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March Medium/Long Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr
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11 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Yeah, it's quite ugly.  Precip is further west and cold air also

Look at heights over NE leading in. Huge difference. The models have done this all year. About 6-9 model runs into what looks like a good outcome, usually quite far away, we will see an abrupt change. Somewhere models are anticipating something in the 2-4 day range that doesn’t materialize and then we get that abrupt difference. No idea what it is.

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5 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

?? It's pretty close.  It's well below freezing up top

Maybe I’m reading it wrong but it appears that it’s barely below until you get in the 860-900 range. Even appears above around 700. Wouldn’t take a very deep layer of above near the surface to do some damage to any flakes that made it. Just a guess on my part. 

I guess I’m just jaded on any prospects right now.

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2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I know we're just having fun and it's been just awful so I totally get it...but we do all know its way way way way way too soon to be worrying about operational run play by play right?  

It's fun.  It's never too early as long as people expectations are in check and realistic

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