Baroclinic Zone Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 What's the latest? Don't have time to dig in or look with new job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: What's the latest? Don't have time to dig in or look with new job. This could be your storm, you have 48 hours to dig in and give us some analysis I wonder if this trends sheared/weaker And the block is Maybe seen and incorporated better if the risk is more this sinks a bit more south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: What's the latest? Don't have time to dig in or look with new job. 12-18 for EMATT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: This could be your storm, you have 48 hours to dig in and give us some analysis I wonder if this trends sheared/weaker And the block is Maybe seen and incorporated better if the risk is more this sinks a bit more south No time at all 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 12-18 for EMATT. ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 It’s not looking terrible! Most promise for us coastal plainer’s since December. I’ll take it as at least it’s of interest to track the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: No time at all ugh Could be a real goodie for SE MA. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 20 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Agreed. More shifts and ticks to come…it’s part of the game. At least we are tracking something legit…more than we could say for the first 9 weeks of this winter. I count about 12-13 weeks In all seriousness though, as long as we don’t get one of those massive 150 mile shifts north or west that we’ve seen so much this winter, we’re in very good shape for a legit event, and the setup looks solid, as many others have said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 25 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Agreed. More shifts and ticks to come…it’s part of the game. At least we are tracking something legit…more than we could say for the first 9 weeks of this winter. Once they trend north they do not trend south. That is Wx 101. We do not want anymore north trends in SNE 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Starting to tick north. Hopefully not too far. Yeah, Just another 75-100 miles. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 24, 2023 Author Share Posted February 24, 2023 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Once they trend north they do not trend south. That is Wx 101. We do not want anymore north trends in SNE I disagree, I want it to keep trending north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 19 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: No time at all ugh You look good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, George001 said: I disagree, I want it to keep trending north. You live in foxborough? The best snow axis is urgently forecast to be to your north and you want that to trend north? Interesting… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Yeah. George doesn’t need it to shift north if he wants a good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 24, 2023 Author Share Posted February 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: You live in foxborough? The best snow axis is urgently forecast to be to your north and you want that to trend north? Interesting… I don’t care who is getting the most snow, I just want more snow in my backyard. I believe my area would do well if it trends north enough to bring the low over the cape, but the low would also need to trend stronger. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Once they trend north they do not trend south. That is Wx 101. We do not want anymore north trends in SNE Point is…it’s not done moving around yet. It’s gonna fluctuate. So I disagree with your weather 101 lmao. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: You look good. I don’t think he wants the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, George001 said: I don’t care who is getting the most snow, I just want more snow in my backyard. I believe my area would do well if it trends north enough to bring the low over the cape, but the low would also need to trend stronger. Let’s bring it right over the canal. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, George001 said: I don’t care who is getting the most snow, I just want more snow in my backyard. I believe my area would do well if it trends north enough to bring the low over the cape, but the low would also need to trend stronger. If the low trends north from where it’s modeled now you’ll more likely than not get less snow plain and simple. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Let’s bring it right over the canal. I was thinking right over Foxborough or Marshfield. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 20 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah, Just another 75-100 miles. If you have to eat cirrus and Georgie has to dry slot and get banished from the forum for CT to get 12+ of powder…most of the Connecticut delegation would gladly approve. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Just now, dryslot said: I was thinking right over foxborough. Ack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 18z EPS did ticked south from the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 hour ago, George001 said: I think it will come north more, but not a lot. The blocking forces the low to redevelop, but that doesn’t mean it will go over the benchmark and give snow to the mid Atlantic and cape. Most guidance is inside the benchmark, not over it. It is very possible that the low ends up going over the canal, leading to rain snow line issues. It wouldn’t take a massive north adjustment for that to happen, and I really think that’s more likely than the jackpot being SE. Honestly, I’m rooting for that because it would mean a stronger storm even though my area wouldn’t be the jackpot with that track. I’d rather get 20 while someone north of me gets 30 than get 15 while everyone else gets 12, so I say bring on the north trends. In this scenario, Tblizz and Metfan would get some rain. Dude Cape Cod Canal is close to the best track for me in Northern Vt (when crossing it from SW to NE into the gulf of maine). Inside the benchmark still works for me a little but usually I need you to be screwed for me to get the goods synoptically. I hate the 40/70 benchmark. I'm usually the cold H for those storms and it's usually South Shores best bet. Benchmark is too far north to affect the mid atlantic unless the low forms further S and is tracking NE. This storm if you took it verbatim from the models today looks to be forming just SSE/SE of Long island and progressing east not affecting the Mid atlantic at all, if it comes north, you have serious issues and moves the jackpot to me. So please keep pushing for north but not enough for a warm tongue to reach me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: I was thinking right over Foxborough or Marshfield. It’s all or nothing season for me. Today’s system was a bit disappointing and we have enough pack now that I’m all set with advisory events. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Let’s get George on the east side of the low where the most snow is. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Just now, dendrite said: It’s all or nothing season for me. Today’s system was a bit disappointing and we have enough pack now that I’m all set with advisory events. Where are you at on the season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Where are you at on the season? Not by my pc, but I think low to mid 50s now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z EPS did ticked south from the 12z run. OP run looked a little blockier than 12z so not a total surprise. Prob why EPS followed suit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 24, 2023 Author Share Posted February 24, 2023 My area got buried in Jan 2011, and both of those storms went over the cape. Just need a strong enough storm, I’m not worried about rain as long as the low is to my SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Yeah that was a shift south. Still a good moisture fetch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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