CAPE Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 I suppose we should discuss this here. Probably not thread worthy. A lot to overcome to see anything appreciable- fast flow, relatively weak forcing, very dry air in place, and marginal temps. Would need enough lift to overcome the dry air and then get a period of moderate precip to fall to cool the surface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 If one loops back through the older NAM Nest forecasts for this morning, its 00Z cycle last night picked up on the idea that it would take time this morning to bust into the warmer air. 80 is likely now off of the table for most, but at least the low 70s seems likely for much of the DC area with 75 still possible on the south side of town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 The Wedge wins 90% of the time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 We rarely bust low when record warmth is called. But lets see if the wedge holds better than the one you can get at Outback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 49.7 currently. mix sun/clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 31 minutes ago, kgottwald said: The Wedge wins 90% of the time! Only when we don’t need it to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Looking north from Tysons Corner, I can see the edge of the clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Low 60s for us, backed off a bit. Still quite warm but no records. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Just got a burst of sunshine breaking thru...should mean the temp spike is coming shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 full sun here in NW - off we go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 43 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Just got a burst of sunshine breaking thru...should mean the temp spike is coming shortly Been sunny up here all morning, up to 66 in my backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, mappy said: Been sunny up here all morning, up to 66 in my backyard Wow. Not often you beat me in warm temps. Only 61 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 16 degree rise here in one hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 18 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: full sun here in NW - off we go Clouds are back here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 7 minutes ago, H2O said: Wow. Not often you beat me in warm temps. Only 61 here The clouds cleared out early up here, so thats helping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 20 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: 16 degree rise here in one hour If this trend continues it’s going 120F by 3pm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 65. Just need 15 more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 23, 2023 Author Share Posted February 23, 2023 IAD has risen 11F in the past hour. 57/44 10:52am 68/49 11:52am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 23, 2023 Author Share Posted February 23, 2023 IAD has just hit 70F. 70/49 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Like a rocket 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 60 here. 3km NAM and HRRR have a high of 64 and 68 respectively. Forecast high of 75...maybe not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 23 minutes ago, CAPE said: 60 here. 3km NAM and HRRR have a high of 64 and 68 respectively. Forecast high of 75...maybe not. Yeah we seem to be stuck at 60, not sure if it is some Bay influence. Meanwhile Seaford is at 70, Salisbury is mid 70s, and it is pushing 80 near Snow Hill. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 23, 2023 Author Share Posted February 23, 2023 IAD now at 76F. 76/51. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, George BM said: IAD now at 76F. 76/51. 76.1 in Falls Church. Torch activated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 I think we are heading toward 80 in Montclair. Full sun and around 70 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 23, 2023 Author Share Posted February 23, 2023 75/50 at IAD at 12:52pm w/ 76F peak so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 68 in Monkton - only 61 in baltimore city at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 23, 2023 Author Share Posted February 23, 2023 IAD has now tied todays record of 77F. 77/50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Wooo! 76! only 4 to go! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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