Ginx snewx Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 Man what a pack NNE will have for spring skiing. I would give Ray's left nut to be able to ski again especially this year. I could see PF Phin Western Maine Mts with 3 plus feet over the ten days after Thursday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 I mean if there was a pattern for late season snow chances, it’s what is coming up. Very blocky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 There really is no reason to believe this spring won't act like the past several have. Sure we'll have our nice days, but they won't be consistent. More times then not it will be chilly and you can bet at least NNE will see accumulating snow chances through April. We'll probably flip the switch to summer late June. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 I’m all set with any snow now. I need to get the landscaping going. Ready for outdoor projects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 41 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: The Noyes in house model More paint by numbers created by Satan. (not saying that Noyes is Satan...I'm talking about the actual devil) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2023 Author Share Posted March 21, 2023 42 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: The Noyes in house model Strongly agree with this guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2023 Author Share Posted March 21, 2023 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I mean if there was a pattern for late season snow chances, it’s what is coming up. Very blocky. Its funny how I have largely hit on the pattern, insane Jan warmth notwithstanding, yet my seasonal snow totals are going to be high for much of SNE. And I remember last fall having to explain why my snowfall totals were relatively "low" given the pattern advertised. Never get asked that question again- 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its funny how I have largely hit on the pattern, insane Jan warmth notwithstanding, yet my seasonal snow totals are going to be high for much of SNE. And I remember last fall having to explain why my snowfall totals were relatively "low" given the pattern advertised. Never get asked that question again- you had a great outlook but snow is so difficult to predict .. if this winter played out 10 times, this has to be bottom 2 in snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Strongly agree with this guidance. 6-7” puts me right on 100”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2023 Author Share Posted March 21, 2023 Just now, ma blizzard said: you had a great outlook but snow is so difficult to predict .. if this winter played out 10 times, this has to be bottom 2 in snowfall. Yea, that is what I hope people understand....don't get me wrong, I will heavily weigh the fact that I blew snowfall into the grading....but its such a crapshoot. I will say, though....the PNA has been more negative than I thought. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2023 Author Share Posted March 21, 2023 1 minute ago, dendrite said: 6-7” puts me right on 100”. This is a perfect example of why I have been so frustrated past several years...I get everyone's sloppy seconds. Too far north last year, and too far south this year. Never fails. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 14 hours ago, WinterWolf said: God no. Not that shit again. At least I am in good company with Baltimore with that look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is a perfect example of why I have been so frustrated past several years...I get everyone's sloppy seconds. Too far north last year, and too far south this year. Never fails. Did you get northern NE correct? They did ok after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2023 Author Share Posted March 21, 2023 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, that is what I hope people understand....don't get me wrong, I will heavily weigh the fact that I blew snowfall into the grading....but its such a crapshoot. I will say, though....the PNA has been more negative than I thought. What I should say is the PNA being biased so far to the west is what killed snowfall...it actually hasn't been that negative. This is why the devil is in the details...on paper, you look at the PNA and think that its not a deal breaker. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2023 Author Share Posted March 21, 2023 Just now, DavisStraight said: Did you get northern NE correct? They did ok after all. I think I will do pretty well there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 Crap day today. 39° Pack was down to 15” last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is a perfect example of why I have been so frustrated past several years...I get everyone's sloppy seconds. Too far north last year, and too far south this year. Never fails. I can’t even get sloppy thirds or fourths! Haha 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2023 Author Share Posted March 21, 2023 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: I can’t even get sloppy thirds or fourths! Haha Congrats me.....my prom date weighs 634lbs, too, but at least mine has two legs. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Congrats me.....my prom date weighs 634lbs, too, but at least mine has two legs. Any port in a storm?? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Man what a pack NNE will have for spring skiing. I would give Ray's left nut to be able to ski again especially this year. I could see PF Phin Western Maine Mts with 3 plus feet over the ten days after Thursday. Backyard pack at 1900’ is still just shy of my 4’ deck railing. Should lose some weds/Thurs, but net gain after this weekend. Jay will go weekends only for May, but man, they could make almost june this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 Personally, I've had an outstanding winter season for general risk/threat assessment periods. However, the periods ( time spans...) themselves only materialized oddities - most of which in very fair terms were oddly under performing. Pure emotion op ed: Yeah, this was not a good winter. Particularly for the 'model spectator cinema' pastime. As far as snow, I'm sitting at 40" give or take....in an area of interior SNE that tends ~ 1/3 more so over that as a seasonal average. Now ... I don't typically gripe for low snow numbers (myself) ... but if one is really looking to put snow on the Earth? yeeah, this was less than a C-grade imho... Trying for logic in a jilted malaise takes a bit of bravery at times when seeking constructive qualitative remarks ...lol, but when you come up with less than average on any test... that is by definition a f'n failure. Done deal. Ungood winter per that metric alone. But then adding to that just how the cinema in watching 100% ( not exaggeration) of all (lower frequency too) events under perform within a dearth of risk periods. It's like the movie reel is skipping back to the beginning of that washroom scene in Shawshank to a captive audience. Though I am not certain, I don't think it was very good for other winter enthusiast/recreational interests, either. It just seems there was very little redeeming value to this 4 or so months, overall. I can't find much. I'm sure those that hail from NNE may have different perceptions on matters.. but, the eastern OV/MA/ combined with SNE is a much bigger damning space. Incidentally ... the northern Lakes to the N/Plains and N Missouri valley region is under the gun for spring floods. I was reading these regions have 150% ( ave) with greater regions, encased with snow that has a water content that is in the top 10%tile of climatology for snow/hydro ratio. Beyond their flood monitoring efforts... it's an interesting large continental environmental factor for assessing the heat in N/America this summer... at least the first 45 or so days of it... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 42 minutes ago, dendrite said: 6-7” puts me right on 100”. You got me by 12" or so on the last one, I would need 18" for 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: You got me by 12" or so on the last one, I would need 18" for 100. No complaints from me, but I'm at 56" so the gradient is real. I have a shot at average (67"). Any chance this track on this thing hugs and I get rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 1 minute ago, tunafish said: No complaints from me, but I'm at 56" so the gradient is real. I have a shot at average (67"). Any chance this track on this thing hugs and I get rain? There is, Temps are very borderline, Going to depend on the secondary and how fast it redevelops. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 I think more is coming for up here, and probably 3 events. As someone said yesterday, they are lined up, and this kind of setup is ripe for this time of year. I bet one gets a good part of SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2023 Author Share Posted March 21, 2023 https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/03/addressing-question-of-whether-or-not.html 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 13 hours ago, dryslot said: Looks like the game is still on for some, I think your area should get it done as well as the other elevations in the Northeast, Been some great stretches where all the snow has fallen, Been feast or famine actually, Odd winter, This one is going to go down as a back loaded winter one for sure after looking quite bleak as you mention, Even here in the coastal plain, We will finish above normal even if no other flakes fall. Not all back-loaded here. It may be a stretch, but this snow season reminds me of G6 of the 1975 WS - Sox jump out to a 3-0 lead (the mid-Dec 22" dump) then the Reds catch up and pass, leading 6-3 late (the 12/23 deluge and record warm Jan). The Bernie Carbo 3-run dinger to tie the game was like the 29" we've had Feb 28-on. Now we just need Fisk's barely fair walk-off analogy, like a 32-33° blue bomb. (or 2 ) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, tamarack said: Not all back-loaded here. It may be a stretch, but this snow season reminds me of G6 of the 1975 WS - Sox jump out to a 3-0 lead (the mid-Dec 22" dump) then the Reds catch up and pass, leading 6-3 late (the 12/23 deluge and record warm Jan). The Bernie Carbo 3-run dinger to tie the game was like the 29" we've had Feb 28-on. Now we just need Fisk's barely fair walk-off analogy, like a 32-33° blue bomb. (or 2 ) And would a crappy back-door April/May be the the game 7 loss that everyone agrees to never mention? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, PWMan said: And would a crappy back-door April/May be the the game 7 loss that everyone agrees to never mention? I can smell it coming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted March 21, 2023 Share Posted March 21, 2023 5 minutes ago, PWMan said: And would a crappy back-door April/May be the the game 7 loss that everyone agrees to never mention? Hopefully right into a cool wet summer, I’ve had enough of the past three summer dust bowls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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