CAPE Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Not exactly what we were hoping for on the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 GEFS a step back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: Not exactly what we were hoping for on the mean. This is where we were for HH yesterday, with frozen targeting our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 luckily the GEFS is underdispersive, so it'll follow the OP nine times out of 10. not surprising that it's quite rainy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 WB 18Z GEFS is not worth posting any snow maps.bad shift last 4 runs for next weekend. Hopefully, we will reverse course with this weekend’s model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Positive is that we have a ton of time for changes, even major changes. Now if we're still at this point by like Tuesday, meh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 6 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: luckily the GEFS is underdispersive, so it'll follow the OP nine times out of 10. not surprising that it's quite rainy Yeah, but the general trend isn't too good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Yeah, but the general trend isn't too good. Honestly, all I care about is Boston 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Honestly, all I care about is Boston 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 22 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Honestly, all I care about is Boston Boston ain't your kind of town....personally I'm the number one fan of the man from Tennessee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 24 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Honestly, all I care about is Boston Road trip to Georgie's house!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 31 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GEFS is not worth posting any snow maps.bad shift last 4 runs for next weekend. Hopefully, we will reverse course with this weekend’s model runs. That is significant coming from you. Persistence rules, including the semi permanent WAR/SE ridge. One chance mid-month, but even that may not happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 We can go to the NE forum in April when we're in the 70s and they are stuck in days of 45 and fog. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Straight up blizzard for the Great Lakes in about half of these ensemble runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Straight up blizzard for the Great Lakes in about half of these ensemble runs. Wrong forum Chuck. Now dont you start. Or Randy is gonna be forced to say it to ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 12 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Wrong forum Chuck. Now dont you start. Or Randy is gonna be forced to say it to ya. -NAO's aren't usually so wet.. 2nd time this year. Bodes well for our future imo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 27 minutes ago, IronTy said: Boston ain't your kind of town....personally I'm the number one fan of the man from Tennessee. For a variety of reasons 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 50 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Honestly, all I care about is Boston Let's send Cantore up there to make it a lock. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 I mean, cards on the table, I know most of us are sitting on somewhere around a T to maybe a .5 on the season, but I've been literally up at night concerned for the Boston area. It is 100% fucking heartening to know they might pull out a save. Good for them, truly. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 23 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Straight up blizzard for the Great Lakes in about half of these ensemble runs. 21 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Wrong forum Chuck. Now dont you start. Or Randy is gonna be forced to say it to ya. I don’t think he’s trolling. I agree it’s a good thing the pattern is active. I know we’re running out of climo but as the block retrogrades the opposite will happen under it. As the ridge links with the pac ridge it will start to apply pressure under it and the thermal boundary will sag southeast in the means. By mid month the default base state of the boundary is likely to be far enough southeast for us to have a legit shot. For now seeing how active the wave train is bodes well for later. All this is about the mean. These changes don’t happen linearly or smoothly. The boundary will shift around and progress in a chaotic way. It’s possible we luck out before mid March if the chaos we’re to break our way. But later is when the mean configuration is likely to be more favorable. chuck was just pointing out how wet the pattern is which bodes well when the boundary does get right. We won’t be able to afford weeks of dry. We’re gonna get one or two wave shots at this at most before climo degrades too much. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 10 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: I mean, cards on the table, I know most of us are sitting on somewhere around a T to maybe a .5 on the season, but I've been literally up at night concerned for the Boston area. It is 100% fucking heartening to know they might pull out a save. Good for them, truly. I concur! Hear hear!! I mean, cheering them on HAS to be good karma for us right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Was the sarcasm not dripping enough? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 7 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Was the sarcasm not dripping enough? Nor was mine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Give you the dream pattern 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Fuckin A!!! Look what I just found online! You can have a HECS every weekend! https://backyardsnowstorm.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 12 minutes ago, IronTy said: Fuckin A!!! Look what I just found online! You can have a HECS every weekend! https://backyardsnowstorm.com/ It still needs to be cold, which this winter has been lacking. I built a homemade version of what they are selling. It requires cold and calm wind. Also your neighbors look at you funny. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, mdhokie said: It still needs to be cold, which this winter has been lacking. I built a homemade version of what they are selling. It requires cold and calm wind. Also your neighbors look at you funny. Lmao of course somebody built a homemade one. I wouldn't worry about cold....build one big enough and "it'll make its own cold air". Weenie rule #14. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 0z GFS will be a OV mauler. It’s headed that way…redevelop near cape cod…NNE crush job. Easy to read this fortune cookie. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 ensembles got better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 43 minutes ago, IronTy said: Lmao of course somebody built a homemade one. I wouldn't worry about cold....build one big enough and "it'll make its own cold air". Weenie rule #14. Whatever happened to the guy down by Richmond? Think his ID was MidlothianSnowmaker? He used to setup his own snowmaking machine in the his backyard whenever it would get cold enough and let it run constantly. Would build a pile and then see how late into the Summer it would last. He routinely had snow in late May, and perhaps later. Haven't seen him posting for a few years. He knew ALL about homemade snowmaking equipment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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