Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Just now, DavisStraight said: Just got a winter storm warning on my phone for 4-6 inches, hopefully I get the high end and use the snowblower for the first time. Still looks active this month so maybe something will break our way. Advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I think once the sun comes up we can forget about accumulations with borderline temps for many. However, Many areas out in CT should exceed 10:1 ratios during the peak with heavy snow falling between 10pm and 6am so no effects of the March sun to worry about. Also most guidance has temps between 23-28 for the duration of the heavy precip just inland. The driest guidance has about ..4-.5” qpf with the wettest about .8-1.0” qpf. With a bit of ratios between 10-15:1 during the thump I think it’s a fairly easy widespread 6”+ for much of CT. Also looks like great lift in the snow growth zone on hi res data. Just my two cents. Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Just an advisory here... ho hum Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Eastern Franklin MA- Northern Worcester MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA- Southern Worcester MA-Northern Middlesex MA- Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI- Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI- Block Island RI- Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, Putnam, Willimantic, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, Fitchburg, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, Milford, Worcester, Ayer, Foster, Smithfield, Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, Newport, and New Shoreham 259 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2023 ... WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches. * WHERE...Portions of northern Connecticut, central, eastern and western Massachusetts and northern and southern Rhode Island. * WHEN...The snow should develop between 7 pm and 11 pm on Monday night. Snow continues overnight and impacts the Tuesday morning commute. The snow will continue into Tuesday afternoon but gradually diminish in intensity and may even mix with rain near the south coast. In addition...temps rising above freezing will likely limit the impact for the Tuesday afternoon commute. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The Tuesday morning commute is our biggest concern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Advisory just popped here. 2-5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 9 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I think once the sun comes up we can forget about accumulations with borderline temps for many. However, Many areas out in CT should exceed 10:1 ratios during the peak with heavy snow falling between 10pm and 6am so no effects of the March sun to worry about. Also most guidance has temps between 23-28 for the duration of the heavy precip just inland. The driest guidance has about ..4-.5” qpf with the wettest about .8-1.0” qpf. With a bit of ratios between 10-15:1 during the thump I think it’s a fairly easy widespread 6”+ for much of CT. Also looks like great lift in the snow growth zone on hi res data. Just my two cents. No issues prior to 12z. I just meant afterwards. The juicier guidance had decent SG for a time. I’m not sure the euro had the best SG except maybe briefly near the coast ironically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWilly Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 The winter storm warning drought continues here. But we are close to warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No issues prior to 12z. I just meant afterwards. The juicier guidance had decent SG for a time. I’m not sure the euro had the best SG except maybe briefly near the coast ironically. Ya no doubt after 12z we will struggle to add anything .. lol upton advisory for only 3-5” here .. we usually get the upton reverse jinx so we should be good for 6-10” based on their forecast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Under watch, but I will be interested in the thinking behind this in the afternoon discussion. Zone shows 3 to 6 which seems consistent with most models. Not sure why they would issue a watch when the potential ceiling doesn’t seem to be that high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 From upton disco… Forecast snowfall totals have been largely unchanged for NYC and Long Island and nudged up slightly across the Lower Hudson Valley, Southern CT and interior northeast NJ due to the increasing confidence given the aforementioned trend in the secondary low. Widespread Advisory level snow looks likely across the Lower Hudson Valley, Southern CT and interior northeast NJ with 3-5 inches. Would not be surprised to see this upward trend continue. yet they took numbers down from the 4-6” they had overnight? Makes zero sense 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Nam is sweet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 This says it all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 I'm not convinced on these beefier solutions. Confluence to the north is gonna eat away at this the further east you go. I feel much better about areas to the west and south. I think 2-4" tops in SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 3k NAM bullish for E areas. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: 3k NAM bullish for E areas. LFG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 41 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nam is sweet That was an awesome run of the NAM at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Seems a little wild for GYX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Not really, I have 4-8", Maybe there banging the mesos and the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Not really, I have 4-8", Maybe there banging the Mesos, I meant from that office as a whole. Not sure I’d be that aggressive with guidance not really locking in on those amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Over 6” in SNH? I dunno man. Other than the nam what have Maine 6-8+? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Gfs was borderline. But whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs was borderline. But whatever. That first wave is nothing here, Its the Primary that ends up going overhead with the trough extending to the slp offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Over 6” in SNH? I dunno man. Other than the nam what have Maine 6-8+? They sometimes like to chuck em like Favre 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 The euro has been rather meh with 4-6", But we shall see, Nam bumped north a bit at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: That first wave is nothing here, Its the Primary that ends up going overhead with the trough extending to the slp offshore. Just too many flags for me that’s all. Someone may get lucky, but I just don’t see it being widespread. We shall see. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Advisory Right, advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Just too many flags for me that’s all. Someone may get lucky, but I just don’t see it being widespread. We shall see. I'm sure they'll adjust, Still time left in the period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: I'm sure they'll adjust, Still time left in the period. Well I hope the nam(s) are right lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well I hope the nam(s) are right lol lol, They've hit a couple of events up here this winter i will say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 My over/under is 2” here. Under, I’ll be disappointed. Two or more and I’ll be content. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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