Typhoon Tip Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Thanks George. You effed us again. ... all in good fun but still... I don't know if I'm ready to throw "Ralph Phillips" under the bus for a combination of La Nina, global climate change, and denial entirely. Maybe just shove 'im in front and see if he dives out of the way in time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, George001 said: What the hell….. you are always hyping up warmth like Torch Tiger, and your forecasts are often horribly wrong. Even when they are right, they are right for the wrong reasons (saw a lot of that this year). If you actually like snow, that’s sad. If you actually believe the shit you post this hobby must make you miserable. There are some posters who have been negative about this winter in the east (Allsnow, Pope, Raindance, etc) but they actually have sound reasoning behind why they believed this winter would suck, and they have called for big snow in the past. You just always forecast warmth, and got lucky this year. If you love snow I have no idea what your endgame is here. can you 2 weenies take your passive aggressive trolling of each other to PMs, or to the banter thread please. some of us are trying to find a model that is going to give us some snow and don't have time for your BS. TIA 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: ... all in good fun but still... I don't know if I'm ready to throw "Ralph Phillips" under the bus for a combination of La Nina, global climate change, and denial entirely. Maybe just shove 'im in front and see if he dives out of the way in time We'll see what the EPS says, but the EPS has been further south too. Verbatim there may be decent mid level goodies near the pike and just south...but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 The interesting part was the euro maintained a decent looking shortwave. When I frost saw the posts, I was half expecting it to be really sheared. But it mostly was just shunted south a bit rather than getting shredded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 13 minutes ago, dendrite said: How does the DGZ look on the euro? Very dry in the weenie growth zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Definitely weaker with the primary which is really nice to see. Could just be a fluke run though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: The interesting part was the euro maintained a decent looking shortwave. When I frost saw the posts, I was half expecting it to be really sheared. But it mostly was just shunted south a bit rather than getting shredded. Yes. Take it north and it would have been fun, but it zoomed out like due east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 10 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: Now this would be a relative disappointment. We hope the 12z euro is on shrooms. Like I reminded others a couple days back.. "Dr. No" is now just First year "intern I don't know" Honestly the past couple years I almost side with the GFS, and it pains me to do so lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Just now, Sn0waddict said: Definitely weaker with the primary which is really nice to see. Could just be a fluke run though. It also went from cutter after cutter for 3/4 to now OTS so yea, the euro is not the end all be all anymore. It hasn’t been for years. It’s JAM (just another model). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 If it helps, the NAM at 84 hours is a lot more jacked up than the EURO at 84 hours, ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yes. Take it north and it would have been fun, but it zoomed out like due east. Yeah I’m not super dismayed about it at the moment. If we keep ticking it south then it will be a concern. But honestly, we were getting a lot of north shifts yesterday so seeing a southerly solution isn’t the worst…especially when the shortwave is still pretty vigorous. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I’m not super dismayed about it at the moment. If we keep ticking it south then it will be a concern. But honestly, we were getting a lot of north shifts yesterday so seeing a southerly solution isn’t the worst…especially when the shortwave is still pretty vigorous. I'll take my chances with this look. I like to see it moving south instead of further north. Encouraging actually. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 EPS has a bit stronger low but a tad south of 6z. I do agree with Will. Given origins, maybe not the worst thing in the world to tick south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 hours ago, TalcottWx said: I totally disagree in this terrible winter people should be happy we're getting plowable snow, don't know what to tell you on this one. We had a few runs go bezerk over 130+ hours out. There should be no investment in a model outcome at that time frame. It was never a completely viable outcome. It showed a historic blizzard at far too early a time frame, not sure how it can be a disappointment. 40" was viable, albeit veryunlikely. 20" was even more viable if the NAO wasn't misdiagnosed inside of 4 days. I'm sorry...calling weather enthusiasts expressing dissapointment over that missed opportunity "stupid "implies you are probably the one that needs a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Maybe euro had boilermakers with uncle early this morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS has a bit stronger low but a tad south of 6z. I do agree with Will. Given origins, maybe not the worst thing in the world to tick south. Hope this ticks way south 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 51 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Still widespread Advisory snows. This talk of missing and cirrus, figured it was nothing. Not sure why that was mentioned when we still had the primary move over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 56 minutes ago, dendrite said: How does the DGZ look on the euro? Shorter thinner and cut 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 42 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yes. Take it north and it would have been fun, but it zoomed out like due east. This reminds me a lot of the December 12 event. A more potent version. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 I like the thumbs down emoji. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I like the thumbs down emoji. it is cool, yeah. Nice addition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Here’s the 12z eps mean and 50th percentile compared to 00z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Henry's Weather said: it is cool, yeah. Nice addition We can use it on the 24/12Z Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Here’s the 12z eps mean and 50th percentile compared to 00z Pretty much same axis of heaviest though toned down some on 12z. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 46 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yes. Take it north and it would have been fun, but it zoomed out like due east. Thanks blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: We can use it on the 24/12Z Euro. shame it into behaving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Here’s the 12z eps mean and 50th percentile compared to 00z I like it. Keep showing snow on Long island as a buffer for CT! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: shame it into behaving That run wasn't quite what i was expecting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Still widespread Advisory snows. This talk of missing and cirrus, figured it was nothing. I would honestly rather not 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 40" was viable, albeit veryunlikely. 20" was even more viable if the NAO wasn't misdiagnosed inside of 4 days. I'm sorry...calling weather enthusiasts expressing dissapointment over that missed opportunity "stupid "implies you are probably the one that needs a break. No one is stupid. I am saying it is stupid to be enthralled by a single euro run at that range. It was ultimately still in clown range. If that's the case, there shouldn't have been what seems to be a needlessly emotional investment over 100+ hours out. Those runs should have been taken with a grain of salt. Hard to be disappointed if that's the case IMO. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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