WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1, 2023 Author Share Posted March 1, 2023 6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: its minor for day 10 but look at h5… the control is phasing the arctic jet in about 6 hours faster. It’s already phased at 240 while the op is still getting its act together. That makes a huge difference since once it phases it cuts due north from SC coast to PA. 6 hours later and it tracks up the MD coast into NJ which is a big difference here. But the difference between 20”, 6” to rain, and an all rain cutter is noise at this range. The fact that solution is on the table is all that matters. Lastly…for those rooting for a 93 remake keep this in mind, that is playing with fire. About the only scenario that allows a cutter in that flow is a fully phased bomb that buckles the flow. Any other solution is forced under the block. Doesn’t mean we couldn’t get a monster storm. March 58 comes to mind. But a full phase bomb opens the door to an inland track. Of course a non phase opens the door to suppression so pick your poison. Place your bets. Chips all in. I would roll those dice. Of course, a 93 repeat would such for those to the east but sometimes people have to be sacrificed for the greater good. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: its minor for day 10 but look at h5… the control is phasing the arctic jet in about 6 hours faster. It’s already phased at 240 while the op is still getting its act together. That makes a huge difference since once it phases it cuts due north from SC coast to PA. 6 hours later and it tracks up the MD coast into NJ which is a big difference here. But the difference between 20”, 6” to rain, and an all rain cutter is noise at this range. The fact that solution is on the table is all that matters. Lastly…for those rooting for a 93 remake keep this in mind, that is playing with fire. About the only scenario that allows a cutter in that flow is a fully phased bomb that buckles the flow. Any other solution is forced under the block. Doesn’t mean we couldn’t get a monster storm. March 58 comes to mind. But a full phase bomb opens the door to an inland track. Of course a non phase opens the door to suppression so pick your poison. Place your bets. Chips all in. You and Brooklyn are almost pulling me back in. Almost. If this fails, you both will be booted. It is what it is. Good luck. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yup. Don't want another 93 down here a 1993 would be really fun to track on the forums....can you imagine if we were doing this weenie stuff back then 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 29 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I’ll gladly give up 1998, 2002, 2012, 2020 and 2023 up until now to get another 1993. That’s how that works right? would you give up Hartford, Ct's winter this year too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 WB 12Z EPS at Day 10… probabilities seem low to me. What am I missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Just now, Ji said: a 1993 would be really fun to track on the forums....can you imagine if we were doing this weenie stuff back then This board would completely bog down if it was around back then, same internet connection. If It happened again, we'd have to go into emergency protocol....shut down every board feature except bare essential...basically no pretty graphics, no pics...nothing but the ability to read and post. Capping threads at like 10 pages. I hope it happens one day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1, 2023 Author Share Posted March 1, 2023 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EPS at Day 10… probabilities seem low to me. What am I missing? Snow? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 I’m not buying until models show this only 9.75 days away 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1, 2023 Author Share Posted March 1, 2023 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: This board would completely bog down if it was around back then, same internet connection. If It happened again, we'd have to go into emergency protocol....shut down every board feature except bare essential...basically no pretty graphics, no pics...nothing but the ability to read and post. Capping threads at like 10 pages. I hope it happens one day. It would take 5 minutes to get 10 pages. Literally. None of us would sleep for days. Holy shit would be the most used phrase for those getting hit. Fuck this shit for those not. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1, 2023 Author Share Posted March 1, 2023 Just now, H2O said: I’m not buying until models show this only 9.75 days away So you’re out. Welcome. I’m out until the 72 hour mark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 1 hour ago, Roger Ramjet said: You are right, just seems like a lot less with no snow winters like this one and 2019. As a matter of fact, I had nothing close to climo last year in northwestern Loudoun county. Yeah last year wasn’t great up either. Missed out on the early Jan storm that gave most a good snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 17 minutes ago, stormtracker said: If you had put 2009-10 in there, I would have immediately banned you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 I get the fact that we finally have a favorable pattern that supports a big storm. But one global model at range that is extrapolated has caused an hysteria I don’t get. Lucy is salivating on the sidelines…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 54 minutes ago, Ji said: the OP EURO would of given us 18-30---i dont know what the euro control did--but it looks like a front end dump and then cutter type stuff lol Yea its a terrible storm. Not enough go redeem winter. Bring on spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Oh, really, so you're a fan of the 1993 superstorm? Then why don't you name of 3 its isobars? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 10 minutes ago, H2O said: I’m not buying until models show this only 9.75 days away Biggest 18z model suite of our lives coming 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 18 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You and Brooklyn are almost pulling me back in. Almost. If this fails, you both will be booted. It is what it is. Good luck. Tough but fair. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 23 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Yeah I don’t want a march 93. Sure I remember getting 10” before the change over, but the sleet/rain ruined that storm for me. 19 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yup. Don't want another 93 down here If we ever do get another full latitude triple phased bomb it’s not going to take an identical track. 50 miles west and those asking for a repeat are regretting it. 50 mikes east and we’re all happy. But a storm like that does open the door to a cut even in a great pattern because once the arctic jet phases that will become the dominant feature and buckle the flow around it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 We talkin bout.. control runs? lol not sure this is a good sign. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 29 minutes ago, Ji said: would you give up Hartford, Ct's winter this year too? I’d give up all their winters since I’m not there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 1 hour ago, Its a Breeze said: Taken at face value this is illogical and makes absolutely zero sense. Especially given the fact that we've had multiple storms since (and numerous prior) that have been way better....by far. What are we missing? One of my favorite parts of this sub is folks arguing about impossible hypotheticals, like giving up 5 years of snow for a March 93 redux. It’s ridiculous, so my turn. : ) No way I would give up 5 years of snow for one storm. This board melts down when we have one putrid winter. Imagine the absolute train wreck it would be in here if we failed for 5 consecutive years bc one poster made a deal with the devil like this that took! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 43 minutes ago, Interstate said: IDK. Jan of 16 was pretty awesome. That was the most intense snow I have ever seen. 93 was incredible as far as what it did to the nation. As far as local events go nothing can touch 2016 IMO. I will never live to see 40 inches from a single storm in my life again. No chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Tenfidy Barrel-aged stout for HH. Lets go! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Tenfidy Barrel-aged stout for HH. Lets go! Wish it was tomorrow. My wife has banned me from drinking Monday through Wednesday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Been pretty busy with work today so catching up a bit. The advertised look on the EPS into mid month is impressive. I like how it maintains a -NAO. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Just now, CAPE said: Been pretty busy with work today so catching up a bit. The advertised look on the EPS into mid month is impressive. I like how it maintains a -NAO. WOOF ! MECS 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Just now, frd said: WOOF ! MECS I mean, its not impossible. As I have said, give me one solid 6" snow event that sticks around for a day and I'll be content after this disaster of a winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1, 2023 Author Share Posted March 1, 2023 15 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: One of my favorite parts of this sub is folks arguing about impossible hypotheticals, like giving up 5 years of snow for a March 93 redux. It’s ridiculous, so my turn. : ) No way I would give up 5 years of snow for one storm. This board melts down when we have one putrid winter. Imagine the absolute train wreck it would be in here if we failed for 5 consecutive years bc one poster made a deal with the devil like this that took! I’d be ok giving up everyone else’s snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1, 2023 Author Share Posted March 1, 2023 11 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Wish it was tomorrow. My wife has banned me from drinking Monday through Wednesday. So she’s ok with a sloppy drunk on Thursday? Does ESPN cover that too? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Just now, CAPE said: I mean, its not impossible. As I have said, give me one solid 6" snow event that sticks around for a day and I'll be content after this disaster of a winter. looks like a true block as well with a trough stretching from the E US into Europe. kinda like your avatar 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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