Very persistent signal for moderate snow and ice impact between "Wed night" and "Thur night" this week

[weathafella]

4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Ukie came in milder for NE mass and SE NH  . You can see on the clown that it shaved back considerably there . Temps also look above freezing on unmet out thru 495 for “part 1”

I know it’s a typo but unmet may be the perfect moniker for this model current guidance notwithstanding.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Ukie a bit less qpf and it that maybe why snowfall was cut in half for NE mass and Extreme SE NH

[CoastalWx]

18 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Almost seems like it's more of a synoptic issue with the track of the mid level lows than a typical meso vs global kind of battle in a SWFE. 

NAM is certainly further NW at 500 vs GFS or the other globals. 

[greenmtnwx]

2 hours ago, weathafella said:

The winter of our discontent in SNE continues to chug along....

Of course. Kudos to you Jerry as you have seemed to take a guarded stance considering this years bias. You didn’t take the bait hook, line and sinker. Smart. 

[Typhoon Tip]

Looks like the GGEM has a pretty intense tuck between 7 pm and midnight Thursday evening

[George001]

2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

If this had a chance to be a bonafide sleet producer, I’d be interested. 
 

My guess is this is just going to turn into a cold rain for most of SNE. Wagons north for a congrats dendrite is my thoughts 

I think Kev has the right idea. We will get an ice storm. The north trends will mean more ice than sleet.

[CoastalWx]

Euro may be a tick colder.

[40/70 Benchmark]

26 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Ukie a bit less qpf and it that maybe why snowfall was cut in half for NE mass and Extreme SE NH

I honestly couldn't care less. I'm waaaay past the dissapointment stage.

[CoastalWx]

Come on Euro. For Christ sake something go our way for once.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Come on Euro. For Christ sake something go our way for once.

If it snows, it snows....I'm all melted out this season. 

[weathafella]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Come on Euro. For Christ sake something go our way for once.

That’s a nice run reviving this some.

[ORH_wxman]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro may be a tick colder.

Pretty decent pike thump but there’s not a lot of wiggle room. I’d love to get 3 or 4 inches though before the pellets. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

If it snows, it snows....I'm all melted out this season. 

You may get a CF CJ briefly.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You may get a CF CJ briefly.

Yea, been hinted at

[ORH_wxman]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Come on Euro. For Christ sake something go our way for once.

Euro will “win” the battle but in 70/30 fashion as to surgically give us little or no snow and keep most of the goods N of rt 2 or MA/NH border. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Euro with a warning event for some

[CoastalWx]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Euro will “win” the battle but in 70/30 fashion as to surgically give us little or no snow and keep most of the goods N of rt 2 or MA/NH border. 

I'm ready for that tuck to stop in Quincy and me rot at 33F for hours.

[weathafella]

42 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said:

Of course. Kudos to you Jerry as you have seemed to take a guarded stance considering this years bias. You didn’t take the bait hook, line and sinker. Smart. 

Thank you!  To be honest I have weenied for this one but always with the thought that it would crap out.  Today’s runs are somewhat encouraging but we’ll see.  I want to use my new snowblower at least one this winter.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Thank you!  To be honest I have weenied for this one but always with the thought that it would crap out.  Today’s runs are somewhat encouraging but we’ll see.  I want to use my new snowblower at least one this winter.

He's at 2K in srn VT with multiple rounds of snow coming starting this evening.

[mahk_webstah]

GYX has us going over to sleet but getting 5-10" snow.  Maybe the general cooler trend keeps us all snow up here.  Would be okay if this were the last hurrah.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

If it snows, it snows....I'm all melted out this season. 

3”-5” for us then sleet.  There will be a pack again by Friday. 

[Modfan2]

1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Euro with a warning event for some

Rain for many lol!

[STILL N OF PIKE]

40 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

GYX has us going over to sleet but getting 5-10" snow.  Maybe the general cooler trend keeps us all snow up here.  Would be okay if this were the last hurrah.

I think you def have more coming 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Pretty decent pike thump but there’s not a lot of wiggle room. I’d love to get 3 or 4 inches though before the pellets. 

I realize y'all in that Pike latitude really are straining and I'm sensitive to that ...but this looks like from Ray's area to myself/FIT gets a solid 5 hours of straight moderate 1/2 to 1/3 mi vis snow before we IP on that run.

That's actually more than I anticipated at this threads inception along Rt 2.  ...But, no one can be held accountable in the CH scenarios...   the gradient is so finite that it's beneath the resolution of the best tech and minds...  imho.  ha.

[Typhoon Tip]

I don't really care if it snows or not in that sense.  I'm interested if snow is falling...or may do so, Sure. But it doesn't hit me that hard if it doesn't work out - especially post Feb 15 any year.  I like intersting events for a spectrum of the weather output.

I think it's cool when you get IP aggregation... several of them frozen together... they're loud and bounce and shatter...  Neat to see.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I am expecting to use the snowblower for the second time in 2023.  

[mahk_webstah]

14 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I think you def have more coming 

probably, but the "go big" seems to be lessening.  This late I want to go big or go spring.  Although I might be getting caught up in the SNE vibe.  I should be following Brian and Jeff's lead when it comes to my emotional weather life lol.

[Digityman]

14 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

This late I want to go big or go spring.

This.  10+ or spring is where I'm at.

[Brewbeer]

20 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I am expecting to use the snowblower for the second time in 2023.  

It will be the first for me …. If it happens

[weathafella]

9 minutes ago, Brewbeer said:

It will be the first for me …. If it happens

Me too!  Brand new bought with so much promise in December….