorrow will probably go bonkers. Oh that’s a given. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Heh 0Z Iconoclastic model with 6-8” of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It seems like this is turning into one of the most vivid examples of the “de”magnification phenomenon yet, where the models correct grandiosity down to gerbil turds I don’t know, 18z looked quite good here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 sure we'll see a NAM run within the next couple days of ridiculous amounts, seems to always happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: I don’t know, 18z looked quite good here. Ya I wouldn’t over react to a 84 hr nam run but I mean some are on edge I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Icon a bit less impressive than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 RGEM still weak sauce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I don’t know, 18z looked quite good here. Oh it’s a slow grind when it does. It starts with a bad run here or there… Then we start getting a general QPF consensus that’s shaving pts. Already down to a high end advisor in general but like if the 0z icon comes around maybe that limps us into a low end warning. snark aside… I think this event has a little of that demagnification stuff going on for other reasons. but it also was probably going to attenuate some just because it’s going over the top of the ridge arc. A track like that imposes physical limitations on amplitude… I’m kind of kicking myself for not recognizing that for five days ago with this. I don’t know if you can tell but my mood on this is really down ha ha ha but it’s because of that blunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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