jm1220 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: basically a couple more weeks of "snow season" unless you live on a mountain way way north Even down here we've had some good April storms. 2018 was of course the mother of all late season comebacks. Up to 20" on 3/21/18 and 6" on 4/2 morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: Even down here we've had some good April storms. 2018 was of course the mother of all late season comebacks. Up to 20" on 3/21/18 and 6" on 4/2 morning. April is snow season? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 March is going In like a lion or a gerbil . Should be another gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/02/mild-well-forecast-february-more-wintry.html 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 March12 boyee: 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: March12 boyee: Pattern looks pretty damned cold out into mid March and beyond. Maybe a *little* relaxation after the 3/4 storm but it looks to reload pretty quickly. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Lot of winter left, Delayed but not denied. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Lot of winter left, Delayed but not denied. Oh boy oh boy 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 This is quite the tenses 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Feels like this winter is turning heel? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Feels like this winter is turning heel? winter can do a Pearl Harbor job on you in a second Daddy. Just when you think you have all the answers winter changes the questions. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 6 minutes ago, The Graupler said: winter can do a Pearl Harbor job on you in a second Daddy. Just when you think you have all the answers winter changes the questions. I have all the cheat notes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 45 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pattern looks pretty damned cold out into mid March and beyond. Maybe a *little* relaxation after the 3/4 storm but it looks to reload pretty quickly. Active too. May get some s/w’s suppressed but… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 49 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pattern looks pretty damned cold out into mid March and beyond. Maybe a *little* relaxation after the 3/4 storm but it looks to reload pretty quickly. Get it out of the way now and flip the switch in April 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Booked a vacation for last week in March. I trained a backup observer but for their sake/sanity/sleep I really hope it's a quiet week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Thursday could be a sneaky downslope dandy day prior to the cold trying to get in here ahead of the 3/4 system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Oh boy oh boy It looks like we lose the -NAO though. Complete regime change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 A few flurries under partly cloudy skies an hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 here's to hoping the EPS is correct, because this is pretty much as good of a look you could have for a high-end storm strong -EPO providing Arctic air, decaying west-based -NAO, stout semi-permanent 50/50, and a strong S/W ejecting out of the west and amplifying underneath the block 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 12 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: here's to hoping the EPS is correct, because this is pretty much as good of a look you could have for a high-end storm strong -EPO providing Arctic air, decaying west-based -NAO, stout semi-permanent 50/50, and a strong S/W ejecting out of the west and amplifying underneath the block I like this mean because as those negative anomalies are saddling through the eastern continental mid latitudes there...the -NAO is actually in a state of pulling back. That is whence those "higher end" events happen - but I'd also point out the obvious, that is true for any event. They all succumb - but yeah...the big ticket items, counter to intuition, actually are fragile and require less negative obstruction to be realized. You know... truth be told, a lot of the smaller events that survive to offer entertainment during the unfortunate circumstance of compressed flow types, those are the residue of a big event - in other words, enough kinematics to actually breath through an elephant's ass. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Man... I'm glad I highlighted the cold offset potential to the CPC's general temperature outlook during this first two weeks of March, because this -EPO / cold loading look over the higher latitudes is just not conducive to their success ... particularly above the 40th ~ parallel. This -EPO is not new in the teleconnector progs, either. I've seen it there for several days. There is also a -WPO --> AB phase of the N. Pacific total construct evolving D6- 14, which are both longer/lapsed time correlations to cold outbreaks over N/A in general... It's like we're witnessing the demise of the La Nina circulation proxy right before our very modeled eyes. 'Just wish that had happened on Jan 1 and not Mar 1. To their credit, they've been predicting a rather rapid loss of the La Nina during this late winter through spring, 2023... I guess if/when the onset of this other high latitude stuff, it's a subject for advancing research to figure out if that is causally related, but it should definitely assist in decoupling the basal flow mode. I'm not sure SSW really is part of this, btw, after spending more time evaluating what's happened up there over the past month...different discussion Not sure what all this will mean as we are now entering into the solar donut stuffing machine times like Homer Simpson in hell. Eventually ...the hemisphere in the models seems like they are unaware of that flux just yet ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 48 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I like this mean because as those negative anomalies are saddling through the eastern continental mid latitudes there...the -NAO is actually in a state of pulling back. That is whence those "higher end" events happen - but I'd also point out the obvious, that is true for any event. They all succumb - but yeah...the big ticket items, counter to intuition, actually are fragile and require less negative obstruction to be realized. You know... truth be told, a lot of the smaller events that survive to offer entertainment during the unfortunate circumstance of compressed flow types, those are the residue of a big event - in other words, enough kinematics to actually breath through an elephant's ass. Are those negative anomalies even legit or just more can kicking. GFS/CMC look warm for March 1-10 I'm hoping for an early spring so I can move past this miserable winter as soon as possible. What I would give for a 2012 March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 22 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Are those negative anomalies even legit or just more can kicking. GFS/CMC look warm for March 1-10 I'm hoping for an early spring so I can move past this miserable winter as soon as possible. What I would give for a 2012 March Just run the ensembles on Tropical Tidbits daily. You will see that it has always shown a deep RNA pumping the SER. This has not changed and has not been pushed back. Like I posted every day, March 10th on the EPS and a couple days later on the GEFS. The question has always been how cold and the duration. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 37 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Are those negative anomalies even legit or just more can kicking. GFS/CMC look warm for March 1-10 I'm hoping for an early spring so I can move past this miserable winter as soon as possible. What I would give for a 2012 March His looping image starts on D 9 and runs out a 3 or so days... It's more about a specific period to watch for something- it may not characterize the whole 1-15 perod of time. March is a fickle beast as we know... I mean, it could be +8 on average and still nest a blue nugget across the time range. As to the 1-10 per se... not sure the surface/lower troposphere N of ~ 40 N sees what those 500 mb isohypses anomaly products look like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 3 hours ago, jbenedet said: It looks like we lose the -NAO though. Complete regime change. When…Late March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Clown range op euro looks bitter cold at the end. And is 3/3/60 gearing up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 sorry for the LR OP run, but this is absolutely absurd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 25 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: sorry for the LR OP run, but this is absolutely absurd Does have support from the EPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 48 hours later on EPS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 48 hours later on EPS Wouldn't this lead to suppression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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