Kitz Craver Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: They are scared of the primary and most of those posts are out of area. I can think of many good snows with a dying primary the Lakes. Shit 1888 had a 1004 over Lake Superior. As long as confluence continues and the best model show a storm I am all in. Not really out of the area, most CT peeps are a bit concerned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Don’t see a solution I hate yet at 12z. New people: find this guy's posts and form your analysis accordingly. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 It’s mostly a tenor of the season snake bitten mentality(and I’m one of them) The weenies are very guarded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 1 minute ago, UnitedWx said: Me either. Some are so butt hurt with this season that irrationality abounds My guess is many were secretly starting to get attached to the thought of a 20-burger storm after yesterday’s Euro and all other guidance had been trending better too. The natural inclination is to sort of expect it to keep trending better so when it reverts back to a more “mundane” 8-12 inch type event, it produces a sense of disappointment. It’s hard not to get attached to big solutions…esp when it comes from the Euro inside of 6 days. I’ll add that it’s still possible we see some bigger totals. That trailing shortwave was close on some of the 12z runs today so far. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Is this even remotely true from Stein? I have never heard anything like this Steinsense 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Ukie must be trash because nobody gave it a shoutout lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Is this even remotely true from Stein? I have never heard anything like this Steinsense Does that mean if I get snow mine stays around longer? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: My guess is many were secretly starting to get attached to the thought of a 20-burger storm after yesterday’s Euro and all other guidance had been trending better too. The natural inclination is to sort of expect it to keep trending better so when it reverts back to a more “mundane” 8-12 inch type event, it produces a sense of disappointment. It’s hard not to get attached to big solutions…esp when it comes from the Euro inside of 6 days. I’ll add that it’s still possible we see some bigger totals. That trailing shortwave was close on some of the 12z runs today so far. Somehow we went from futility, and begging for snow, ... to disappointment, and worry about not seeing 20“. I wonder if this comes back to being generally spoiled over past years? But how easily we forget how good 6-12" would be, specifically after this horrid winter. Plowable snow odds have only increased in the past 24 hours, let's focus on that. I see a lot of use of words like worry.. Why worry? Seriously. Nothing is gonna change what's coming. Don't stress yourself out over something you have zero control over. Just saying-off soapbox. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Is this even remotely true from Stein? I have never heard anything like this Steinsense That is absolutely true. That is a well known fact. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Does that mean if I get snow mine stays around longer? My icing on the grass blades will insulate lol. I mean this guy just sits around dreaming stuff up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Ukie must be trash because nobody gave it a shoutout lol It was a widespread 6-12” for SNE. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: My guess is many were secretly starting to get attached to the thought of a 20-burger storm after yesterday’s Euro and all other guidance had been trending better too. The natural inclination is to sort of expect it to keep trending better so when it reverts back to a more “mundane” 8-12 inch type event, it produces a sense of disappointment. It’s hard not to get attached to big solutions…esp when it comes from the Euro inside of 6 days. I’ll add that it’s still possible we see some bigger totals. That trailing shortwave was close on some of the 12z runs today so far. It's a shame what some of these products do within the field. Model snowfall maps with winter weather and supercell composite/significant tornado parameter and that ridiculous AI CIPS or whatever it is. Even if these products have value (which they do) they're used so irresponsibly that every single "event" that pops up on guidance, whether it be some severe threat in the Plains or winter event in the Northeast gets totally blown out of proportion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: It was a widespread 6-12” for SNE. Moderate event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It was a widespread 6-12” for SNE. this is apparently a less exciting solution 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 I don't think it will matter much with melting. It's not like the soil is 45F vs 30F. When it starts melting it's ice water anyway and the surface hangs around in the low/mid 30s depending on solar. My 4" and 8" soil hasn't been below 33F all season and it still takes forever to melt. Insolation and temps/dews determine most of the melting. 45F and March sun don't care how deeply cold your ground is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: this is apparently a less exciting solution A nice moderate snowfall. Nothing wrong with that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Moderate event. That’s more than moderate. Spoiled millennials. 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Not sure what some are expecting to see at 5+ days out, I know i wouldn't want to be in the jack at that lead because by go time you won't be more then likely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: this is apparently a less exciting solution This is what getting an inordinate number of 20 burgers will do to expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 They'll probably bitch at the euro too if its not 18"+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: That’s more than moderate. Spoiled millennials. in 2023, that’s moderate. I don’t care if the 80s winters sucked, we don’t live in the 80s. The last two decades around here tell me that’s a middle of the road, moderate snowfall 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s more than moderate. Spoiled millennials. that is a significant to major event lmao hell, I'm 23 and I know that after living through the 10s in NYC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Euro should be better. S/W trying to capture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Euro is a tick north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Moderate event. A major storm in terms of impact in a single winter, I would argue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: in 2023, that’s moderate. I don’t care if the 80s winters sucked, we don’t live in the 80s. The last two decades around here tell me that’s a middle of the road, moderate snowfall Spoiled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Its a nice IVT look on the 12z Euro too, There will be plenty ogf 12-18" amounts in there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 9 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: That is absolutely true. That is a well known fact. However, snow can still conduct cold through it. If ponds get an inch of ice on them in December and then several inches of snow, it doesn’t mean they will only have an inch of ice on them until the snow melts and we get more cold. That were the case even NNE would have some terrible ice fishing season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Euro is a tick north Yea. A little warm/sloppy for SWCT initially. Thump Snow to sleet back to weak snow verbatim. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Soiled my shorts Beans? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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