brooklynwx99 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 GEFS is improved. weaker vort, but the main change is in the confluence, which is notably stronger and further S over SE Canada leads to a colder tick. not amazing, but it's something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 On 2/27/2023 at 4:43 AM, Ji said: You talking about DCA and Bwi? They don't even get snow when the pattern is good Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Expand let me put my meh-ness with the run in JI-terms. Where is the snow going? I'm willing to concede there may be a better CAD push/more confluence, yadayada. I do actually care about the synoptics, but I'm losing my pretty colors to the north still, run-over-run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 ukmet just ran and it should indicate how euros gonna go but i'm too tired to interpret it, someone else could take a shot tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 UK more like gfs but, does have some front end snow NW 2-4” basically for the northern counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 On 2/27/2023 at 4:46 AM, brooklynwx99 said: GEFS is improved. weaker vort, but the main change is in the confluence, which is notably stronger and further S over SE Canada leads to a colder tick. not amazing, but it's something7 more degrees to go!Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 UKMET made a really nice change with the confluence in SE Canada. probably the most important takeaway from this run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 On 2/27/2023 at 4:53 AM, Ji said: 7 more degrees to go! Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Expand better than nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 On 2/27/2023 at 4:58 AM, brooklynwx99 said: UKMET made a really nice change with the confluence in SE Canada. probably the most important takeaway from this run Expand It tracks a 982 low over Cleveland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Maybe I’m crazy but…my take on 0z so far Icon is the icon why are we even discussing it. GFS is still way north. GGEM which is always the biggest tease trended north again. UK is a full fledge cutter. We will see what the euro shows. Well I’ll see in the morning. At the end of the day this is a problem because the thermal boundary is to our NW as the wave approaches. That rarely works out. Once in a blue moon but rare. Look at day 16 on the Gfs. If we ever get THAT look to day 5 then we have a high probability event I will be excited and fully invested in. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 On 2/26/2023 at 9:24 PM, WesternFringe said: If you read LWX’s discussion, they said they had roughly half of guidance showing 30s and wintry weather and the other half showing 70s, so they split the difference and said 40s/50s. I suspect your local news station either did the same or agrees with the trend of a NW passing system that brings in warm air from the south. Expand just odd we are getting all this sucky feedback temp guidance wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Anybody up? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 On 2/27/2023 at 6:13 AM, stormtracker said: Anybody up? Expand Nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Here's the thing I see...can't tell what's going to happen, but even if we don't get the solution we want it seems like all models except the GFS have a stronger cold air push. Maybe that'll be something that becomes better on the GFS as we move along? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 On 2/27/2023 at 6:14 AM, stormtracker said: Here's the thing I see...can't tell what's going to happen, but even if we don't get the solution we want it seems like all models except the GFS have a stronger cold air push. Maybe that'll be something that becomes better on the GFS as we move along? Expand Thanks for doing the needy Randy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 ok, Euro has a little bit of a CAD wedge (not as pronounced as the CMC)...has frozen in on us at 108..0 line tickles DC at 123 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 WB 0Z EURO v 12Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Not good enough for us..more of the same BUT Euro is colder than GFS. It's really close on the Euro for frozen, but I'll let yall dissect the finer points Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Colder and def better than gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 108 is good at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Shows 3-6” DC area north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 WB 0Z EURO v GFS quicker transfer to the coast. Not enough this run for our latitude but will keep tracking…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Do you guys post Euro snow maps? Curious about NJ as it looks close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 That’s the route to a win on this storm. It is going to the Ohio Valley, but can we get something on the front end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 WB 0Z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 I just want to be Namd 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Driving up to the NYC area with my wife Friday morning to see my folks for a few hours before heading upstate in the late afternoon. Have a surprise bday party slated for Saturday morning. Not very excited about going to the bday party (my wife’s friend isn’t my cup of tea) but if I can be in a winter wonderland, count me in. Between Monday’s storm and next weekend, they could have two feet OTG by Saturday night. Nonetheless, rooting for the storm to hit our area. We need it. One more sizable shift south and we’re in the game for a few inches at least. Cards are undoubtedly stacked against us though. Liking the setup for the following week better as the boundary will be further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 We need one more shift like 00z from the model suites lol...Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 On 2/27/2023 at 7:42 AM, Ji said: We need one more shift like 00z from the model suites lol...Sent from my SM-A515U using TapatalkIt’s a good thing we’re still 5 days out . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 On 2/27/2023 at 7:56 AM, jayyy said: It’s a good thing we’re still 5 days out .Euro ensembles says op is too south though:(Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 On 2/27/2023 at 7:57 AM, Ji said: Euro ensembles says op is too south though:(Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk6z nam inbound. Little out of range but curious to see how the setup looks leading in around 72hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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