HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: More clown snow. Expect this to shift north 200 miles or so Seems like it may be shifting South actually. Either way, I’m not expecting snow next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 Not seeing a lot of spring warmth over the next few weeks it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 9 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Not seeing a lot of spring warmth over the next few weeks it seems. Other than some downslope dandy days, nothing really special at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 Massive differences with the handling of the PV and associated confluence. Until there is any idea on what this structure and evolution will be models/ensembles are utterly useless in terms of run-to-run solutions in terms of SLP and crap. They aren't going to tell us what we can't already decipher and that is a evolution like the Euro is higher storm potential and evolution like GFS is nada. Need to get consistency and clearer picture of the PV/confluence. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2023 Author Share Posted March 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Massive differences with the handling of the PV and associated confluence. Until there is any idea on what this structure and evolution will be models/ensembles are utterly useless in terms of run-to-run solutions in terms of SLP and crap. They aren't going to tell us what we can't already decipher and that is a evolution like the Euro is higher storm potential and evolution like GFS is nada. Need to get consistency and clearer picture of the PV/confluence. The 00z EPS was decidedly less impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The 00z EPS was decidedly less impressive. Not sure why I have any semblance of excitement, but I guess if there is potential may as well root for it. But with baseball around the corner and playoff hockey/basketball just bring on the 60's and 70's. Close the book on winter...it's like a final chapter that just won't end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2023 Author Share Posted March 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Not sure why I have any semblance of excitement, but I guess if there is potential may as well root for it. But with baseball around the corner and playoff hockey/basketball just bring on the 60's and 70's. Close the book on winter...it's like a final chapter that just won't end. That one last week tapped me out...I won't touch this unless it really looks imminent, and to be perfectly honest, I am rooting against it. I feel like the most likely outcome would be another round of blogs that will celebrate other areas getting big snow, while I get crap. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2023 Author Share Posted March 23, 2023 I takes a special kind of season to exhaust me with how passionate I am for winter storms, but this year did it...rare breed. No shortage of smoke with just about zero fire. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I takes a special kind of season to exhaust me with how passionate I am for winter storms, but this year did it...rare breed. No shortage of smoke with just about zero fire. But at least you had a semblance of winter, despite another lackluster year. It was non-existent here other than a few days here or there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 The irony on the EPS is that it's probably one of the more classic looks for good snow, despite it being a little outside. I haven't seen that look all winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 Sad part is that any spring weather looks to be non existent going forward…as we knew would happen in a shit season as this. So we have to enjoy a day here and there …and endure the damp cool 40’s. I hate April with a passion when it’s like that…useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2023 Author Share Posted March 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: But at least you had a semblance of winter, despite another lackluster year. It was non-existent here other than a few days here or there. See, this is what irritates me....the "at least your suck beat my suck". I always get bent over in the good seasons, and then I get all of the shitty toys that no one wants. Maybe its me, but I would take next to nothing some seasons to hit it out of the park in some bigger years. May have to move closer to the coast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2023 Author Share Posted March 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The irony on the EPS is that it's probably one of the more classic looks for good snow, despite it being a little outside. I haven't seen that look all winter. It still looks good, but 00z is more tempered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: But at least you had a semblance of winter, despite another lackluster year. It was non-existent here other than a few days here or there. Yup..he got 8” last week, I got .5”, so I’m not feeling too bad for him. I’d have traded places in a second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2023 Author Share Posted March 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: See, this is what irritates me....the "at least your suck beat my suck". I always get bent over in the good seasons, and then I get all of the shitty toys that no one wants. Maybe its me, but I would take next to nothing some seasons to hit it out of the park in some bigger years. May have to move closer to the coast. 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yup..he got 8” last week, I got .5”, so I’m not feeling too bad for him. I’d have traded places in a second. This is why I haven't sniffed a normal snowfall season in over half of a decade, yet I still have people slinging "at least"s at me.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: See, this is what irritates me....the "at least your suck beat my suck". I always get bent over in the good seasons, and then I get all of the shitty toys that no one wants. Maybe its me, but I would take next to nothing some seasons to hit it out of the park in some bigger years. May have to move closer to the coast. Eh, it's some luck involved too. This year was terrible here. I'm due for more shit years too. Move to Hubbardston lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2023 Author Share Posted March 23, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Eh, it's some luck involved too. This year was terrible here. I'm due for more shit years too. Move to Hubbardston lol. Trouble is I'd have to milk cows for a living...all set...even if I would get to do it on a hill. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 06z EPS looks pretty decent. Guess we'll see what 12z brings. Still not all that compelling yet until we get another 24-36 hours closer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2023 Author Share Posted March 23, 2023 Its like telling an Indians fan, "Hey, you haven't won a title in 6 decades, but at least you won 61 games that one season...I only won 50". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2023 Author Share Posted March 23, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 06z EPS looks pretty decent. Guess we'll see what 12z brings. Still not all that compelling yet until we get another 24-36 hours closer. I thought 12z was the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 06z EPS looks pretty decent. Guess we'll see what 12z brings. Still not all that compelling yet until we get another 24-36 hours closer. That's what sparked my comment to Ray. Still tough to get excited when guidance is more off than on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2023 Author Share Posted March 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's what sparked my comment to Ray. Still tough to get excited when guidance is more off than on. All frustration aside, I think its a prudent course of action to approach major threats at this point of the season with a good dose of skepticism. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is why I haven't sniffed a normal snowfall season in over half of a decade, yet I still have people slinging "at least"s at me.... Lol..but it’s sucked everywhere….except for Dave and ineedsnow, and you were a lot less sucky than Scott and I and alot of us…And that’s a fact. I wasn’t saying it to sling it at you, just saying I would have gladly taken your 8” last week. Shit year for most…next year will be better lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 For the experts, where’s the warm layer up here that’s causing the rain? 534 thickness overhead and spitting out rain? Nam is colder and I’m assuming at 1900’ we stay mostly snow this weekend, but never hurts to learn.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2023 Author Share Posted March 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol..but it’s sucked everywhere….except for Dave and ineedsnow, and you were a lot less sucky than Scott and I and alot of us…And that’s a fact. I wasn’t saying it to sling it at you, just saying I would have gladly taken your 8” last week. Shit year for most…next year will be better lol. But my point is for several years I have gotten boned in every decent season....the awful years, like this year and 2019-2020 are when I have done a little better. I mean, 'cmon.....show me a snowfall anomaly map for the last half decade, and it will illustrate my point perfectly. Goose egg right in ne MA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2023 Author Share Posted March 23, 2023 Other people when Olympic medals, but congrats to me on qualifying for the fucking Dutch Oven Invitational, I guess. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: All frustration aside, I think its a prudent course of action to approach major threats at this point of the season with a good dose of skepticism. Ot was prudent to use that approach all winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2023 Author Share Posted March 23, 2023 Just now, DavisStraight said: Ot was prudent to use that approach all winter In hindsight, we are all Harvey Leonard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 28 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: See, this is what irritates me....the "at least your suck beat my suck". I always get bent over in the good seasons, and then I get all of the shitty toys that no one wants. Maybe its me, but I would take next to nothing some seasons to hit it out of the park in some bigger years. May have to move closer to the coast. Lower variability tends to go that way. Highs won’t be as high but lows won’t be as low. Feel like SE MA has the highest variability of all of New England. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2023 Share Posted March 23, 2023 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Lower variability tends to go that way. Highs won’t be as high but lows won’t be as low. Feel like SE MA has the highest variability of all of New England. BOS to PYM and out to 95 probably have the highest SD. But, we haven't had a winter this bad since 11/12. That's an impressive stretch. 19-20 kind of sucked, but not as bad as this winter or 11-12. Usually true stinkers come about every 5 years or so...give or take. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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