codfishsnowman Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Well regardless how it shakes out this week sounds fairly active with at least some wintry precip on tap. Maybe I will soar in to double digits ( need two inches) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 6:09 PM, CoastalWx said: Euro was pretty snowy to the pike. Expand What would you expect for sleet accums down this way? Looks like the euro is a paint peeler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 6:03 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Should we start a new thread for tomorrows "little critter that's trying to bite" ? this is turning into a free-for-all Expand I like keeping one thread, but if tomorrow produces there are going to be a lot of obs that will clog up this thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 6:15 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: What would you expect for sleet accums down this way? Looks like the euro is a paint peeler Expand Will be dependent on QPF and temps. Tough to really say. If you want more than an inch of sleet I’d like to see temps less than 32 and a solid half inch qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Looks like a classic shit storm. GFS has Boston going from 40 to 26 in a span of 6 hours. That is not going to go well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 6:18 PM, WxWatcher007 said: I like keeping one thread, but if tomorrow produces there are going to be a lot of obs that will clog up this thread. Expand I think we could start an obs thread late tonight as a compromise. The model analysis can stay in here for the next 12 hours on the 2/21 stuff. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 How much qpf south of 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Kind of lost the tuck ironically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 6:26 PM, Damage In Tolland said: How much qpf south of 90? Expand Around an inch total qpf; give or take few hundreds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 6:28 PM, CoastalWx said: Kind of lost the tuck ironically. Expand On today’s euro (For 12z Thursday to 0z Friday ) the 32 isotherm is closer to Boston than it was On the 0z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 6:14 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Paint peeler on the euro here. I will say, hours and hours of sleet may be interesting Expand It makes for terrible roads, grease. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 6:30 PM, FXWX said: Around an inch total qpf; give or take few hundreds Expand That’s much juicier than 00z.. so finally some good news Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 6:34 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: On today’s euro (For 12z Thursday to 0z Friday ) the 32 isotherm is closer to Boston than it was On the 0z run Expand It just doesn’t really rip it southeast like some guidance which is what the “tuck” part of cold tuck is really defined by. It actually cools during the day Thursday over the interior though…obvious cold drain going on there but not the same as the tuck south/southeast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2023 Author Share Posted February 20, 2023 man, that commute Thurs morning is going to be a nasty - 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 6:40 PM, ORH_wxman said: It just doesn’t really rip it southeast like some guidance which is what the “tuck” part of cold tuck is really defined by. It actually cools during the day Thursday over the interior though…obvious cold drain going on there but not the same as the tuck south/southeast. Expand Yeah usually models aren’t quick enough to bring it further SE. Definitely related to some ageostrophic processes and the meso low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 6:34 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: On today’s euro (For 12z Thursday to 0z Friday ) the 32 isotherm is closer to Boston than it was On the 0z run Expand Yeah I saw. Unfortunately I think it will struggle to get near 32 unless we can cold drain better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Nam remains wild tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 8:02 PM, wx2fish said: Nam remains wild tomorrow Expand Pikey thump. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 8:02 PM, wx2fish said: Nam remains wild tomorrow Expand Starts ripping in CT by midnight or so. Could be an interesting sensible wx shock…people grilling dinner at 55-60F in CT this evening to parachutes falling with several inches already OTG when they wake up. Other mesos continue to be a bit more tame but they still have it. More like 1-2” or so. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 8:12 PM, ORH_wxman said: Starts ripping in CT by midnight or so. Could be an interesting sensible wx shock…people grilling dinner at 55-60F in CT this evening to parachutes falling with several inches already OTG when they wake up. Other mesos continue to be a bit more tame but they still have it. More like 1-2” or so. Expand Patiently waiting to see what it looks like tomorrow am 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 3k beefed up too from 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 8:21 PM, ORH_wxman said: 3k beefed up too from 12z. Expand Went coating-2" for most of CT but damn the 18z NAM run is impressive. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 8:12 PM, ORH_wxman said: Starts ripping in CT by midnight or so. Could be an interesting sensible wx shock…people grilling dinner at 55-60F in CT this evening to parachutes falling with several inches already OTG when they wake up. Other mesos continue to be a bit more tame but they still have it. More like 1-2” or so. Expand I made a thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Nice cold rain on the nam lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 8:34 PM, CoastalWx said: Nice cold rain on the nam lol. Expand Way north too. So far on its own but is it sniffing reality or glue? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 8:41 PM, weathafella said: Way north too. So far on its own but is it sniffing reality or glue? Expand 3k seemed to start as snow while 12k was a furnace. My gut says we don’t get much snow in the pike region for 2/23, but Everytime I convince myself of that, the non-NAM runs keep singing a different tune. Hopefully we get a little more clarity tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 I dunno . I can think of numerous times in these events I tossed the NAM and it ended up correct . I think one of those events was earlier this winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 8:46 PM, ORH_wxman said: 3k seemed to start as snow while 12k was a furnace. My gut says we don’t get much snow in the pike region for 2/23, but Everytime I convince myself of that, the non-NAM runs keep singing a different tune. Hopefully we get a little more clarity tonight. Expand Scott mentioned yesterday the heights on model runs has trended lower due to flatter weaker look of the wave moving across country , is the nam keeping the low more intact and pumping heights more than other guidance (if you follow what I’m trying to say ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 9:31 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Scott mentioned yesterday the heights on model runs has trended lower due to flatter weaker look of the wave moving across country , is the nam keeping the low more intact and pumping heights more than other guidance (if you follow what I’m trying to say ) Expand I noticed a subtle trend to raise heights now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 On 2/20/2023 at 10:10 PM, CoastalWx said: I noticed a subtle trend to raise heights now. Expand There’s the SE ridge always undermodeled until 48 hours out. Happens everytime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now