Great Snow 1717 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Should I start a thread? something like, “historic top 10 blizzard imminent” Might as try your luck, it can't possibly be any worse... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Euro looks fine to me for a plowable 6 to 8 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris12WX Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 53 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Of all systems to whiff, this doesn’t look like one. Definitely more concerned about a cutter than a whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro looks fine to me for a plowable 6 to 8 Where? Western CT, sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 14 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Should I start a thread? something like, “historic top 10 blizzard imminent” Let George do it. I want to see the hyperbole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I agree this synoptic setup is not a ridge linking up…there’s a clear 50/50 signal in between the positive height anomalies. Here’s 144h right as the storm is gearing up to form..the SE ridge offshore (more like a WAR there) puts my suppression concerns lower on the list…so I agree with scooter that this doesn’t really look like a whiff storm. I’d be more worried about ptype Compression looks to be less of an issue here than the Tuesday deal, but not non existent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Individuals I want the 969 a hair se of ACK. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 hour ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Let George do it. I want to see the hyperbole. My area could score, but it’s not a great setup for me if looking for big snow. Miller A and limited blocking favors more north. That said, it’s a really strong storm so the areas that stay snow will likely get a lot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Individuals Moving along like a rocket, this one is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 8 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Moving along like a rocket, this one is Speed of movement is the most overrated element of a snowfall forecast. Get the moisture plus the well placed lift/dynamics and the rest will take care of itself given a favorable track. Missing out the additional 3-6" over 24 hours from shredded returns won't kill me. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 This should have plenty of mositure given its origin...just need to be careful not to shred it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro looks fine to me for a plowable 6 to 8 That’s what she said 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Speed of movement is the most overrated element of a snowfall forecast. Get the moisture plus the well placed lift/dynamics and the rest will take care of itself given a favorable track. Missing out the additional 3-6" over 24 hours from shredded returns won't kill me. True Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Well, 18z GFS certainly has an historic storm....for somebody between the Ozarks and New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: Well, 18z GFS certainly has an historic storm....for somebody between the Ozarks and New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 33 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro/gfs compromise and we’ll be golden. Even nyc 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 GEFS is improved again… more confluence over SE Canada and a slightly weaker S/W lead to a colder, farther S track. this is a monster signal for this range 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Speed of movement is the most overrated element of a snowfall forecast. Get the moisture plus the well placed lift/dynamics and the rest will take care of itself given a favorable track. Missing out the additional 3-6" over 24 hours from shredded returns won't kill me. Agreed. I pulled 28” in about 8 or 9 hours in Jan ‘11. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 32 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: GEFS is improved again… more confluence over SE Canada and a slightly weaker S/W lead to a colder, farther S track. this is a monster signal for this range Essentially 5 days out till onset, not so bad! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 32 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: GEFS is improved again… more confluence over SE Canada and a slightly weaker S/W lead to a colder, farther S track. this is a monster signal for this range Looks like a slight shave in QPF, too...watch the shredder threat. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 Pay close attention and look beyond the weenies smearing themselves in KY Jelly during any south trends, as said trends may also come with a slow and inexorable march towards pedestrian. That is it for the season for me if this one starts that shit....will cancel subscriptions promptly. 3 1 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Pay close attention and look beyond the weenies smearing themselves in KY Jelly during any south trends, as said trends may also come with a slow and inexorable march towards pedestrian. That is it for the season for me if this one starts that shit....will cancel subscriptions promptly. There are 3 weeks plus of chances cancel at your own risk. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: There are 3 weeks plus of chances cancel at your own risk. I thinks it's been evident that I understand the potential of this March as much as anyone, but I'm just tiring of going through the motions with little to no reward. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I thinks it's been evident that I understand the potential of this March as much as anyone, but I'm just tiring of going through the motions with little to no reward. Lol it's not even March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 26 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol it's not even March. I mean the season...and the event to close this month and open March is another fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 7 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I mean the season...and the event to close this month and open March is another fail. Lol March 4th fail? Anyways keep your script. Gonna be a while before snow season ends. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol March 4th fail? Anyways keep your script. Gonna be a while before snow season ends. Looks active too...see how Monday night goes for us down here, if the rug gets pulled for even us, it might be hard to trust any look. If that is even possible after this season. Even yesterday's half inch felt good, so there is that at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 How do you guys do in 50/50 lows? KU setup if not for the rapidly trending -PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol March 4th fail? Anyways keep your script. Gonna be a while before snow season ends. basically a couple more weeks of "snow season" unless you live on a mountain way way north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Just now, Torch Tiger said: basically a couple more weeks of "snow season" unless you live on a mountain way way north Lol check back March 21st 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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