jbenedet Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 Weird seeing lemons and cherries for theoretical points of interest and nothing for where the observations continue to be most indicative of tropical development in the north central GOM. I get the guidance has been pessimistic on development of this feature since it’s inception, but that’s also why it’s just “guidance”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 Not an STC? https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-E_Gulf_Coast-01-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Low Pressure Lunacy Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 And the flood watch is on the east coast of Florida, think it is off by 100 miles, we are getting nailed in the Ft Myers area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Mesovortex off the coast of SE FL is causing impacts similar to a tropical storm there. Widespread gusts to 50-60 mph, locally up to around 75 mph: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 There is a decent chance this system becomes a subtropical or tropical cyclone in the next day or two as it heads NE up the Gulf Stream. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Welp, time to close the book. This was my most successful peak season forecast yet. Will be hard to replicate in the future. WxWatcher007 Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 13 (15) Hurricanes: 6 (6) Major Hurricanes: 3 (3) Emily, Franklin (MH), Gert, Harold, Idalia (MH), Jose, Katia, Lee (MH), Margot (H), Nigel (H), Ophelia, Philippe, Rina, Sean, Tammy (H) 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 1, 2023 Author Share Posted December 1, 2023 Good job. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 On the one hand, I wonder what the NMME verification is at 8 months lead time, probably not particularly high. OTOH, El Nino should go neutral early in the season, and I see forecasts for the Atlantic to be cooler next season. 2024 thread will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted December 14, 2023 Share Posted December 14, 2023 Season is probably done but maybe not, eastern Gulf storm looks almost tropical storm, and westward moving low in subtropics could be a stat padder (for me anyway). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Depicting Inland Watches/Warnings on Cone New experimental cone graphic depicting inland U.S. tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings will become available in 2024 Will help convey wind hazard risk Graphic may not be available as soon as the current cone graphic due to the time need to compile complete inland watch and warning information Will be available beginning on or around August 15, 2024 Department of Commerce // National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration // 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now