CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Lots of east winds ahead of this. Might get a little tough in parts of eastern areas if it comes more north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 This will start shifting south, the reverse SWFE. No worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Thanks George: I think i gave him congrats on the first page of post........... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 If the north movement is done (which I doubt) it is still a good storm in my hood 10-15" will help You CT peeps can still get a few Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 On 2/22/2023 at 6:24 PM, dryslot said: Thank you George, Congrats CNE/NNE. Early call ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Count the "red flags," There are more caution flags to a NO GO then to a GO, GO, GO. IMHO this is not the storm. Is there a snowstorm in the pipeline? Who knows! Season was a ratter no matter what happens. Time to accept and move on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 6 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: This will start shifting south, the reverse SWFE. No worries. The assumption of trends is a common error in forecasting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Anytime anyone assumes anything is an error, And my definition of a trend is a series of runs that yield similar results and over all the most reliable guidance. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The assumption of trends is a common error in forecasting. The bigger issue is we are basically relying entirely on the thump at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Its morphing itself into a SWFE or Hybrid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 30 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Mods got to crack down on the BS posts …this place becomes unreadable. This is the time where the models lose the storm(it happens every single time), but this time they haven’t lost it(yet), but they changed the evolution. It’s gonna trend some more, you can bet on that. It may trend back to a more major event, we see that many times too. If it doesn’t, and is a 2-4” event, it will fit right in with the vibe of the season, but will still be the biggest event for many in SNE. Take it and stop moaning, ma nature doesn’t give one shit if you don’t want 1-3”, STFU and brush it off your car, and get your ass to work! ...Wolf among men. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 49 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: To be fair, you need to have something before it can slip away so up to this point…we never had anything lol. Still, yea there’s time to halt the north trend and salvage a plowable event. All good though man even if we can’t, more chances coming. Valid point, this one just felt different this time, so it will sting a bit if we lose it completely. But sitting at 4 inches for December/January/February is pretty impressive for our location, so even a 4-8 inch storm would be wonderful....Plenty of time to sling this back south and slow it down a bit, need to fight off those warm levels. Nam isn't even in range yet to shove the mix line up to NH, so plenty of time to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 hour ago, Spanks45 said: It is still 3+ days away, but unfortunately there were ways to screw this one for us down here. And here we are, watching it slip away...As we have, all winter long. with a strong low into the lakes I'm not sure what people were expecting-you need the primary to die out in Southern OH or WV for most of CT to do well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Whatever happens.. if it snows.. I hope it’s wet and pasty . At least give us that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The bigger issue is we are basically relying entirely on the thump at this point And? This is going to have good moisture. A thump will be a pretty decent warning event. We’re just not getting 12-18” without CCB snows. That’s been the realistic best case scenario and it could still happen, but best to not expect it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Valid point, this one just felt different this time, so it will sting a bit if we lose it completely. But sitting at 4 inches for December/January/February is pretty impressive for our location, so even a 4-8 inch storm would be wonderful....Plenty of time to sling this back south and slow it down a bit, need to fight off those warm levels. Nam isn't even in range yet to shove the mix line up to NH, so plenty of time to go What I meant was this is the first real threat. Agree on that. Just disagreed that all others previously slipped away because we haven’t had anything to slip. This is our first real threat since the 3” event in early Dec. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Whatever happens.. if it snows.. I hope it’s wet and pasty . At least give us that That will be here. If it snows here, it’s paste. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That will be here. If it snows here, it’s paste. Just would prefer that everywhere. This time of year the next sunny day after powder just goes poof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: Its morphing itself into a SWFE or Hybrid. Yup, looking like a Thump slot deal without the trailing short wave interaction. Puts a lower ceiling on the event for sure. Damn, some of those long duration runs were tasty… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris12WX Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah overnight runs really take away that trailing shortwave interaction. So that will put a cap on the thing’s potential. Still can’t complain though about a solid warning snowfall. Sure we can. Some of us have moved on to spring and dreaming of yard work. Bring back the 50s. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just would prefer that everywhere. This time of year the next sunny day after powder just goes poof Good point and true...the paste turns to cement and hangs around for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Chris12WX said: Sure we can. Some of us have moved on to spring and dreaming of yard work. Bring back the 50s. Well 50s ain't happening, so..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Well 50s ain't happening, so..... Yeah there is no Morch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah, not overly encouraging overnight and early am runs. Is what it is. Should have known better that we wouldn’t catch much of a break this year We have a 6-12" storm likely coming. Please stop. Please. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Just had Morch in Feb, Now we get Feb in Morch, So now we can debate if its a winter month or not........lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Just now, dryslot said: Just had Morch in Feb, Now we get Feb in Morch. It’s been Morch for months. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: What I meant was this is the first real threat. Agree on that. Just disagreed that all others previously slipped away because we haven’t had anything to slip. This is our first real threat since the 3” event in early Dec. yeah, maybe it was just the loaded pattern in December felt like it slipped away...this really is the first event inside of 5 days that has been there for more than 1 run. All of the small ones have underperformed as well. The one SWFE we had looked like a good 1-3 inches before changeover and then it just dried out before our eyes. I know its early to worry, but that March 4th system comes with the block better established, but to far SW? That one has Mid Atlantic vibes already. But, maybe that one will start marching north, 3 days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 If you're just joining us, and you're confused by the complete and utter stupidity in here, this storm still looks good. Plowable snow likely for many. Unfortunately some of the loudest in the room have been adding very little value to this analysis thread. Would be nice if they perhaps read, digested, and learned from our Mets and best amateur forecasters. Instead we are continuing to get emotionally driven sh*posting. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s been Morch for months. Mowvember of Yore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Eps is still further south than the gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now