Very persistent signal for moderate snow and ice impact between "Wed night" and "Thur night" this week

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 2/22/2023 at 5:23 PM, weathafella said:

Nothing says winter like overcast and 40 as precipitation moves towards us….

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DP's are chilly though.

lot of 40/21's around.   The typical 5/9ths ~ WBs at 32 ish.. heh

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/22/2023 at 5:33 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

DP's are chilly though.

lot of 40/21's around.   The typical 5/9ths ~ WBs at 32 ish.. heh

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39.4/27 here.

[Modfan2]

  On 2/22/2023 at 5:33 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

DP's are chilly though.

lot of 40/21's around.   The typical 5/9ths ~ WBs at 32 ish.. heh

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Temp here 42 with DP of 21

[CoastalWx]

  On 2/22/2023 at 5:23 PM, weathafella said:

Nothing says winter like overcast and 40 as precipitation moves towards us….

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Yep. Low 40s here. Sucky airmass to start. 

[UnitedWx]

  On 2/22/2023 at 5:07 PM, TalcottWx said:

I am not good at my own area yet tbh. Looks like it could be one of those deals where I don't ice very much in Simsbury. Way more skeptical on icing for a place like work in Rocky Hill.

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Far more likely for ice in Simsbury than Rocky Hill! If Ryan thinks ice is a concern for West Hartford then certainly moreso in Sims

[dryslot]

PC skies right now, Going to have some dry air to overcome initially 36/11°F

[lurker]

[TalcottWx]

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/22/2023 at 5:23 PM, weathafella said:

Nothing says winter like overcast and 40 as precipitation moves towards us….

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38/22 I have seen much worse. Wetbulb is 30

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/22/2023 at 5:35 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

39.4/27 here.

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What is your RH

[NW_of_GYX]

  On 2/22/2023 at 5:44 PM, dryslot said:

PC skies right now, Going to have some dry air to overcome initially 36/11°F

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Clouds just moved in here quickly, should be your way soon. 

[TalcottWx]

  On 2/22/2023 at 5:41 PM, UnitedWx said:

Far more likely for ice in Simsbury than Rocky Hill! If Ryan thinks ice is a concern for West Hartford then certainly moreso in Sims

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Not sure that's entirely what Ryan meant. I got the jist 'around here' meant CT in general and not the studio. Perhaps my favorite non WFSB met can clarify @CT Rain

[UnitedWx]

  On 2/22/2023 at 6:36 PM, TalcottWx said:

Not sure that's entirely what Ryan meant. I got the jist 'around here' meant CT in general and not the studio. Perhaps my favorite non WFSB met can clarify @CT Rain

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Good point... I read that to mean the studio area

[wxsniss]

Circle shirk?

[UnitedWx]

38/26 here

[CoastalWx]

  On 2/22/2023 at 6:41 PM, wxsniss said:

Circle shirk?

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I think I would take it up a bit near the MA/NH border. Not sure why the hole inside 128, but yet the beaches of Plymouth accumulate.

[TalcottWx]

  On 2/22/2023 at 6:47 PM, CoastalWx said:

I think I would take it up a bit near the MA/NH border. Not sure why the hole inside 128, but yet the beaches of Plymouth accumulate.

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I think they are predicting a mess aloft and bad snow growth if that's their map for the areas you mentioned. 

[dendrite]

I think many were latching onto the NAM midlevels and had their products ready and then voila, the 12z runs came out.

[wxsniss]

  On 2/22/2023 at 6:47 PM, CoastalWx said:

I think I would take it up a bit near the MA/NH border. Not sure why the hole inside 128, but yet the beaches of Plymouth accumulate.

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Agree with both, just was amused by the very precise shirk inside 128.

Honestly haven't invested much time / care in this one, a pretty low ceiling for SNE. Not true for next week...

[Lava Rock]

  On 2/22/2023 at 5:49 PM, lurker said:

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IDK about those 12-18" in western ME

[dendrite]

  On 2/22/2023 at 7:03 PM, Lava Rock said:

IDK about those 12-18" in western ME

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That's through Saturday morning

[Lava Rock]

  On 2/22/2023 at 7:05 PM, dendrite said:

That's through Saturday morning

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right, but you think 18" is doable?

[Chris12WX]

  On 2/22/2023 at 7:07 PM, Lava Rock said:

right, but you think 18" is doable?

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NWS has preset ranges I think. So even if the ceiling is 13". Still going to see 12-18".

[NorEastermass128]

  On 2/22/2023 at 6:47 PM, CoastalWx said:

I think I would take it up a bit near the MA/NH border. Not sure why the hole inside 128, but yet the beaches of Plymouth accumulate.

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Obviously, it’s the warm ground caused by the urban heat island. Even I knew that!

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 2/22/2023 at 3:49 PM, CoastalWx said:

Because it's going to go from like 33-34 and slush to 22 and freeze everything up with some snizzle. Wherever that sets up. 

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Riveting in 2023

[dryslot]

  On 2/22/2023 at 6:19 PM, NW_of_GYX said:

Clouds just moved in here quickly, should be your way soon. 

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Here now, OVC, 37/12°F

[TalcottWx]

Snowing in Simsbury. 40F.

[wx_observer]

Any educated guesses on how much ice accretion we're looking at in SNE?

[rimetree]

40/26. Always on the fringe of the good stuff but would be pleasantly surprised with 5" if we can keep the changover to hold off longer. HRRR seems like it keeps us from completely flipping to sleet even here in Gooseville.

[ORH_wxman]

  On 2/22/2023 at 7:35 PM, wx_observer said:

Any educated guesses on how much ice accretion we're looking at in SNE?

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I wouldn't expect more than a tenth or so....maybe some of the high terrain gets a little more, but most of the danger comes with just a thin glaze of freezing drizzle when temps really drop tomorrow. There could be an additional tenth or so of glaze tomorrow night as that 2nd round of light precip comes through