brooklynwx99 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 at least we should be good for next year? 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: at least we should be good for next year? Watch us get a raging east-based El Nino 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Watch us get a raging east-based El Nino I doubt it'll be strong however, this is a composite of all weak to moderate east-based and basin-wide Ninos. still a complete departure from what we've been seeing. just give me a damn Nino haha 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2023 Author Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 57 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: I doubt it'll be strong however, this is a composite of all weak to moderate east-based and basin-wide Ninos. still a complete departure from what we've been seeing. just give me a damn Nino haha We are trending more toward Weak/Moderate Last year's subsurface push all the way through was actually warmer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 hour ago, jayyy said: That temp gradients pretty gnarly . Definitely a spring backdoor-type look. I know on which side of that gradient I'd prefer to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 12 minutes ago, mattie g said: Definitely a spring backdoor-type look. I know on which side of that gradient I'd prefer to be. Backdoor cold front season awaits! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 45 minutes ago, Ji said: Perfection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 The -NAO should max out March 9-19, 2023. That is our window. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 As to the So Cal thing … they are looking down the barrel of ocean water desalination. Just like Saudi Arabia. I can’t see any way around it. Too many people. In a desert. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 @Maestrobjwa- When you plan on closing up shop around here? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Nail it shut. Thank God. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a.salt Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Where is the Reaper when you need one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 34 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: @Maestrobjwa- When you plan on closing up shop around here? Ya wanna get rid of me that badly, smh (despite me cutting my posts down since last month). Hey uh...don't wanna see me post? How about not @ing me just to randomly insult! P.S. On the off-chance this was NOT an insult...ya know, I don't know if I ever fully "close up shop" on here...because now I'll be following the ENSO. Definitely much less involvement overall given that takes weeks and months...but I'll still be around (I poke my nose in severe occasionally) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Nail it shut. Thank God. (Un?)fortunately the EPS looks viable to me for wintery precip past Day 9 or so. March is the new February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 20 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: (Un?)fortunately the EPS looks viable to me for wintery precip past Day 9 or so. March is the new February yup, blocking builds in later on, likely due to the SSW, and the pattern becomes good for overrunning with the persistent 50/50 showing up 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 lol weve gone from chasing 10 days away storms, to being thankful for 80s on long range outputs the cycle is complete. winter is over. congrats folks, we mostly died but dragged our lame asses to the finish line 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 We’re not done with winter. I just know it. No way March goes wall to wall spring. The universe will correct itself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 37 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: (Un?)fortunately the EPS looks viable to me for wintery precip past Day 9 or so. March is the new February Always past day 9 though, at least swim season is getting closer now that high school swim ended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 53 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Ya wanna get rid of me that badly, smh (despite me cutting my posts down since last month). Hey uh...don't wanna see me post? How about not @ing me just to randomly insult! P.S. On the off-chance this was NOT an insult...ya know, I don't know if I ever fully "close up shop" on here...because now I'll be following the ENSO. Definitely much less involvement overall given that takes weeks and months...but I'll still be around (I poke my nose in severe occasionally) Sorry man…I def didn’t intend for it to land as insult. More so was admiring your dedication and perseverance and suspected you would be last one standing. Just wanted to ensure you closed the door, so we don’t let the ac out. It’s getting hot out here man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Its a Breeze Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 9 minutes ago, BristowWx said: We’re not done with winter. I just know it. No way March goes wall to wall spring. The universe will correct itself I hope we are. No point now. Like, I still wouldn't mind seeing a day here or there of snow. As long as it's close to 70 a couple days later.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 58 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: (Un?)fortunately the EPS looks viable to me for wintery precip past Day 9 or so. March is the new February 36 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: yup, blocking builds in later on, likely due to the SSW, and the pattern becomes good for overrunning with the persistent 50/50 showing up Yeah, it has worked out well for us in the LR so far 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 24 minutes ago, mappy said: lol weve gone from chasing 10 days away storms, to being thankful for 80s on long range outputs the cycle is complete. winter is over. congrats folks, we mostly died but dragged our lame asses to the finish line Pretty much. February will go by with nothing most likely. Sun angle, DST...let's just get off this ride already. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: at least we should be good for next year? Let’s cross the spring predictability barrier first. We’ll know by June-ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Just now, stormtracker said: Pretty much. February will go by with nothing most likely. Sun angle, DST...let's just get off this ride already. One more round…I didn’t hear no bell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Euro pumping a 597dm ridge in the Gulf in...checks notes...February. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 EPS sucks as a model.. GFS ensembles trended to +EPO today Days 13-15 at 12z, ..3 contours over Alaska. To let you know, this current +EPO that is about to end is responsible for Isip, NY breaking February monthly record today of 71 degrees on Feb 16th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Euro pumping a 597dm ridge in the Gulf in...checks notes...February. Not that I want California to burn down, but I have appreciated the ridge west/trough east summers lately. I’m not looking forward to the next time we have a summer 2010-2012 pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 41 minutes ago, BristowWx said: We’re not done with winter. I just know it. No way March goes wall to wall spring. The universe will correct itself We will get our non-accumulating daytime mid-March snow and we will like it. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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