mattie g Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 23 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: So the GFS went from wavy gravy to overamped bomb in 2 runs. K. And the Euro went from cutter to a slider in its two most recent runs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 18 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: i’ll take it. at this range I just wanna see a strong storm consistently showing up if it was perfect people would be saying “well you don’t wanna be in the bullseye 8 days out” so you can never truly win at this range Do you have gut feeling one way or another? I mean where you are there is a bit more..more than a bit...of fudge factor allowed to still get a decent event. Down here we can go from victory lap to game over in a NY minute. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 32 minutes ago, stormtracker said: We went from a HECS to 1 to 3". Sounds about right Oh and I am sure it is not finished adjusting you will see. The warm pattern will rule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Too late, books full 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 8 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Do you have gut feeling one way or another? I mean where you are there is a bit more..more than a bit...of fudge factor allowed to still get a decent event. Down here we can go from victory lap to game over in a NY minute. Brother you're right. Today was the definitive beginning of the end for this threat. Just like the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: Brother you're right. Today was the definitive beginning of the end for this threat. Just like the others. Yeah but at least we made it to day 8-ish…euro will be telling…telling us to go f*** ourselves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 the GEFS actually has lower heights in the E US before the wave arrives, unlike the OP 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: the GEFS actually has lower heights in the E US before the wave arrives, unlike the OP Like other threats the op and ens begin to converge or move closer towards one another. Same time frame every system this year. Still have plenty of time for things to move a better direction. Storm still there so there's that. What are we all drinking for HH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Like other threats the op and ens begin to converge or move closer towards one another. Same time frame every system this year. Still have plenty of time for things to move a better direction. Storm still there so there's that. What are we all drinking for HH? 120 for me. why not...then I won't care...probably be asleep anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 GEPS also much improved. way lower heights over the E US 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 not gonna lie, the ENS look great so far. the OP runs are cool and all, and their solutions aren’t ridiculous or anything, but the ENS improving holds way more weight at this range 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, BristowWx said: 120 for me. why not...then I won't care...probably be asleep anyway 120 sounds good. 120 proof Knob Creek Reserve Barrell that is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Slightly better than 6z, with still quite a bit of spread. No I am not looking at the damn snow maps. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 chances of 1" way up on 12z gefs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: not gonna lie, the ENS look great so far. the OP runs are cool and all, and their solutions aren’t ridiculous or anything, but the ENS improving holds way more weight at this range I mean, the ops are close to getting many snow-starved places either on the board or adding a modest amount to seasonal totals. Like you said, not really a bad spot to be at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Slightly better than 6z, with still quite a bit of spread. No I am not looking at the damn snow maps. Decent camps S and E of the mean. Encouraging. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 12 minutes ago, CAPE said: Slightly better than 6z, with still quite a bit of spread. No I am not looking at the damn snow maps. And 6z was awesome. Well, the OP was 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 57 minutes ago, mattie g said: And the Euro went from cutter to a slider in its two most recent runs. I know right... Everyone Sh!ts on the GFS... but the Euro and just about every other model does wild swing when it is 5+ days. The only difference is that the Euro goes from one Sh!tty solution to another and the GFS takes away HECS storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 49 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Like other threats the op and ens begin to converge or move closer towards one another. Same time frame every system this year. Still have plenty of time for things to move a better direction. Storm still there so there's that. What are we all drinking for HH? Old Fashion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Freebasing Hopium before HH myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 9 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Old Fashion I'll be at the gym 0z tonight will be rockin 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Freebasing Hopium before HH myself Nice, how much you charging for a few hits? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Looks like a classic cold chasing precip setup with mild temps leading in. Need a better high to the north, too...or at least one that is locked in prior to the precip arriving. The latest run seemed too wound up and also quicker to arrive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 8 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Freebasing Hopium before HH myself Hopium bear 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Watching the EURO's performance for SNE this weekend is telling of its recent fallibility. Was showing an 18"+ storm 2 days ago. This current run is showing it grazing the region (2-4"). Tough to forecast. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Ok, so Euro looks to have some higher heights in front..nrn stream system isn't as strong 0z vs 12z at 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 at 162, Euro looks suppressed again. Snowing over us, but moving ENE below us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: at 162, Euro looks suppressed again. Snowing over us, but moving ENE below us WxBell maps don't make it look like it's snowing over us (FWIW) but yeah, looks suppressed. Someone left the oven on for this run - super toasty at the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 take the GFS and Euro and split the difference. Muhahahahha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: WxBell maps don't make it look like it's snowing over us (FWIW) but yeah, looks suppressed. I have snow at 168 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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