BombsAway1288 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: I'll be happy with 6 and use the snowblower This is still a 6” storm? Judging by the last page of posts by the usual suspects you’d think a Rainer is on the way. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 23 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: If this thing gets sheared out anymore than was shown on the 00z gfs we’re talking like 2-4” for most. On 2/22/2023 at 6:25 PM, ORH_wxman said: I’m letting George keep this thread under the condition that he’s banned if the storm shits the bed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I don’t hate this being a touch south right now with the stout SE ridge. I’m a little worried about a weaker shortwave, but these often come in more potent as we get closer. I was thinking that too…south is ok at the moment…gives a lil wiggle room for any trends north a couple days from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: This is still a 6” storm? Judging by the last page of posts by the usual suspects you’d think a Rainer is on the way. Yikes. I don't know but that's what I'm hoping for, I think I'm in a good spot. I've never gone a full season without using the blower even in the rattiest years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: I'll be happy with 6 and use the snowblower Yeah, it is a bit disappointing after looking good for 12-18 yesterday, but things change. Looks more like 6-12 now, probably closer to 6. Half a foot with another chance a few days later? I’ll take that any day. It looks like the blocking got weaker, so we might need to wait a bit for the really high ceiling events (3/4 could be a big one, but way too early to know). The MJO is expected to go nuts in the long range with blocking lingering around (not south based like December). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The shortwave ejected a bit weaker this run which I think is the main culprit. I didn’t see a huge difference in the block this run. Not this run...overall trend last couple days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just make it an all snow plowable event. A wintry day of yore. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowCane Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, George001 said: Yeah, it is a bit disappointing after looking good for 12-18 yesterday, but things change. Looks more like 6-12 now, probably closer to 6. Half a foot with another chance a few days later? I’ll take that any day. It looks like the blocking got weaker, so we might need to wait a bit for the really high ceiling events (3/4 could be a big one, but way too early to know). The MJO is expected to go nuts in the long range with blocking lingering around (not south based like December). Just don’t start the thread for the next threat please. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, SnowCane said: Just don’t start the thread for the next threat please. God no! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, SnowCane said: Just don’t start the thread for the next threat please. This is my last thread for the winter. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 minute ago, SnowCane said: Just don’t start the thread for the next threat please. New rule…a weenie who has already melted cannot start a thread. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: New rule…a weenie who has already melted cannot start a thread. New Rule…no threads until 3-4 days out max. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 11 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: New Rule…no threads until 3-4 days out max. Please make this a rule. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, NotSureWeather said: Please make this a rule. It certainly should be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Show me 3/4. I'm already focusing more on that following storm that will probably disappoint us too. I'm feeling 3 feet in the mountains and 3" here turning to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 27 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Just make it an all snow plowable event. A wintry day of yore. There’s no yore when it’s the end of February…..yore begins in November…… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Yore going to hate this storm….. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 37 minutes ago, SnowCane said: Just don’t start the thread for the next threat please. 36 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: God no! Tblizz and George both banned from starting storm threads IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Storm threads should have a specific tag that needs mod approval before it can be posted. Unless it’s a met or maybe a few of the hobbyists here that know their stuff. Edit: No hate on anyone, I mean look at my username. Maybe not everyone should have the right to start a storm thread. That’s all I’m saying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 22 minutes ago, ice1972 said: There’s no yore when it’s the end of February…..yore begins in November…… Keep drinking heavily bud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 0z GFS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWilly Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Looks good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 This is silly talk. Start threads when applicable. There will event. Luck is horseshit In weather regarding threads starting and threats dampening. And this can still be a good storm. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Keep drinking heavily bud. I gave it up mostily except select nights…..tonight is select…..y’all have been scammed….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 hour ago, SnowCane said: Just don’t start the thread for the next threat please. You don't start a day 6 thread with this kind of statement: "...it is likely we are looking at a New England blizzard, with the potential to become a historic blizzard (top 10 all time) in the Boston area." 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 57 minutes ago, NotSureWeather said: Storm threads should have a specific tag that needs mod approval before it can be posted. Unless it’s a met or maybe a few of the hobbyists here that know their stuff. Edit: No hate on anyone, I mean look at my username. Maybe not everyone should have the right to start a storm thread. That’s all I’m saying. The weather does not care who starts what or when. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 OKX throwing out first numbers, high end advisory seems reasonable. 4-6/4-8 for most of the state looks good. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 14 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 40" was viable, albeit veryunlikely. 20" was even more viable if the NAO wasn't misdiagnosed inside of 4 days. I'm sorry...calling weather enthusiasts expressing dissapointment over that missed opportunity "stupid "implies you are probably the one that needs a break. Haven't posted since this became disconnected from the northern stream, but agree with the disappointment. The 2/22 12z Euro was a flash in the pan for seasonal redemption, but notwithstanding there was a solid day of guidance hitting double digits for much of SNE that was realistic given the setup. Looking at tonight's 0z Euro... it's a really good shortwave, and even digs slightly better and slightly more negative tilt by 6z-12z Tuesday than earlier run. Doesn't reflect at the surface, but wouldn't take much to get this more amplified over the weekend. Is there some irony that this same shortwave is bringing blizzard conditions to southern California, but won't in New England? Fitting capstone for this season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 4 hours ago, weathafella said: This is silly talk. Start threads when applicable. There will event. Luck is horseshit In weather regarding threads starting and threats dampening. And this can still be a good storm. I mean this is life at d7-10. Most of these models have relatively similar physics and schemes. A slight change in time with s/w spacing/strength and your consistent bomb becomes a weaker event or vice versa. We had storms seemingly coming out of nowhere Feb 15. But people have to expect guidance to change as we get closer no matter how consistent modeling is in the LR. So it really comes down to expectations. There’s multiple threats on the table so making a specific storm thread a little early isn’t a bad thing…it cuts down on the confusion in the monthly disco thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/02/first-call-for-significant-but-not.html 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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