ariof Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 A friend out in TRK had photos of the Auburn Ski Club building up on Donner Pass (right near the snow lab) from a few years ago where people were going in and out the third floor by the end of the season. Great photos on their linked Facebook. They build warming cabins on stilts and they're still drifting over (or as a friend says: "it's not a warming hut, it's a snow gauge"). They're up on I-80 so at the whims of the highway and it seems they've been closed more than open recently. They're talking of skiing until July 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 These are done chasing deer 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Here kitty kitty 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: So cool did you save any pics I've posted these before, but this was near Alpine Meadows late Jan 2017. Squaw Valley reported 26 feet for the month. The pack is probably bigger now amazingly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 49 minutes ago, radarman said: I've posted these before, but this was near Alpine Meadows late Jan 2017. Squaw Valley reported 26 feet for the month. The pack is probably bigger now amazingly. I have no idea how they will so with 6 to 8 feet above 8k. Village is 8100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Nothing campaigns spring like 504 dm hydrostats down to Pittsburgh PA on March 25th... not sure, though, how much of this is just the GFS non-responsive to the seasonal forcing - I've sort of sensed this since the era of rapid version upgrades ...going back about 5 or 7 years. I realize that's 384 hours so has 0 real value, but I'll be watching for the GFS' incompetence to sense the hemispheric changes and fighting it. Obfuscating matters ... I suspect that a general colder and stormier profile to the pattern may persist though to the 20th anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 29 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I have no idea how they will so with 6 to 8 feet above 8k. Village is 8100 nah, the village is a lot lower. Like 6800' The peak is 8600'. It's going to be a huge, huge disaster probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: I have no idea how they will so with 6 to 8 feet above 8k. Village is 8100 Palisades base is at 6300ft and Alpine Meadows at 6900. Still should be a ton of snow though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 8 minutes ago, bch2014 said: Palisades base is at 6300ft and Alpine Meadows at 6900. Still should be a ton of snow though! Palisades may change to rain at 6300 feet, though it probably won't last super long as snow levels drop again later Friday....Alpine may stay all snow as snow levels prob don't rise above 7k (or if they do, it's quite brief). Still looking at 4 to 8 feet of new snow there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Not much vis this afternoon at 3,717' on Coburn Mtn, Last 1,000' was all squalls and the summit was maybe 100'vis 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Can start here and go up from there if we need to. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 not that it means anything at this range, but GFS sniffing out another stout sig around the 22nd, course I'll be gone, but nothing on euro. I just want smooth driving down to Florida, no rain/snow etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 After St Patty's Day (which could be very nice wx wise) it looks pretty active with a fairly cold late season look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: After St Patty's Day (which could be very nice wx wise) it looks pretty active with a fairly cold late season look. Scott, I think either your or Tip alluded to a few other "threats/signals" after the 17th-23rd time frame? Boy she ain't letting anyone out! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Beautiful day up on East Kennebago Mtn today. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 hour ago, 512high said: Scott, I think either your or Tip alluded to a few other "threats/signals" after the 17th-23rd time frame? Boy she ain't letting anyone out! I mean I am looping the GFS op and asking myself, where the fuck was this in January? 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I mean I am looping the GFS op and asking myself, where the fuck was this in January? Wonder if this is some little bit of evidence for the seasonal delay theory for CC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Wonder if this is some little bit of evidence for the seasonal delay theory for CC There's no empirical evidence March is cooling (or warming less fast) than the other winter months. In fact, November has been one of the colder months in the last decade during the cold season. January had no warming trend here for like 5-6 decades, so we're probably regressing to the mean a bit....aka, we were "due" for a stretch of putrid/warm Januarys. Tip and I have sometimes discussed that maybe there is a response on the extreme end of the spectrum for individual cold intrusions....more frequent snows in October and late April/early May than we've seen in the past, but they manifest themselves within the warmer climate background signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There's no empirical evidence March is cooling (or warming less fast) than the other winter months. In fact, November has been one of the colder months in the last decade during the cold season. January had no warming trend here for like 5-6 decades, so we're probably regressing to the mean a bit....aka, we were "due" for a stretch of putrid/warm Januarys. Tip and I have sometimes discussed that maybe there is a response on the extreme end of the spectrum for individual cold intrusions....more frequent snows in October and late April/early May than we've seen in the past, but they manifest themselves within the warmer climate background signal. Ah, so greater intraseasonal variability can anecdotally mask itself as seasonal shift? I could understand that if SD for "severe weather index" increases alongside with mean temperature increases, the window in which significant winter events may occur will expand even if it's an evenly-distributed warming. That said, I've read a few papers which predict that even in the next 50 years, N/S jet orientation is not predicted to move northward in spring, while it is for other seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 hour ago, Henry's Weather said: Wonder if this is some little bit of evidence for the seasonal delay theory for CC It seems more on a smaller temporal scale...IE tropical forcing, leftover blocking etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I mean I am looping the GFS op and asking myself, where the fuck was this in January? I’m not sure I’ve seen a winter in my lifetime with as much wasted potential as this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Wasn't it supposed to be BN rolling into next week? 40s and rain doesn't seem winterySent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/9/2023 at 3:13 PM, radarman said: nah, the village is a lot lower. Like 6800' The peak is 8600'. It's going to be a huge, huge disaster probably. Mammoth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 bangers? 2 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 GFS out to 3/28 has a high in BOS of 55 … which would give March a lower high temp than Dec, Jan or Feb. Of course, the real outlier was 2020, when April had a high of 62, lower than any other month that year (or the preceding Nov or Dec). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Another storm after this one ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 16 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Another storm after this one ? I sure hope not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 18 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Another storm after this one ? Eventually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 3 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: I sure hope not. How many more kicks to the balls do people need before they call it quits. Pack it up and embrace the warmer weather. Maybe we'll get some nice severe days and some tropical remnants over the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: How many more kicks to the balls do people need before they call it quits. Pack it up and embrace the warmer weather. Maybe we'll get some nice severe days and some tropical remnants over the summer. Maybe we had the same feeling in 1998 before the late March event.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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