stormtracker Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: lmao winter is coming back. give it a week and enjoy the warmth while you can In how many days tho? I have a specific number I'm thinking of. It's between 9 and 11 1 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Just now, stormtracker said: In how many days tho? I have a specific number I'm thinking of. It's between 9 and 11 10.5? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: lmao winter is coming back. give it a week and enjoy the warmth while you can It ain’t comin back 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: It ain’t comin back Can something come back that was never here? 3 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 8 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Can something come back that was never here? It’s been here before just not this year haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Great thread 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Last 4 GFS runs with max strength of the -PNA Pacific ridge in the MR: 12z: 593dm 06z: 592dm 00z: 593dm 18z: 592dm 12z GFS has it >590dm for 50+ hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Slight differences on the late next week storm at 12z. GFS 200 miles north of Chicago and CMC south of Savannah. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 minute ago, RedSky said: Slight differences on the late next week storm at 12z. GFS 200 miles north of Chicago and CMC south of Savannah. Stop splitting hairs, maniac. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 2 hours ago, stormtracker said: In how many days tho? I have a specific number I'm thinking of. It's between 9 and 11 6.9?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 5 hours ago, BristowWx said: That can’t be good. I guess the trees know what to do but hard to imagine if they bloom we won’t have several hard freezes. Maybe we won’t I can tell you exactly what happens because I have seen it before. They will drop every leaf and immediately grow new ones. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 I mean…add Tucson to the list 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 ^ New normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdood Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 8 minutes ago, mattie g said: ^ New normal https://www.sbnation.com/golf/2013/2/20/4009430/wgc-match-play-2013-weather-delay-snow-tiger-woods More or less normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 4 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: lmao winter is coming back. give it a week and enjoy the warmth while you can I Commend your optimism but given how hopeful you’ve been several times this year I’d hate to know how absolutely screwed we must be when you say the long range looks bad. 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I Commend your optimism but given how hopeful you’ve been several times this year I’d hate to know how absolutely screwed we must be when you say the long range looks bad. yeah there will be nothing until the 23rd, which is also a maybe. IMO anything before like the 26th or so is gravy. the -NAO looks a bit more real, at least, which is when things would get more interesting for everyone. it's moving up in time and is showing up on OP runs and ensembles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 2 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I can tell you exactly what happens because I have seen it before. They will drop every leaf and immediately grow new ones. Yep. Not a big deal. The only concern is for crop trees. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Its a Breeze Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 5 hours ago, stormtracker said: Thank you Jesus. PLEAAAASE end this nightmare and bring on the 70s. Dead serious. If it's not going to snow, it might as well be super above normal. Being warm is something we almost NEVER fail with, so I'm super confident we're gonna put this nightmare behind us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 12:04 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: Yep. Not a big deal. The only concern is for crop trees. EastCoast NPZ ... Wow ... how much snow have you had there in Cross Junction area? It's been a toxic train wreck (worse than the real one in OH) of a season there! Increasing odds of split time retirement between VA & OR for me. Certainly will be interesting how the climate unfolds over the next 20 years. After that I will be too old to care! Photo from my last winter in Virginia. Taken in Boyce VA Feb 2014. remember the nice storms that winter? My daughter in the picture is now a graduating senior. visiting Universities all over the USA including this weekend in the midwest. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 No notable signal for frozen in our region on the 12z EPS until the very end of the month. Only about 2 weeks away! Time for a new 'March will be rocking' LR thread? Maybe there is another word that can be substituted for rocking. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: No notable signal for frozen in our region on the 12z EPS until the very end of the month. Only about 2 weeks away! Time for a new 'March will be rocking' LR thread? Maybe there is another word that can be substituted for rocking. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Man, do we have a shot of +NAO before it turns negative. Look at this map (warm pattern). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 hour ago, snownut said: EastCoast NPZ ... Wow ... how much snow have you had there in Cross Junction area? It's been a toxic train wreck (worse than the real one in OH) of a season there! Increasing odds of split time retirement between VA & OR for me. Certainly will be interesting how the climate unfolds over the next 20 years. After that I will be too old to care! Photo from my last winter in Virginia. Taken in Boyce VA Feb 2014. remember the nice storms that winter? My daughter in the picture is now a graduating senior. visiting Universities all over the USA including this weekend in the midwest. I kept telling him how much more snow he would get there instead of when he was in Stephens City. It has been abysmal since he move there. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 42 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I kept telling him how much more snow he would get there instead of when he was in Stephens City. It has been abysmal since he move there. So basically he's got @North Balti Zen-itis, lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 hour ago, CAPE said: No notable signal for frozen in our region on the 12z EPS until the very end of the month. Only about 2 weeks away! Time for a new 'March will be rocking' LR thread? Maybe there is another word that can be substituted for rocking. I'm just now starting to learn how to read the ensembles/height patterns, but it can't be a good thing when the SE ridge migrates west into the GOM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 43 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I kept telling him how much more snow he would get there instead of when he was in Stephens City. It has been abysmal since he move there. Making a move to a location with a "slightly better" climo in our general region probably won't make much difference at this point lol. Hell it doesn't even snow on Mount PSU anymore. Need to move to the western highlands to notice a significant difference. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: Making a move to a location with a "slightly better" climo in our general region probably won't make much difference at this point lol. Hell it doesn't even snow on Mount PSU anymore. Need to move to the western highlands to notice a significant difference. The problem is it’s stupid expensive everywhere. I looked out west the next best place for my line of work..Denver…stupid there too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Very depressing WB video from JB this afternoon. Basically, he was not impressed with the 12Z runs, and the GFS modeling is taking the MJO into phase 6 on March 1 which puts a final nail in our winter coffin. I guess we will know soon enough but Lucy is holding the football once again for Charlie Brown… 1 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 hour ago, clskinsfan said: I kept telling him how much more snow he would get there instead of when he was in Stephens City. It has been abysmal since he move there. Lived in Winchester/ Frederick County area from 1973 to 2004 so recall many borderline events that Cross Junction area way outperformed Winc. He is a real “drought whisperer” it follows him wherever he goes! Are you in Winchester? I lived on Allen Drive in town a couple years when going through a divorce. Then moved to Aldie (Loudoun County) and Boyce (Clarke County) before moving to Oregon. Childhood I was in Frederick County.. little place called Grimes. Still had the post office in 1973. Never forget the Feb 1983 storm.. 32” plus in Grimes with thunder / lighting and 4” per hour rates! Once-in-a-lifetime event to experience. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 39 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Very depressing WB video from JB this afternoon. Basically, he was not impressed with the 12Z runs, and the GFS modeling is taking the MJO into phase 6 on March 1 which puts a final nail in our winter coffin. I guess we will know soon enough but Lucy is holding the football once again for Charlie Brown… F this winter. Bring on 70s! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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