psuhoffman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Why isn’t anyone talking about the ukmet???!!!! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Why isn’t anyone talking about the ukmet???!!!! Prob because it's worse than the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 15 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Nice run to run changes GEFS in the LR is advertising a -EPO/WPO driven pattern with AO/NAO around neutral and a neutral PNA. That would bring some cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fujiwara79 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Looks like we have a new King: The GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Prob because it's worse than the Euro Ya but I bet I made some people look 1 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Was literally GFS vs the world and the GFS curb stomped them all. GFS is king till it’s the only one showing a snow storm and it will be horribly wrong next time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 20 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Why isn’t anyone talking about the ukmet???!!!! 7 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Was literally GFS vs the world and the GFS curb stomped them all. GFS is king till it’s the only one showing a snow storm and it will be horribly wrong next time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Battle of the ridges Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Battle of the ridgesIt’s actually not a bad setup for overrunning but this year’s 50/50 and confluence always backup as we get closer to events. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Battle of the ridgesIt’s actually not a bad setup for overrunning but this year’s 50/50 and confluence always backup as we get closer to events. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 6 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Battle of the ridges Either a battle or a treaty to link up and screw us Dec 2022 style, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: So 16 days away. We got this. haha my fake storm popped on GFS at hour 384! Locking in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 8 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Battle of the ridges I can't wait till they become friends and the whole country is a ridge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 ECMWF is literally showing a HECS setup and there are concerns voiced about the SE ridge. what in God's name 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 This is what you want to see in March. A retrograded block can cause some crazy stuff to happen in March. You pin that block there and any incoming energy would dig and dig under it. This probably would have lead to a really big event. Though this looks a lot better than GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 ECMWF is literally showing a HECS setup and there are concerns voiced about the SE ridge. what in God's nameYes, check out the temps. We have cold available because of the -epo and block. This is the best setup you can ask for in March imo. That’s HECS territory, but it’s day 9-10+ so…. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Those of you who want to drive to....something on Friday, I recommend driving your car along the spine of the Alleghenies up U.S. route 219. Probably gonna want at least 3 ambulances trailing you (that way, if one crashes, the 2nd ambulance can tend to the injured and the 3rd one can continue to trail you). 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 1 hour ago, CAPE said: It's possible, but not wasting time on a 372 hour op run. I was actually going to waste time on it until I saw the Euro 240 and extrapolated it out another 36 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Stopped following model threads. Check in about once every 3-4 days. Was not the upcoming Friday storm portrayed Once Again, as a coastal several days ago but now 350 miles inland? Nothing changes when nothing changes. As long as people support and even adore models then no progress will occur. Stop accessing them so fervently and maybe things change. Models Do Not predict weather -they give ever changing examples of it. Guess work to cover All The Bases, not really science . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 10 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: ECMWF is literally showing a HECS setup and there are concerns voiced about the SE ridge. what in God's name That 573+dm -EPO block is a new development. Models had started trending south to -PNA, weakness cutting through Alaska yesterday. It's a wet STJ too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Yeesh. Rough past 36 hours models wise. Think I’m going to have to go up to New York a day earlier than originally planned though. No part of me wants to drive through a rager in my sedan. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 44 minutes ago, CAPE said: GEFS in the LR is advertising a -EPO/WPO driven pattern with AO/NAO around neutral and a neutral PNA. That would bring some cold. I'll take that. Putting my home on the market next month. Snow is way too much to ask for in this region, it appears, so if I can avoid having to mow before April I'll consider it a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 14 minutes ago, Heisy said: This is what you want to see in March. A retrograded block can cause some crazy stuff to happen in March. You pin that block there and any incoming energy would dig and dig under it. This probably would have lead to a really big event. Though this looks a lot better than GFS . Gfs has the setup. Op splits the energy and one wave gets suppressed and the next one remains weak and slides to our north without any southern component. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Just now, EastCoast NPZ said: I'll take that. Putting my home on the market next month. Snow is way too much to ask for in this region, it appears, so if I can avoid having to mow before April I'll consider it a win. Where you headed? Caribou? only safe bet really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 As advertised on the EPS the March 4th fail storm at least helps jack up the Block. Textbook -NAO dipole with closed h5 contours. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 47 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Battle of the ridges Strangest looking map I've seen in some time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Potential, and only 10 days away. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 EPS is drool worthy . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Just now, Heisy said: EPS is drool worthy . We're all gonna do it again. You know it. This is the one! 4 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 1 minute ago, CAPE said: We're all gonna do it again. You know it. This is the one! We all know how this will end, what could go wrong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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