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March 2023 Obs/Disco


40/70 Benchmark
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3 weeks ago, I cored the (then 30" pack, finding 9.31" SWE for a 31% water content.  Tuesday afternoon did it again; SWE down to 8.01" but with the pack down to 17" the water was up to 47%.  Even if the 2 icy layers, about 2" total, had 75-80% water content, the remainder would still be over 40% and thus ripe.  Hoping for not much RA on Saturday.

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Nice fat regional power outage blanketing 4 or 5 towns this morning... to which Ayer was one of them.

Apparently some sub-station decide to trip ... or blow up. Who knows.   Well...actually, it wasn't a damage thing or else we'd be out for 2 weeks.   I read that these substation parts are not stocked?  one particular reason why a Carrington Event would be particularly crippling... because A, it would take a long time to fab the parts necessary for each substation that got zapped, and B, because so many of them... it would take years (years!)  - per NSA estimates - to restore the grid to any kind of function that we've multi-generationally become inextricable so accustomed to needing - to put it nicely.  

Jesus...   It really does hone two failings about this thing...

1 ... Ironically, despite all that power being distributed across the face of the planet contained within the wholly dependent grid, it is utterly fragile. 

2 ... The shear lack of back-up systems ( redundancy ) flop over for what is tantamount to an apocalypse if it truly failed.  It was ugly out there.  Within 20 minutes, the line at Dunkin pooled out the door, and people were yelling into the store as though the staff was somehow at fault.  This is how fast "civility" and order and politeness ... everyday cooperative assumptions begin to break down.  It really is a prerequisite to a species that deserves it's own demise, to evolve it to be helpless without an aspect they do not protect.  Individual residences and edifice can certainly formulate ways to take themselves off grid when the grid trips... but still... society should long been researching and implementing back up systems - they don't even have to be as distributive as the primary - 'brown supply' the f'n population. Just with enough to run a light and heating element. 

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1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Nice fat regional power outage blanketing 4 or 5 towns this morning... to which Ayer was one of them.

Apparently some sub-station decide to trip ... or blow up. Who knows.   Well...actually, it wasn't a damage thing or else we'd be out for 2 weeks.   I read that these substation parts are not stocked?  one particular reason why a Carrington Event would be particularly crippling... because A, it would take a long time to fab the parts necessary for each substation that got zapped, and B, because so many of them... it would take years (years!)  - per NSA estimates - to restore the grid to any kind of function that we've multi-generationally become inextricable so accustomed to needing - to put it nicely.  

Jesus...   It really does hone two failings about this thing...

1 ... Ironically, despite all that power being distributed across the face of the planet contained within the wholly dependent grid, it is utterly fragile. 

2 ... The shear lack of back-up systems ( redundancy ) flop over for what is tantamount to an apocalypse if it truly failed.  It was ugly out there.  Within 20 minutes, the line at Dunkin pooled out the door, and people were yelling into the store as though the staff was somehow at fault.  This is how fast "civility" and order and politeness ... everyday cooperative assumptions begin to break down.  It really is a prerequisite to a species that deserves it's own demise, to evolve it to be helpless without an aspect they do not protect.  Individual residences and edifice can certainly formulate ways to take themselves off grid when the grid trips... but still... society should long been researching and implementing back up systems - they don't even have to be as distributive as the primary - 'brown supply' the f'n population. Just with enough to run a light and heating element. 

It will get worse before it gets worse.

We are slowly breaking down within civil societies.  The more technology develops, and allows people to become hermits, doing everything within the confines of their homes... working, playing, etc., while simultaneously becoming more anti-social towards the real life population, the worse things will get.  Things like power outages, fuel and fuel shortages will only amplify the pending collapse of society.  Fragile it is...All of it, and not just the power grid. 

Good luck out there.

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2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Nice fat regional power outage blanketing 4 or 5 towns this morning... to which Ayer was one of them.

Apparently some sub-station decide to trip ... or blow up. Who knows.   Well...actually, it wasn't a damage thing or else we'd be out for 2 weeks.   I read that these substation parts are not stocked?  one particular reason why a Carrington Event would be particularly crippling... because A, it would take a long time to fab the parts necessary for each substation that got zapped, and B, because so many of them... it would take years (years!)  - per NSA estimates - to restore the grid to any kind of function that we've multi-generationally become inextricable so accustomed to needing - to put it nicely.  

Jesus...   It really does hone two failings about this thing...

1 ... Ironically, despite all that power being distributed across the face of the planet contained within the wholly dependent grid, it is utterly fragile. 

2 ... The shear lack of back-up systems ( redundancy ) flop over for what is tantamount to an apocalypse if it truly failed.  It was ugly out there.  Within 20 minutes, the line at Dunkin pooled out the door, and people were yelling into the store as though the staff was somehow at fault.  This is how fast "civility" and order and politeness ... everyday cooperative assumptions begin to break down.  It really is a prerequisite to a species that deserves it's own demise, to evolve it to be helpless without an aspect they do not protect.  Individual residences and edifice can certainly formulate ways to take themselves off grid when the grid trips... but still... society should long been researching and implementing back up systems - they don't even have to be as distributive as the primary - 'brown supply' the f'n population. Just with enough to run a light and heating element. 

 

1 hour ago, Cold Miser said:

It will get worse before it gets worse.

We are slowly breaking down within civil societies.  The more technology develops, and allows people to become hermits, doing everything within the confines of their homes... working, playing, etc., while simultaneously becoming more anti-social towards the real life population, the worse things will get.  Things like power outages, fuel and fuel shortages will only amplify the pending collapse of society.  Fragile it is...All of it, and not just the power grid. 

Good luck out there.

Good afternoon, Tip, Cold miser. I thought of the Paul Simon lyric, “and the sun has come to earth. The sun has disappeared. All is darkness, anger, pain and fears.” An EMP, I thought, perhaps as a gift from ourselves or our star. Stay well, as always …..

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