stormtracker Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 213, moderate/light snow across the area, pulling away now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 216 light snow, 219 gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Nice shellacking along I-95 corridor. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 4:26 PM, CAPE said: Expand I think Yoda may have checked soundings and that's snow for DC? @yoda? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 4:29 PM, CAPE said: Nice shellacking along I-95 corridor. Expand I have 10-12" on my shitty maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 4:30 PM, stormtracker said: I have 10-12" on my shitty maps Expand Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 23, 2023 Author Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 4:19 PM, stormtracker said: Yeah, it's quite ugly. Precip is further west and cold air also Expand Look at heights over NE leading in. Huge difference. The models have done this all year. About 6-9 model runs into what looks like a good outcome, usually quite far away, we will see an abrupt change. Somewhere models are anticipating something in the 2-4 day range that doesn’t materialize and then we get that abrupt difference. No idea what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Tuck this fucker 75 more miles east and I'll stop worrying 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Maybe late next week will be the appetizer before the mid March blizzard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 23, 2023 Author Share Posted February 23, 2023 Haha, still ended up in the same place. Almost like a magic trick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 The unfortunate thing is.....the GFS is alone with this. CMC doesn't have anything close to this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 12z GFS sounding at DCA at 204. Looks like snow to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Nice GFS run with trailing wave but its kind of alone. Obv thread the needle situation. Canadian is a cutter, some initial frozen along PA line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 23, 2023 Author Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 4:32 PM, yoda said: 12z GFS sounding at DCA at 204. Looks like snow to me Expand I doubt it. It’s barely below freezing all the way to the moon it appears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 4:34 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: I doubt it. It’s barely below freezing all the way to the moon it appears Expand ?? It's pretty close. It's well below freezing up top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 GEFS will be completely unsupportive 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 4:39 PM, stormtracker said: GEFS will be completely unsupportive Expand What interests me a bit in the GEFS is a shift in our direction for the storm on the 28th. Hail Mary for sure, but a handful of interesting members. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 4:29 PM, CAPE said: Nice shellacking along I-95 corridor. Expand with freezing rain and sleet. not much pure snow. sorry yall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 10:1 map is like, here have a foot of snow snow depth is like, here have 3 inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 23, 2023 Author Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 4:37 PM, stormtracker said: ?? It's pretty close. It's well below freezing up top Expand Maybe I’m reading it wrong but it appears that it’s barely below until you get in the 860-900 range. Even appears above around 700. Wouldn’t take a very deep layer of above near the surface to do some damage to any flakes that made it. Just a guess on my part. I guess I’m just jaded on any prospects right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 4:43 PM, mappy said: with freezing rain and sleet. not much pure snow. sorry yall Expand I'll take it. In this winter, I'd be happy with freezing rain and sleet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
diatae Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 4:45 PM, stormtracker said: I'll take it. In this winter, I'd be happy with freezing rain and sleet. Expand I'll count hail too. I'm not above it. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 4:26 PM, CAPE said: Expand Surrounded by SLPs- it's happening!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 4:49 PM, diatae said: I'll count hail too. I'm not above it. Expand This I can get on board with. I would rather have nothing than zr/sleet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 3:19 PM, psuhoffman said: IF that 50/50 signal is real its a great trade off since that feature is one of the main positives of a -NAO anyways...and often it lingers beyond the collapse of the NAO which is why often some of our big storms come AFTER blocking...like Jan 96. Expand Fact !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 12:50 PM, Scraff said: That won’t even cover my grass blades. I’ll pass. Expand Maybe if you mow it before.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 I know we're just having fun and it's been just awful so I totally get it...but we do all know its way way way way way too soon to be worrying about operational run play by play right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 There are like 5 progressive waves in between now and that event and the exact outcome of each is going to impact the eventual results for the one we're looking at...and even the one we are looking at is a complex multiple wave system where the trade off between each wave will impact the outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 On 2/23/2023 at 5:01 PM, psuhoffman said: I know we're just having fun and it's been just awful so I totally get it...but we do all know its way way way way way too soon to be worrying about operational run play by play right? Expand It's fun. It's never too early as long as people expectations are in check and realistic 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Well I wouldn't say never too early. Doing pbp on a 312 hour storm might be a little excessive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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