Very persistent signal for moderate snow and ice impact between "Wed night" and "Thur night" this week

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I haven't been sleeping much any might these days, so no problem

We see that. Poopy diaper fingers all over your keyboard 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

You may be the winner in SNE for once. 

Yay, 3" instead of 1" lol

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yay, 3" instead of 1" lol

Congrats on 8 to 12 next week 

[Cold Miser]

39 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Call me a fool call me a clown call me a sucker but it's ain't over m'fer

Keep smilin'

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Cold Miser said:

Keep smilin'

Absolutely darlin

[Ginx snewx]

38 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Congrats on 8 to 12 next week 

Kevs always confused

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Kevs always confused

I am highly dubious of even 1” thru day 10 imby 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I am highly dubious of even 1” thru day 10 imby 

When you said a couple of weeks ago if EPS has me over 6 on the mean then I will be interested I thought you were serious 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I am highly dubious of even 1” thru day 10 imby 

Same, beware the warm bump in the last 48 hours with the deal next week. I know this horrific winter is making it very hard to not take the cheese with this, but we can’t say some weren’t warned.

[WeatherWilly]

Looks like mostly rain here next few weeks, but maybe one chance of a light to moderate snow event. Some colder days at least. 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

When you said a couple of weeks ago if EPS has me over 6 on the mean then I will be interested I thought you were serious 

I don’t recall saying that , but it may be beer if I did . I still truly believe the gradient remains to our north . Would love nothing more than to be totally wrong on that. Time tells 

[weathafella]

18z GFS colder again.  Much snowier vs sleet for pike region based on BOS sounding.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

18z GFS colder again.  Much snowier vs sleet for pike region based on BOS sounding.

Basically keeps Ray’s hood all snow that run until the very end. Coldest run we’ve seen yet since this got closer than clown range. 

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Basically keeps Ray’s hood all snow that run until the very end. Coldest run we’ve seen yet since this got closer than clown range. 

Even keeps BOS snow until late.  Snow sounding through 18z Thursday and in the final hours as well.  And it’s not far from going all snow.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Basically keeps Ray’s hood all snow that run until the very end. Coldest run we’ve seen yet since this got closer than clown range. 

The trends are our friends 

[Typhoon Tip]

7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Basically keeps Ray’s hood all snow that run until the very end. Coldest run we’ve seen yet since this got closer than clown range. 

Personally believe it will continue to correct S in this case - ...it's bit different than the typical SWFE.  For one, it's not really lifting along that type of azymouth.  This is running longitudinal, straight W-E so the advection is almost exactly compensating for the cold exertion beneath, and they end up in stasis - but where ? 

In other words... we don't move from heavy snow to weak IP to light drizzle then end.  We stay in our ptype hood.  

I'm imagining mid way Pike to rt 2?  with snow --> IP along the Pike then ZR...   Ends as freezing mist, but the event has a second pulse Friday as the 'main low' trailing smears through.  Redevelops you ptype, ends as flurries...  nasty cold slap Friday night sets up a spectacular Saturday morning scenery..

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

The trends are our friends 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

The trends are our friends 

I can’t recall one of these SWFE’s that didn’t trend north the last 24-48 hours . I’m still expecting that to happen , but maybe this is one of those rare ones that does not. 

[8611Blizz]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Even keeps BOS snow until late.  Snow sounding through 18z Thursday and in the final hours as well.  And it’s not far from going all snow.

From your keyboard... Would make this so much easier to deal with if we end up 80% snow.

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

The trends are our friends 

When you are optimistic, it must be painfully obvious....your baseline is neurotically searching for means of failure lol

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I can’t recall one of these SWFE’s that didn’t trend north the last 24-48 hours . I’m still expecting that to happen , but maybe this is one of those rare ones that does not. 

Agree , As most people do I’m really just posting for my locale in Nashua . I’m hoping you score a 29 degree icer

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

When you are optimistic, it must be painfully obvious....your baseline is neurotically searching for means of failure lol

Not really , I try to remain unbiased 

it doesn’t usually go over well But maybe your perception makes sense . 

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I can’t recall one of these SWFE’s that didn’t trend north the last 24-48 hours . I’m still expecting that to happen , but maybe this is one of those rare ones that does not. 

I bet it does but hopefully there are more southern trends beforehand.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Not really , I try to remain unbiased 

it doesn’t usually go over well . 

I'm just being sarcastic..but remaining unbiased and searching for means of failure are essentially synonyms.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Agree , As most people do I’m really just posting for my locale in Nashua . I’m hoping you score a 29 degree icer

I am hoping for .50+ ice accretion. The fact that it’s a nightttime event will help and it won’t be heavy rates . Probably won’t be that much , but it’s not totally impossible 

[HoarfrostHubb]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I can’t recall one of these SWFE’s that didn’t trend north the last 24-48 hours . I’m still expecting that to happen , but maybe this is one of those rare ones that does not. 

I do think it will shift north…of somewhere.    That is still TBD

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Not really , I try to remain unbiased 

it doesn’t usually go over well But maybe your perception makes sense . When the weather blows I will definitely be vocal about it bc I don’t have much tolerance for crap weather in winter 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Congrats on 8 to 12 next week 

Hopeful....I'll make one final call on Tuesday.

[Typhoon Tip]

It's not a typical SWFE ....

Like I just said to Will... the frontal structures and the forcing aren't gaining latitude.  Think of it like this  ... a warm front extends from southern Ontario to Boston, and the MCS travels along and to the right of the boundary ..pulling it back S... not sending it N

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

 

It really wasn't knock. When I am on the run and looking for an honest assessment, you are one of the posters I look to read for a "no shit" eval.

But its not only in shit winters....you even doing in the lead up to impending blizzards. You remind me of messenger in that you are always looking for how the other shoe may drop via subtle trends.