Very persistent signal for moderate snow and ice impact between "Wed night" and "Thur night" this week

[STILL N OF PIKE]

16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I noticed a subtle trend to raise heights now.  

Across nam or other guidance bc nam seems to be on its own with regard to any N move 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Across nam or other guidance bc nam seems to be on its own with regard to any N move 

And the concern is , it’s correct. We’ve been down this unpaved road enough times . Will you take the paved road or go off road?

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Across nam or other guidance bc nam seems to be on its own with regard to any N move 

All guidance really. Very very subtle though.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And the concern is , it’s correct. We’ve been down this unpaved road enough times . Will you take the paved road or go off road?

Lol , I’m not sold on any sizeable N shift from here but we will see 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Euro at 18z wobbled back north (not to the extent of 6z but pike North now solid snows over to just outside 128 . But beyond the clowns the 700-775 temps warmed a degree or 2 for most into NH border so the snow won’t need much more warming to sleet earlier 

[Whineminster]

i mean why are we complaining about sleet in this winter? 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, Whineminster said:

i mean why are we complaining about sleet in this winter? 

I’m happy with the modeled zr storm 

[Typhoon Tip]

35 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Euro at 18z wobbled back north (not to the extent of 6z but pike North now solid snows over to just outside 128 . But beyond the clowns the 700-775 temps warmed a degree or 2 for most into NH border so the snow won’t need much more warming to sleet earlier 

It’s likely to “wobble” these same amts, north and south,  straight thru verification

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Might be nothing but the 0z nam is running a degree or two colder for Wednesday afternoon from N Pa to Berks , ORH county

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Nam seems to about hold course 

[powderfreak]

Good stretch of high-probability snow.  Amounts are unknown but the chances of any snow falling during those forecast periods is solid.

Detailed Forecast

Tonight

Partly cloudy, with a low around 13. Wind chill values as low as -2. Windy, with a northwest wind 24 to 29 mph decreasing to 13 to 18 mph after midnight. 

Tuesday

Snow showers likely, mainly after 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 26. Windy, with a south wind 7 to 17 mph increasing to 22 to 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. 

Tuesday Night

Snow showers likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 11. Wind chill values as low as -8. Windy, with a south wind 28 to 31 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible. 

Wednesday

Partly sunny, with a high near 17. Wind chill values as low as -9. Windy, with a northwest wind 21 to 26 mph decreasing to 13 to 18 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 37 mph. 

Wednesday Night

Snow, mainly after 10pm. Low around 11. Northwest wind 7 to 11 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. 

Thursday

Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 16. Southeast wind around 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Thursday Night

Snow. Low around 1. Windy, with a south wind 24 to 29 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

[qg_omega]

57 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m happy with the modeled zr storm 

[NorEastermass128]

6 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Mid 80s in DC. Woof.

[George001]

17 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

It will come north, but the rgem has a warm bias with surface temps. Looks like a lot of ice and sleet for many areas in SNE.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Looks like 80 for Dc on Thursday is actually possible across guidance ...what a dumpster fire of a winter in mid atl

[dryslot]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Looks like 80 for Dc on Thursday is actually possible across guidance ...what a dumpster fire of a winter in mid atl

Cherry blossoms blooming?

[Typhoon Tip]

57 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Mid 80s in DC. Woof.

Part of me wonders if the next one of these surges won’t have the benefit of an active northern stream in March and will expand much further north

[weathafella]

GFS is cold and juicy.  Plenty of sleet but hours of snow on the front end and fighting with sleet during the day.

[SnoSki14]

1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Looks like 80 for Dc on Thursday is actually possible across guidance ...what a dumpster fire of a winter in mid atl

A couple more ticks north and 70s get into NYC for Thursday. Could be a wild temperature swing

[moneypitmike]

At least some people in New England still have a winter.

Days and days of snow for the few.

[CoastalWx]

6 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Part of me wonders if the next one of these surges won’t have the benefit of an active northern stream in March and will expand much further north

I would love 80 at this point. 

[Modfan2]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I would love 80 at this point. 

Agree! 

[Kitz Craver]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I would love 80 at this point. 

If the next two weeks fall into the persistence of the season and morph into failed cold rainers for SNE, let me out please.

[dryslot]

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I would love 80 at this point. 

Yup, we pray 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

I don’t wanna hear moaning but if you look at EPS heights for SNE for Thursday early am and compare them to 0z Monday they are 3 DM higher and if you look at 850 temps on EPS from last nite and make same time frame comparison they are warmer by a couple degrees . This hasn’t translated to the clown maps so far but the wiggle room left on EPS has eroded . 

Looks solid N of Concord NH 

 

[ORH_wxman]

15 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I don’t wanna hear moaning but if you look at EPS heights for SNE for Thursday early am and compare them to 0z Monday they are 3 DM higher and if you look at 850 temps on EPS from last nite and make same time frame comparison they are warmer by a couple degrees . This hasn’t translated to the clown maps so far but the wiggle room left on EPS has eroded . 

Looks solid N of Concord NH 

 

Euro suite is the coldest now. Pretty safe to toss I’d say. Unless we see others all of the sudden come back south today. 

[MJO812]

58 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Must be nice living somewhere with elevation 

[CoastalWx]

This will be pretty mundane south of NH. 

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

This will be pretty mundane south of NH. 

6 z Euro coming in much colder