SchaumburgStormer Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, michaelmantis said: The temp where I'm at in N IL is overing between 31/32. It's rain now, icing up on some areas. One of those situations where a degree down would make a huge (bad) difference. We look to be at the low for the day (31/32) and fingers crossed it doesn't drop a degree or two. It would get bad very fast. Been holding at 31.7 on my backyard station since 7am. Any drop will not make things any better. Only positive is that it is raining heavier now which has slowed the accretion a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Icy day in SE MI 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 16 minutes ago, madwx said: the pinging has become constant here. if this carries on for the next 6 hours or so I'll get a feel for what LAF experienced during GHD1 Crazy - mostly snow here with ice pellets here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 31/28 and holding still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 minute ago, michsnowfreak said: Icy day in SE MI Very icy indeed. The creaking too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 4 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Been holding at 31.7 on my backyard station since 7am. Any drop will not make things any better. Only positive is that it is raining heavier now which has slowed the accretion a bit. 31.6 for me for last 3 hours. Rain coming down pretty nicely now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Power outages are on the rise, 4,000+ out right now in IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 21 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Power outages are on the rise, 4,000+ out right now in IL Power flickered and heard something blow up in the distance in Dekalb. I can see where this is going. We need 32.5 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Very slight ice accretion on powerlines. Moderate freezing rain again from the showers. No sleet. Temp at 32F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 minute ago, mjwise said: Power flickered and heard something blew up in the distance in Dekalb. I can see where this is going. We need 32.5 degrees. Yup, over 6,000 out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaserguy Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 I wouldn’t be surprised if we don’t hit double digit totals for the entire storm. Snow having a really hard time getting going on the north side. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Had some pretty hard rain. Flash flooding possible tonight. Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0072 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 433 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2023 Areas affected...central/northern IL into northern IN, northwestern OH and southern MI Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 222130Z - 230330Z SUMMARY...Heavy rain will continue a threat for flooding from central/northern IL into northern IN and extreme northwestern OH/southern MI. Peak rainfall rates of just over 1 in/hr will allow for an additional 1 to 2 inches of rain through 03Z, but rainfall intensity is expected to decrease with time. DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery at 21Z showed a broad shield of precipitation extending to the north and northeast of a surface low analyzed over central IL. Localized reports of 1+ in/hr have occurred across portions of central IL over the past few hours where the SPC mesoanalysis indicated MUCAPE near 100 J/kg and precipitable water values of 1.2 to 1.4 inches. MRMS and gauge reports indicated 1 to 3 inches of rain has fallen over the past 12 hours from central IL into north-central IN. Across far northern IN/OH into southern MI, surface temperatures near 32 have supported areas of freezing rain with the freezing line expected to only marginally lift north over the next few hours. As a negatively tilted shortwave over the mid-Mississippi Valley continues to advance northeastward, it is expected to maintain a weakening trend and support the ENE track of the surface low over central IL toward northwestern OH. South-southwesterly 850 mb winds of 50 to 60 kt just ahead of the shortwave and surface low are expected to continue strong ascent over a well-defined warm front extending eastward from the low. Elevated instability is only about 100-200 J/kg according to the 20Z SPC mesoanalysis but is forecast to gradually lower over the next 3-6 hours which should reduce peak rainfall intensity to 0.5 to 0.75 in/hr beyond 00Z. An additional 1-2 inches of rain is expected through 03Z, with rainfall ending from west to east. Expected rainfall should near area 3-hr flash flood guidance of 1 to 1.5 inches, but should primarily lie north of the axis of heavy rain that has fallen over the past 12 hours. Nonetheless, localized areas of flooding will be possible, within a fairly narrow corridor between the warm front and frozen precipitation to the north over southern MI. Otto 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Nice lightning and thunder during our ice storm now. What's next?? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Power outages starting to go up in SE Mich Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Based on pictures I've seen, even with borderline temps and heavy rates, ice accrual has been fairly efficient across portions of Northern Illinois. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Based on pictures I've seen, even with borderline temps and heavy rates, ice accrual has been fairly efficient across portions of Northern Illinois. I have a Birch tree covered with ice that if we get a few gusts or sustained winds I'm afraid it may fall. Leaning a good deal. About to head out and the roads themselves look ok. River of water through the backyard from the run off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 22, 2023 Author Share Posted February 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Based on pictures I've seen, even with borderline temps and heavy rates, ice accrual has been fairly efficient across portions of Northern Illinois. Gotta think that dews staying 2-3 degrees below freezing (at least per ASOS sites) and the brisk winds have been helping the cause. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 LOT probably could have expanded that ice storm warning another tier of counties. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwalsh1 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Currently in far eastern Kane / far western DuPage counties in West Chicago right by DuPage Airport, and we have minor ice accretion on trees. Pavement seems only to be wet, not frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 31 minutes ago, mnchaserguy said: I wouldn’t be surprised if we don’t hit double digit totals for the entire storm. Snow having a really hard time getting going on the north side. . Closing in on an inch imby from the main event. It’s coming down pretty good right now. What part of town are you in? I think 8-10” additional is probably what my side of town will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Noticing the wind picking up for the first time. No pingers, just rain on the windows/house. Drive safe everyone if you have to go out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Thunder ice in canton. As Jim Cantore says incredible.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 32° here. Sleet and freezing rain. About a quarter inch so far, waiting to see if the temp is going to drop a bit after dark. Heaviest rates still to come according the GRR. Definitely seems significantly worse east of here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 We have between 0.1" and 0.2" of ice with some sleet mixed in. Not as bad as other places in MI but several more hours to go also so I guess we will wait and see what it looks like in the morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaserguy Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Closing in on an inch imby from the main event. It’s coming down pretty good right now. What part of town are you in? I think 8-10” additional is probably what my side of town will see. I’m up in Blaine. We missed the bigger bands yesterday and the current band seems to be drying up on the north side. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 I-290 and Biesterfield. Abrupt change to iced trees and vegetation. 32F and moderate ZR. Heading home with caution and fingers crossed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Just lost power here 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 We just had thunder ice too. My white pine is really sagging, hope its ok. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Ohh now DTX upgrades 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Approaching 32F here. Looks like the HiRez models were correct getting MBY up to 32F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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