Lava Rock Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: This sounds fun. Tonight Occasional snow showers, mainly before 1am. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Areas of blowing snow between 9pm and 1am. Low around 3. Wind chill values as low as -22. Very windy, with a southwest wind 36 to 43 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. it'll be rocking at the picnic tables 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 Heh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 34 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice was I naked? 1 hour ago, Cold Miser said: Nice. Try to take some pics if you are able. 34 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: One of the more beautiful 3 inches... 19 minutes ago, powderfreak said: This sounds fun. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 Are people still excited for a squall line that falls apart around Central SNE . Congrats W SNE and parts of NNE/CNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 It's not going to fall apart. It may weaken slightly but it may actually rejuvenate some by the coast. Should be a decent amount of lightning with this thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 49 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 57-58? 57-58 was strong and also came off a stretch of three Ninas. honestly, not a far-fetched SST configuration given the subsurface anomalies. it's somewhere between basin-wide and Modoki. ended up becoming a prolific winter, regardless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Are people still excited for a squall line that falls apart around Central SNE . Congrats W SNE and parts of NNE/CNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: It's not going to fall apart. It may weaken slightly but it may actually rejuvenate some by the coast. Should be a decent amount of lightning with this thing I’m gonna go with rapidly weakening We can revisit that manana 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 Is the spring barrier still a thing? Lots of April Niño guesses. Watched many an April Nino prediction go down in flames. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 an evolution like 1957-58 wouldn't really be that farfetched given where all the warmth is under the surface right now. the CanSIPS has a pretty similar evolution with the stronger east-based anomalies migrating westward during autumn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 14 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Are people still excited for a squall line that falls apart around Central SNE . Congrats W SNE and parts of NNE/CNE I am going to be up at 2am, staring out the window like I do for Santa Claus. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 Kinda weird to see the gfs the most wedged for Saturday. This seems a little overly pessimistic at the sfc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 weird...you would think it would mix out based on wind profile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 Nice nape out there. High high "nape index" value. It's only 48 F, but dead calm wind whilst intense sun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 Could be a severe threat Saturday WOR. The NAM and GFS have strong low level shear along with some modest surface based instability. The NAM in particular has 0-3km ~125j/kg in western Mass with quite a bit of 0-3km helicity. Worth watching along with a damaging gradient wind threat ahead of the fropa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2023 Author Share Posted March 29, 2023 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: 57-58? I guess "high end" is subjective....my snowfall was about average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2023 Author Share Posted March 29, 2023 I guess by "high end", I mean the type of season where I end up with like 90"+... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 9 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Could be a severe threat Saturday WOR. The NAM and GFS have strong low level shear along with some modest surface based instability. The NAM in particular has 0-3km ~125j/kg in western Mass with quite a bit of 0-3km helicity. Worth watching along with a damaging gradient wind threat ahead of the fropa. We need this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: We need this No power for the UConn game? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 9 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Could be a severe threat Saturday WOR. The NAM and GFS have strong low level shear along with some modest surface based instability. The NAM in particular has 0-3km ~125j/kg in western Mass with quite a bit of 0-3km helicity. Worth watching along with a damaging gradient wind threat ahead of the fropa. I was debating starting a severe thread. Not a fan of how dry alot of soundings looked though...but there may be enhanced convergence right along the front. Good sign to see models with decent QPF signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2023 Author Share Posted March 29, 2023 22 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: an evolution like 1957-58 wouldn't really be that farfetched given where all the warmth is under the surface right now. the CanSIPS has a pretty similar evolution with the stronger east-based anomalies migrating westward during autumn Yea, that, 1986, 2002, and 2009 are some progressions that I could see....strong(er) central-west based type of events,. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: Too bad rn for saturday. Bring it. I'm ready for the ice on Little Sebago, Panther, and Crescent to be gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2023 Author Share Posted March 29, 2023 26 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: an evolution like 1957-58 wouldn't really be that farfetched given where all the warmth is under the surface right now. the CanSIPS has a pretty similar evolution with the stronger east-based anomalies migrating westward during autumn BTW, Canadien was the only guidance that nailed the la nina ending up as a modoki event this year.....I ignored it last fall, as everything else was central or east. But it was mild and the la nina really western biased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 5 minutes ago, CT Rain said: No power for the UConn game? It also appears Kevin is WOR now. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 does 'WOR' mean to imply 'west of region' ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: does 'WOR' mean to imply 'west of region' ? West Of River meaning CT river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 Bring it. I'm ready for the ice on Little Sebago, Panther, and Crescent to be gone. Crystal is looking vulnerable now. Probably go out in a week or soSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 13 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I was debating starting a severe thread. Not a fan of how dry alot of soundings looked though...but there may be enhanced convergence right along the front. Good sign to see models with decent QPF signal. What are your thoughts about the probable severe outbreak in the central part of the country Friday Wiz? Reed Timmer seems to be hitting it hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: What are your thoughts about the probable severe outbreak in the central part of the country Friday Wiz? Reed Timmer seems to be hitting it hard. Seems like a pretty impressive warm sector for in terms of dew points surging northward. Dynamics are through the roof. The warm sector seems messy though with lots of precip which may hinder instability and dampen lapse rates. That is an impressively large enhanced risk, but given some of the questions, I think you'll see some more concentrated pockets of widespread wind damage and not as extensive as the enhanced risk. southern Iowa into northern Missouri and western Illinois may be greatest overall potential. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2023 Share Posted March 29, 2023 39 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I guess "high end" is subjective....my snowfall was about average. Wow, had no idea how mundane it was there...ORH had 97.5". I assumed you were at least 80-85". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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