ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 35 minutes ago, dendrite said: Will just forecasted 20" for Ayer In 8 hours! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 24, 2023 Author Share Posted February 24, 2023 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: QGOmega is 5-posted....do you think you should be too? Honestly I don’t agree with him being 5 posted. He is just as much of a weenie as I am, but he likes warmer weather while I like snow and cold. I don’t see anything wrong with that, people just don’t like him rooting for record warmth because most of this board likes cold and snow. He gets all kinds of shit for posting a long range gfs run showing a torch, yet when people post long range snow maps, that’s ok? Nah that’s bullshit, this is a weather board, not a “root for snow or else” board. If you ask me, neither of us should be 5 posted but if weenies aren’t going to be allowed anymore, logically it makes sense to 5 post both of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 If this does produce some decent snow, almost perfect timing to really mess up the commute and school Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 24, 2023 Author Share Posted February 24, 2023 Anyways, back to the storm at hand. Even if the more pedestrian guidance is right and we get 8, that’s still a really good storm. So what, it didn’t reach its fullest potential. There is nothing we can do about it, so it’s wasted energy to let it piss you off. Last years blizzard left some on the table too, most storms do. If you can only appreciate storms that reach their ceiling this hobby would be miserable, and there wouldn’t be any point in engaging in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/obswx/winter/boxpns_dec23.txt Some nice totals in that one That's a weird PNS out here in western MA. Crushed in Amherst, but meh on the east slope, as well as to the south across Hampden county. Maybe a bit similar to 12/1/19 where a relatively narrow band trained west to east over this area in round 2? ...Franklin County... Shelburne 1045 AM 6.0 ...Hampden County... Agawam 1215 PM 8.0 Westfield 1200 PM 7.0 Monson 150 PM 6.5 Springfield 1050 AM 5.5 ...Hampshire County... Amherst 345 PM 16.0 North Hatfield 1215 PM 8.5 Worthington 910 AM 6.5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm not sure why we feel the need to blast people for voicing the fact that 7-10" is dissappointing given this had the potential for so much more..."stupidity"? 'Cmon, dude...40" was a very long shot, but this had a very realistic chance to be a pretty high end ordeal and now it isn't. I'm not sure why storm enthusiasts need to pretend that doesn't blow while at the same time being glad that there is a bonafide event en route during a shitty season. The two aren't mutually exclusive. I can save you some of that consternation by summing up the reason in a simple facet: that's how many ameliorate their own angst. Slightly longer version ... it's a lesson we all learn in adolescence and high school ( most of us that is lol). People impugn others for the guilty reflection of their faults. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: ... If people want to know the most likely thing that goes wrong in this? I'd say it's the shortwave becoming too weak and shears ... ...I'd say just watch the NAO blocking allowing even a little bit of additional trailing energy to try and interact....I'm not optimistic on that Bingo! been hammering these two facets since this "top 10 blizzard" thread was decided the appropriate pin version for this event - eh hm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 The ICON is converting this thing into what we just had...only farther S ( axial)... hey, that puts a snow event in the area. It's also got this lasting as mood snows after the IB aspect... it snows for 18 additional hours in S- bursts between that and the N/stream S/W that's racing to catch up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Icon looks like a general 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Muah hahaha... how to create a big chicken salad out of a scenario turning simultaneously into chicken shit... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Icon looks like a general 3-6 That would eliminate any consideration of this being an iconic event. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Icon looks like a general 3-6 More than that... It snows probably 5" in 7 hr as a mean distribution away from marine taint ... then another tortured 1-3" over many hours in that run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Just now, weathafella said: That would eliminate any consideration of this being an iconic event. Yeah, the adjective Id use to describe what this event is turning into is “annoyance” or “annoying” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Heh... 3-6" is a fine for my personal druthers. Jesus it's almost March anyway. It's funny this talk of futility that occasionally gets peppered into various contexts ...when the 'seasonal' futility is already happened - Don't forget, winter can fret and fright its hour upon the stage ... the July curtain call is still coming. heh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 12z GFS still delivers a nice swath of 12"+ in SNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 GFS is has a more consolidated coastal at the surface, s/w just as strung out at H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Trended a little better for CT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Widespread warning level verbatim, even with southern CT taint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 SWFE with coastal enhancement... nice moderate event. Widespread warning snows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Just now, DJln491 said: Trended a little better for CT At this point I just want to see the ground white. It’s been since December 11th, which is ridiculous. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 At this point, trend seems irreversible. Trough out west ejecting less potent SW and SE ridge flexing. Curtain call for hope for a serious coastal redeveloper. The alternative is pretty great however, if not KU material (which this thing hardly ever had the potential to be) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Heh... 3-6" is a fine for my personal druthers. Jesus it's almost March anyway. It's funny this talk of futility that occasionally gets peppered into various contexts ...when the 'seasonal' futility is already happened - Don't forget, winter can fret and fright its hour upon the stage ... the July curtain call is still coming. heh Icon was over an inch of QPF for much of SNE. Looked better than 3-6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 6 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: SWFE with coastal enhancement... nice moderate event. Widespread warning snows. I supposed its more of an SEFE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 The huge 2-3 foot solutions only came from the Euro, and only for a couple of runs, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 24, 2023 Author Share Posted February 24, 2023 Gfs looks great 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 minute ago, jaf said: The huge 2-3 foot solutions only came from the Euro, and only for a couple of runs, right? One or two from the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 minute ago, jaf said: The huge 2-3 foot solutions only came from the Euro, and only for a couple of runs, right? It was basically one run. We’ve had several runs of 12-18” type snows though from both euro and gfs but that was when there was still a bit more trailing shortwave interaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 CMC look better if still pretty messy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 GFS is actually a bit of an improvement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Icon 10-11 for sne off 10-1 maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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