Upstate Tiger Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Here you go! The last ULL I was in was March 2009. Hope this is repeat! 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Oh boyyyyy hopefully this ain't any type of bad juju. I like that you are starting it though! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 It took till February 8th for something to track but better late than never 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 RDPS looks almost exactly like the NAM at 84. Western NC in a good spot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 24 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said: Here you go! The last ULL I was in was March 2009. Hope this is repeat! i was 17 .... it was a Sunday night ...heavy rain all day then 5-7" that night , next weekend it was 75 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 March 2009 was a disaster here with downsloping. Less than an inch of snow while Morganton had 4-6 and Shelby had 6-8 or more... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: March 2009 was a disaster here with downsloping. Less than an inch of snow while Morganton had 4-6 and Shelby had 6-8 or more... Yeah I remember getting 6 inches and thundersnow out of that one. Places around Gaffney in northern Cherokee and Cleveland county got hammered with near a foot in some parts of the county. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 12z ICON track is the recipe that creates big events for Western NC mountains/SW VA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Johnson Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 March 2009 was a disaster here with downsloping. Less than an inch of snow while Morganton had 4-6 and Shelby had 6-8 or more...I had 11 inches just south of Shelby. One of the funnest snows of my life. All in the span of 5-6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Yeah I remember getting 6 inches and thundersnow out of that one. Places around Gaffney in northern Cherokee and Cleveland county got hammered with near a foot in some parts of the county.We will be riding the line for sure. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 ICON a big hit for mountains/western piedmont/SW Va. Its been very persistent last few runs, I’ll give it that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 34 minutes ago, wncsnow said: March 2009 was a disaster here with downsloping. Less than an inch of snow while Morganton had 4-6 and Shelby had 6-8 or more... No moisture here, only flurries for us during that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 12z GFS another good run for western half of the piedmont. Maybe not quite as good as 6z but still very heavy snow in similar areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Curious as the GFS is spitting out heavy ice to. Do yall think that's a threat as well, or is this just a rain or snow scenario?Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Man that is a painful run for North GA. Snow south of Augusta but none up here in the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Anyone have ICON maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FamouslyHot Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Would love to see another ULL snow in CAE since I missed out on the big totals November 1, 2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 GFS another demolition for my direct area into the northern mountains of NC. Starting to get cautiously optimistic. If that comes to fruition, going to lay down some beautiful rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Raleigh is not going to see any accumulation from this. It will be I-77 and the western Triad. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Looks like the GFS may be becoming a bit of an outlier on timing. Looks like it's about 6-12+ hours ahead of most other guidance. Not sure if there's any significance to that or not, just something I noticed. Curious whether the slower timing could allow time for some weak CAD to build in from that 1025-1030 high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: Looks like the GFS may be becoming a bit of an outlier on timing. Looks like it's about 6-12+ hours ahead of most other guidance. Not sure if there's any significance to that or not, just something I noticed. Curious whether the slower timing could allow time for some weak CAD to build in from that 1025-1030 high? I think it’s actually the opposite. I think faster timing gives less time for the upper level cool pool temps to moderate allowing for rates to capitalize on top down dynamic cooling. Slower solutions are showing moderation of temps in the upper levels and thus no cold air available and mostly rain solutions. The HP is kind of a non factor here besides for storm track bc the air associated with it and dew points are just too high to make a difference for freezing/frozen 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: I think it’s actually the opposite. I think faster timing gives less time for the upper level cool pool temps to moderate allowing for rates to capitalize on top down dynamic cooling. Slower solutions are showing moderation of temps in the upper levels and thus no cold air available and mostly rain solutions. The HP is kind of a non factor here besides for storm track bc the air associated with it and dew points are just too high to make a difference for freezing/frozen This makes sense. I think we kinda want to start rooting for a more progressive system at this point. In general, modeling has slowed down over the past 48 hours of runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 If I was in the mountains I would be excited for this one. Everyone else, see ya in the Sanitarium this weekend 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 A touch closer to the coast than last run, but this looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Just now, olafminesaw said: A touch closer to the coast than last run, but this looks good tight cluster too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 13 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: I think it’s actually the opposite. I think faster timing gives less time for the upper level cool pool temps to moderate allowing for rates to capitalize on top down dynamic cooling. Slower solutions are showing moderation of temps in the upper levels and thus no cold air available and mostly rain solutions. The HP is kind of a non factor here besides for storm track bc the air associated with it and dew points are just too high to make a difference for freezing/frozen That makes perfect sense, thanks. Even when I know better given the setup it's hard to ignore paths to a better boundary layer lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 12zgfs 12z icon 12z gdps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 UK upped totals from last run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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