Nowcast and obs for Wednesday evening through Thursday night's wintry mix storm event.

[George001]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

What would @qg_omegathink?

He thought you were going to be 60 degrees, what a bust.

[FXWX]

Burlington, CT. 1140'

[NW_of_GYX]

6” from round 1. Let’s see if round 2 can get me into warning criteria. No complaints here, great powder skiing this morning and clean up was a breeze, stuff is very light. Nice little storm. 

[NW_of_GYX]

I’m about 63% of climo atm. Gonna need a few of these next systems to work to get there this year. 

[WalpoleJoe]

Morning snow keeps falling here, a nice surprise duration. Looks great out the window. 

[PWMan]

Hearing from a few non-weather-weenie co-workers in the Boston area who are excited to see snow for a change.

[weathafella]

Ultimately a nice snow event.  Fatties on and off all morning.

[CoastalWx]

Another shit storm of an event here. At least I got my range.

[Modfan2]

Rotting at 34/35 with cold tuck just to my north; not upset with plain rain at this point 

[kdxken]

Should have finished the lawn yesterday.

[Modfan2]

4 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Rotting at 34/35 with cold tuck just to my north; not upset with plain rain at this point 

Let me edit this, dropped to 32 with snizzle 

[tamarack]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

We had a midnight high of 22.6°F, Temps have been dropping since and down to 14.2°F

Had 24° at my 9 PM obs last evening, 10° to low teens so far today.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Any good temp mesonet sites for New England that you like?

[Modfan2]

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Any good temp mesonet sites for New England that you like?

https://pauland.net/temperaturemap.html
 

 

[powderfreak]

5.5” at home this morning and about 6” at 3,000ft.

Pretty wild that BTV, Picnic Tables and Stowe Village all had about exactly the same amount from round 1.

Guess that’s what 600-700mb lift does with no terrain enhancement.  Depth at home back up to almost 12".

I think we've got another 2-4" coming from round too.  GFS and NAM have 0.25 - 0.33" QPF.  I forecast 8 - 14" for the ski area by tomorrow morning and we'll get into the range.  

 

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, Modfan2 said:

https://pauland.net/temperaturemap.html
 

 

Thank you

[Lava Rock]

16.5F. Sweet winter day. Snowblowing should be easy tonight

[NW_of_GYX]

round one was a pretty bad busted forecast to my north. Saddleback reporting 2" and SR 4". Both of their comms teams were riding the 8-12 forecast hard the past 36 hours. I'm just not sure where anyone was seeing those amounts, only a few models were showing more than an inch of qpf in those areas and 12z runs from yesterday were more like .5 -.6". Overall a pretty bad model and forecast fail. 

[powderfreak]

Just now, NW_of_GYX said:

round one was a pretty bad busted forecast to my north. Saddleback reporting 2" and SR 4". Both of their comms teams were riding the 8-12 forecast hard the past 36 hours. I'm just not sure where anyone was seeing those amounts, only a few models were showing more than an inch of qpf in those areas and 12z runs from yesterday were more like .5 -.6". Overall a pretty bad model and forecast fail. 

Agreed.  Also depends if tonight's round is included in those though too.

Like this is what the GFS has from 12pm today onward.  I always was including the second round in the forecast but I looked at BTV ended their initial forecast this afternoon which wouldn't include this stuff.  I think most of the ski areas can get another 2-4" tonight... but the northern tier busted badly last night.  CoCoRAHS around Jay Peak was only 1-2" on both stations.

[qg_omega]

14 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

5.5” at home this morning and about 6” at 3,000ft.

Pretty wild that BTV, Picnic Tables and Stowe Village all had about exactly the same amount from round 1.

Guess that’s what 600-700mb lift does with no terrain enhancement.  Depth at home back up to almost 12".

I think we've got another 2-4" coming from round too.  GFS and NAM have 0.25 - 0.33" QPF.  I forecast 8 - 14" for the ski area by tomorrow morning and we'll get into the range.  

 

5 inches in lake George and 7 at Gore

[weathafella]

I'm actually planning to use my snowblower for the first time this winter.  Still light snow here and 26 degrees.

[NW_of_GYX]

8 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Agreed.  Also depends if tonight's round is included in those though too.

Like this is what the GFS has from 12pm today onward.  I always was including the second round in the forecast but I looked at BTV ended their initial forecast this afternoon which wouldn't include this stuff.  I think most of the ski areas can get another 2-4" tonight... but the northern tier busted badly last night.  CoCoRAHS around Jay Peak was only 1-2" on both stations.

 

Ya, with better than 10:1 loaf and SB could do 4-7" tonight. In which case the bust wouldn't be so bad, but I'm guessing there was a lot of disappointed skiers this morning who were expecting to wake up to 8-12". Hopefully for folks on vacation they wake up to a surprise tomorrow.

[BostonWX]

Looks like the cold tuck just came through here, wind picking up and falling below freezing. Still decent flakes from the OES too

31.4/31

[CoastalWx]

No snowblower here. Although my neighbor used it. I refuse lol.

[NW_of_GYX]

This was GYX through 7 pm tonight. That's a pretty bad bust for the mountains of western Maine. It happens.

[NW_of_GYX]

to make matters worse for SR, SB, Loaf skiers, I wonder if there will be wind hold issues tomorrow. 

Friday will be cool and breezy, but other than a few snow
showers in the mountains, much of the wintry precip will have
exited. NW winds will be quite bitter, with wind chills not
escaping the single digits or teens despite air temps in the
20s. This will be especially apparent on the higher summits
where gusts to 35 or 40 mph will be possible with wind chills
falling well below zero. While freezing rain accretion is
expected to be light Thurs night, the combination of additional
weight on branches plus quick uptick in winds Friday morning
could lead to some isolated power outages in central/southern
NH.

[dendrite]

Weenie Northfield guy strikes again. 7.2" at 8am? lolol

[SJonesWX]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Weenie Northfield guy strikes again. 7.2" at 8am? lolol

lol one of those is not like the others.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Temperature at home went from 28° an hour or so ago up to 31° now.  Wasn’t expecting that.  

[FXWX]

Few more ice pics from my house in Burlington...