bearman Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 I know it is most likely time to stop hoping but when you see that low spinning in the Gulf there have been times we have had surprises so I will keep hope alive. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 Can clearly see the difference between NAM and RGEM. For NE TN temps aren't the issue. It's rates. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 I can't see us worrying about rates with all that lift over central MS heading our way. Maybe downsloping takes some away? Some of that is bright banding but I don't think it all is. I think a lot of it is just hellacious lift. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: I can't see us worrying about rates with all that lift over central MS heading our way. Maybe downsloping takes some away? Some of that is bright banding but I don't think it all is. I think a lot of it is just hellacious lift. I'm not really sure about why some models have a deform band of death vs others with barely showers. You would think we would have a monster deform pivoting through... the Rgem made a big move for a heavier deform at 12z. Let's see it's 18z. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 17 minutes ago, bearman said: I know it is most likely time to stop hoping but when you see that low spinning in the Gulf there have been times we have had surprises so I will keep hope alive. I mean, yeah we are probably out of it, but maybe a miracle happens. I just walked the dog and the wind was ripping from the north. Maybe that's a good omen. Fingers crossed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greyhound Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 There is some strong bright banding over MS right now near Jackson, MS. radar site is KDGX Here is a still image since the gif resolution is pretty low. I can usually look a correlation coefficient and see a rain snow level or line, but there is A LOT going on in that radar image and its over my head. Here is the hydrometeor classification for those interested. If it is right, snow is really trying to reach the surface: The light blue is "dry snow" and the darker blue is "wet snow". The pinkish color is "graupnel" and the red is "hail," the yellow is "big drops" and the green is "little drops." sorry for the random quotes but I was trying to denote that those terms on radarscopes, not mine. Thanks for that info!!! What is the red at the end of the loop (on the Hydrometer Classification)? Heavier rain? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 26 minutes ago, Greyhound said: Thanks for that info!!! What is the red at the end of the loop (on the Hydrometer Classification)? Heavier rain? The red is apparently hail, even though I have a hard time believing that. Look at it now, lol: The radar site is under the "o" in Jackson in the above image. It looks like mixed precip or melting has overtaken the radar site on Correlation coefficient: 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 I think I can make out some wet snow mixed in on this camera on the MDOT website: Just east of Jackson. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 Wow! If that’s hail, that’s gonna add up fast! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 MPING just shows rain, but it could just be raining so hard with big drops of melted snow mixed in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 It would be so cool to have a drone that could go up about 2000' in that area right now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 We've reached the "giant hail" classification on radar scope now. I really don't think there is any way there is any sort of hail let alone giant hail. I think the radar just scans horizontally and vertically and makes a "best guess" for precip type. There must just be some goosefeathers and graupnel falling just above the surface: 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 It’s too bad MS doesn’t have much elevation! Around here 2k ft would not be anything really special and this would be a site to behold! Unfortunately for them, most of the state is under 500ft, and the peaks only max out at 806ft in the far NE corner. Having lived there a good bit of my life though, I wouldn’t trade it for anything. 2 good things they never have to worry about in any part of that state is the rain shadow effect from downsloping and a plateau that hangs up cold air! There’s just not anything tall enough to do either. On the flip side though, they struggle even more with getting cold fronts to pass through bc of latitude. So, I guess there’s that trade off to consider as well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 We now have confirmation through ping report we have ice near Jackson. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 Just throwing this out that it’s 10 degrees colder under the low pressure than the NE corner of Mississippi . 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 The returns aren’t as heavy in NW AL as in Central MS, but what they don’t have in returns in this area, they make up in elevation. There are places that are over 1,000ft to the South and SW of Florence AL, so there might be some flakes making it down here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Tick tick tick hrrr looking good. final frame. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Tonight's SRM's trend should be showing with each run now irt snowfall uptick. Rgem gets onvoard, we're good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 I would almost swear there's very wet snow falling here now mixed with rain. It's so hard to tell after dark. In these sorts of evaporative cooling situations sometimes I feel like you can get wet snow at onset of precip before it changes over to rain. i would be very interested to see what @Shocker0 and @Knoxtron have right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 No question now. All rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Knoxtron Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 29 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: I would almost swear there's very wet snow falling here now mixed with rain. It's so hard to tell after dark. In these sorts of evaporative cooling situations sometimes I feel like you can get wet snow at onset of precip before it changes over to rain. i would be very interested to see what @Shocker0 and @Knoxtron have right now. Definitely snow mixed in with the rain, hoping the heavier returns to our southwest help! Currently 38.7° 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsty2001 Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Sitting in the car waiting for the wife in Greeneville, graupel or something is falling (definitely not 100% rain) but it's 48 here... The heck? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsty2001 Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Definitely graupel, guess we will see how quickly the temp drops now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 After watching TN lose on a half court 3point shot...after being up by 2(and shooting 2FTs) w/ four seconds left, man............................................................................................ 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 11 minutes ago, Dsty2001 said: Sitting in the car waiting for the wife in Greeneville, graupel or something is falling (definitely not 100% rain) but it's 48 here... The heck? That reminds me of a spring snow squall I got back last May or April I believe in Abingdon. Temps were in the upper 40s and yet it snowed encased in a cold downburst. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*Flash* Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Not sure about chasing tomorrow morning. Still tempted but seems too hit/miss below 2500 feet. I prefer a set chase as opposed to a goosechase. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Math/Met Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 23 minutes ago, Dsty2001 said: Sitting in the car waiting for the wife in Greeneville, graupel or something is falling (definitely not 100% rain) but it's 48 here... The heck? Just noticed that as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 More sleet and ice pellets near Huntsville. Don’t know if it means anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsty2001 Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 We doing a obs thread? I have a feeling this event might pull off a few surprises 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now