40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The NAO fades as a new -EPO formulates. That temporal relay et al is pretty good indication that a blocking hemispheric mode is still in place. This new pattern should last most of March IMO 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This new pattern should last most of March IMO Yeah. I wouldn’t care to aver a prediction for the whole month … but at least through the ides … blocking appears to be the course of lesser regret. I mean in practical sense … I suppose if the NAO takes 7 to 10 days to mature and fade … then the EPO loads into an elevating PNA after that … where are we going. We end up nearing the equinox. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Cmc nukes the I95 corridor with a little LBSW but the take away is that a high ceiling pattern is closing in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Cmc nukes the I95 corridor with a little LBSW but the take away is that a high ceiling pattern is closing in. These 0z runs show why qqomega jumped the gun saying that mid March looked boring. Just like that, a low appeared on the OP runs! I wouldn’t call it a blizzard, but a nice moderate snowfall is very possible. Even if it doesn’t pan out, we are tracking a storm. Not boring at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 11 minutes ago, George001 said: These 0z runs show why qqomega jumped the gun saying that mid March looked boring. Just like that, a low appeared on the OP runs! I wouldn’t call it a blizzard, but a nice moderate snowfall is very possible. Even if it doesn’t pan out, we are tracking a storm. Not boring at all. Cmc is a classic h5 KU evolution. Surface output is meaningless at this stage, as is the jack zone. But The ceiling for potential is as high as I have seen for the DC to Boston corridor in a very long time. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Buzzsaw on after-hours GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 hour ago, George001 said: These 0z runs show why qqomega jumped the gun saying that mid March looked boring. Just like that, a low appeared on the OP runs! I wouldn’t call it a blizzard, but a nice moderate snowfall is very possible. Even if it doesn’t pan out, we are tracking a storm. Not boring at all. I told him OP runs would pop...now watch, he'll make fun of people for discussing it. You can't win lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 34 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I told him OP runs would pop...now watch, he'll make fun of people for discussing it. You can't win lol To hell with him…that’s what we do here, we discuss. He’s a troll..period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 EPS gone wild. like holy crap 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 3 hours ago, George001 said: These 0z runs show why qqomega jumped the gun saying that mid March looked boring. Just like that, a low appeared on the OP runs! I would call it a blizzard, but a nice moderate snowfall is very possible. Even if it doesn’t pan out, we are tracking a storm. Not boring at all. New thread worthy? 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Hopefully this coming blizzard is hyped to high heaven, we need to get expectations through the roof! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: EPS gone wild. like holy crap Did you catch that 938 mb in there?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 hour ago, Henry's Weather said: Did you catch that 938 mb in there?? 936, too. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: EPS gone wild. like holy crap Zzzzzzzzzz 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 some of those EPS members are wild 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Gfs has nothing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Gfs has nothing Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Gfs has nothing When does the car washing/details thread start? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Damn, Euro moved way north for the 10th-11th threat. Low plows straight into central PA, strong storm too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 936, too. Would be nice! just get me a double digit storm for this year, however, I will take anything this time of the year...meaning snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 4 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: New thread worthy? Would work out perfectly if I could pick up 40+ inches. This would get me to my yearly average. Fingers crossed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 28 minutes ago, George001 said: Damn, Euro moved way north for the 10th-11th threat. Low plows straight into central PA, strong storm too. Cool. 4 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: EPS gone wild. like holy crap Nuts: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 GFS has a system, just at a slightly later time frame and offshore. Regardless, there's huge potential with this pattern, and the models are clearly reflecting that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 hour ago, George001 said: Damn, Euro moved way north for the 10th-11th threat. Low plows straight into central PA, strong storm too. In all honesty that's what's probably gonna happen. We can't have nice things this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: In all honesty that's what's probably gonna happen. We can't have nice things this winter. Yeah it wouldn’t be snowy for us but still a very impressive storm with heavy rain and wind. I would still consider the pattern a success if that happens. It’s a possible outcome but without a massive trough in the west and MJO in phase 8 by then there is room for that to be more south and east. The EPS shows that, while there are some inland members as well as offshore ones, the mean is maybe 50 miles NW of the benchmark and is 993mb. That’s a really strong signal this far out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 4 minutes ago, George001 said: Yeah it wouldn’t be snowy for us but still a very impressive storm with heavy rain and wind. I would still consider the pattern a success if that happens. It’s a possible outcome but without a massive trough in the west and MJO in phase 8 by then there is room for that to be more south and east. The EPS shows that, while there are some inland members as well as offshore ones, the mean is maybe 50 miles NW of the benchmark and is 993mb. That’s a really strong signal this far out. 993 at D9 mean is ridiculous. Time for a few prayers… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 17 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 993 at D9 mean is ridiculous. Time for a few prayers… I was gonna say, that’s an awfully strong system depicted at that lead time..especially for a mean. At least there are signs of a storm(s) on the modeling starting to show up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Just have to wish this into existence: 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Anybody want to over/under on my highest snowpack for this season (which probably included the whole of March? So far 21". Today, 10-12 in sunny open areas and 15-20 in the woods. Similar to Dendrite's. I say the O/U is 30. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 7 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Anybody want to over/under on my highest snowpack for this season (which probably included the whole of March? So far 21". Today, 10-12 in sunny open areas and 15-20 in the woods. Similar to Dendrite's. I say the O/U is 30. So you’re feeling good about some big systems over the next 2-3 wks I take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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