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March 2023 Obs/Disco


40/70 Benchmark
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Some futility stats across the region...hopefully no errors this time but let me know.

Station ID | Snowfall to date | Normal snowfall to date | % snowfall to normal to date | rank if no more snow fell | snowfall needed to tie record

ALY | 41.9" | 48.6" | 86% | #16 | N/A

ORH | 31.8" | 60.9" | 52% | #9 | N/A

BDL | 19.6" | 43.8" | 45% | #10 | N/A

BOS | 11.9" | 41.0" | 29% | #4 | N/A

PVD | 11.5" | 31.4" | 37% | #5 | N/A

BDR | 4.9" | 27.6" | 18% | #1 | 3.3" 

LGA | 3.3" | 25.5" | 13% | #2 | N/A

NYC | 2.2" | 25.9" | 8% | #1 | 0.6"

JFK | 1.7" | 22.2" | 8% | #2 | N/A

ISP | 3.4" | 26.3" | 13% | #2 | N/A

 

 

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Periods of snow, heavy at times at the hill in upslope flow.  Good 3-4” so far today at the ski area.

This winter is trying hard to redeem itself.

A lot of -SN obs out there. Looks like locally been running 1-3sm in -SN all day.

KMVL 071854Z AUTO 34011KT 310V010 1SM -SN SCT017 BKN024 OVC030 M04/M08 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP124 P0000 T10441078

0D5E71B2-1A92-4E4E-92E1-99F5722EF2B2.gif

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11 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Periods of snow, heavy at times at the hill in upslope flow.  Good 3-4” so far today at the ski area.

This winter is trying hard to redeem itself.

A lot of -SN obs out there. Looks like locally been running 1-3sm in -SN all day.

KMVL 071854Z AUTO 34011KT 310V010 1SM -SN SCT017 BKN024 OVC030 M04/M08 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP124 P0000 T10441078

0D5E71B2-1A92-4E4E-92E1-99F5722EF2B2.gif

deep winter for all!

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4 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Some futility stats across the region...hopefully no errors this time but let me know.

Station ID | Snowfall to date | Normal snowfall to date | % snowfall to normal to date | rank if no more snow fell | snowfall needed to tie record

ALY | 41.9" | 48.6" | 86% | #16 | N/A

ORH | 31.8" | 60.9" | 52% | #9 | N/A

BDL | 19.6" | 43.8" | 45% | #10 | N/A

BOS | 11.9" | 41.0" | 29% | #4 | N/A

PVD | 11.5" | 31.4" | 37% | #5 | N/A

BDR | 4.9" | 27.6" | 18% | #1 | 3.3" 

LGA | 3.3" | 25.5" | 13% | #2 | N/A

NYC | 2.2" | 25.9" | 8% | #1 | 0.6"

JFK | 1.7" | 22.2" | 8% | #2 | N/A

ISP | 3.4" | 26.3" | 13% | #2 | N/A

 

 

Where in the WORLD did you find all the data to put up these numbers?  That’s the kind of stuff I Love to do at night…..  

 

Really want to know….  

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1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Periods of snow, heavy at times at the hill in upslope flow.  Good 3-4” so far today at the ski area.

This winter is trying hard to redeem itself.

A lot of -SN obs out there. Looks like locally been running 1-3sm in -SN all day.

KMVL 071854Z AUTO 34011KT 310V010 1SM -SN SCT017 BKN024 OVC030 M04/M08 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP124 P0000 T10441078

 

Looks really good for you through Thursday. 12"+ of fake snow incoming.

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1 minute ago, NW_of_GYX said:

Looks really good for you through Thursday. 12"+ of fake snow incoming.

I think it gets too blocked up tonight and tomorrow. Smuggs should do best but it’ll stay fresh on the east side too.  Windier on east side as well, reducing accumulation (less loft to the flakes).

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22 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

Where in the WORLD did you find all the data to put up these numbers?  A is the king of stuff I Love to do at night…..  

 

Really want to know….  

I have no idea what this sentence means. 

It's pretty easy though just go to the NWS any area click on the climate tab, then click on NOWdata and you'll see it. The percentages and snowfall to tie record I calculated myself with some simple math. Hope that helps

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17 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

I have no idea what this sentence means. 

It's pretty easy though just go to the NWS any area click on the climate tab, then click on NOWdata and you'll see it. The percentages and snowfall to tie record I calculated myself with some simple math. Hope that helps

Swipe Text is Atrocious.  
 

And I had no idea that the NWS gave that.  Years ago the classic snowfall data, and it was SO west to access all of it.  Now I can’t find S***.  I’ll try what you said.  

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5 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Some futility stats across the region...hopefully no errors this time but let me know.

Station ID | Snowfall to date | Normal snowfall to date | % snowfall to normal to date | rank if no more snow fell | snowfall needed to tie record

ALY | 41.9" | 48.6" | 86% | #16 | N/A

ORH | 31.8" | 60.9" | 52% | #9 | N/A

BDL | 19.6" | 43.8" | 45% | #10 | N/A

BOS | 11.9" | 41.0" | 29% | #4 | N/A

PVD | 11.5" | 31.4" | 37% | #5 | N/A

BDR | 4.9" | 27.6" | 18% | #1 | 3.3" 

LGA | 3.3" | 25.5" | 13% | #2 | N/A

NYC | 2.2" | 25.9" | 8% | #1 | 0.6"

JFK | 1.7" | 22.2" | 8% | #2 | N/A

ISP | 3.4" | 26.3" | 13% | #2 | N/A

 

 

I love the smell of victory in the morning....smells like.. 40 dollars

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6 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Some futility stats across the region...hopefully no errors this time but let me know.

Station ID | Snowfall to date | Normal snowfall to date | % snowfall to normal to date | rank if no more snow fell | snowfall needed to tie record

ALY | 41.9" | 48.6" | 86% | #16 | N/A

ORH | 31.8" | 60.9" | 52% | #9 | N/A

BDL | 19.6" | 43.8" | 45% | #10 | N/A

BOS | 11.9" | 41.0" | 29% | #4 | N/A

PVD | 11.5" | 31.4" | 37% | #5 | N/A

BDR | 4.9" | 27.6" | 18% | #1 | 3.3" 

LGA | 3.3" | 25.5" | 13% | #2 | N/A

NYC | 2.2" | 25.9" | 8% | #1 | 0.6"

JFK | 1.7" | 22.2" | 8% | #2 | N/A

ISP | 3.4" | 26.3" | 13% | #2 | N/A

 

 

love these stats, I've been slowly in spare time pouring over the data from just my area, dating back to 1897, and putting together plots for all parameters, almost feels like work, reducing data into readable format charts and graphs etc, fun though...

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9 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

love these stats, I've been slowly in spare time pouring over the data from just my area, dating back to 1897, and putting together plots for all parameters, almost feels like work, reducing data into readable format charts and graphs etc, fun though...

yea its a lot of work but fun, i agree. When the winters over im gonna make a bunch of them with different stats using the graphics that i normally do for this winter

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16 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

yea its a lot of work but fun, i agree. When the winters over im gonna make a bunch of them with different stats using the graphics that i normally do for this winter

I spend a good part of my job taking data acquisition in various forms and deducing it to present in test reports, so I don't mind it at all, best is I get to spot seasonal trends in the data, and being a big pattern recognition guy, that satisfies me, ha!

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This is sick. They literally have no where to put it and Wow.

QPF: Precipitation totals are only continuing on their upward trend 
with newest guidance. Recent guidance suggests 6-8" of QPF along the 
Sierra crest, 3-5" in Sierra communities, 1-2" for far western 
Nevada communities, and 0.25-0.5" for the west-central Basin & Range.

SNOW LEVELS: And now to the lowest confidence factor in this 
storm... snow levels! There is high confidence that this storm will 
be warmer due to the strong jet providing warm, southwesterly flow 
from the subtropics. The current, most likely forecast still 
indicates snow levels rapidly increasing overnight to around 8000-
8500' at the onset of heaviest precipitation overnight Thursday. 
Snow levels look to remain high through late morning Friday, before 
a colder upper-level low swings by to our north and surges cooler 
southward through Friday afternoon. Snow levels will then hover 
between 6000-7000' through Saturday. With that said, there are a few 
caveats to this forecast due to the potential for a deep isothermal 
layer for a short period late Thursday into early Friday morning 
as indicated by model soundings. This could drop snow levels 
1000-2000' lower than forecast early in the event.

Sunday onward: 

After the weekend AR, the door remains open to additional warm, 
moisture-rich Pacific storms. Confidence continues to increase for 
another AR arriving as early as Monday, which could exacerbate snow 
load and flooding issues. Stay prepared and tuned to the forecast as 
more details come into focus on this next storm. -Whitlam
 

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