Weather Will Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 51 minutes ago, blizzardmeiser said: I’ll take the under. And JB said -5 average temperature 3/1 thru 4/15… bold forecast; we will see…. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: And JB said -5 average temperature 3/1 thru 4/15… bold forecast; we will see…. For where? Montana? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 What is with every Friday afternoon being blustery and turning colder? Are we stuck in some kind of infinite loop? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 The last couple runs of the GEFS suggests the cold comes in before the moisture departs on Friday. Maybe a few flakes in the air? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 GEFS has a -NAO beginning to take shape at the end of the run. Still a relatively mild look for the east verbatim. We shall see how the pattern evolves going forward if the NA is indeed improving. Would help if the Pac cooperates a little. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 17 hours ago, HighStakes said: JB over under for snow rest of the way. IAD/DCA: 12 BWI: 14 PHL: 15 I think my 7 leg same game Parlay at +1600 for the SB looks better. He forgot the . after the 1 right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 WB 0Z EPS PNA….if this verifies we can stick a fork in the rest of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 WB latest GEFS extended throws us the Hail Mary as we go through the first week of March, so I guess we wait to see if that timeframe holds….but obviously we are running out of time at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 All you have to do is just wait a certain amount of days. Say...10? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: All you have to do is just wait a certain amount of days. Say...10? We’re always 10 days away from being 10 days away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Did someone say 10 days away? I might be planting tomatoes in March this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Did someone say 10 days away? I might be planting tomatoes in March this year. But what does 10 days after that look like? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Just now, psuhoffman said: But what does 10 days after that look like? Spring! 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Would anyone really be surprised with how ridiculous our weather is that we would go into March with the worst winter of all time and then suddenly we get some winter just when everyone has fully moved onto Spring? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 55 minutes ago, Steve25 said: Would anyone really be surprised with how ridiculous our weather is that we would go into March with the worst winter of all time and then suddenly we get some winter just when everyone has fully moved onto Spring? That’s what I’m thinking. It always looks good 10-15+ days away. But I’m assuming persistence will win out. See you guys next year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 1 hour ago, Terpeast said: That’s what I’m thinking. It always looks good 10-15+ days away. But I’m assuming persistence will win out. See you guys next year. I have made this comment in the past many of times. They should only be allowed to release 5 days weather models to the public. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 14 minutes ago, Interstate said: I have made this comment in the past many of times. They should only be allowed to release 5 days weather models to the public. I'm 100% in favor of this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 WB 12Z EPS…. the 5 day period starting Th. 23rd is the time where we should start to see a pattern transitioning to something more conducive to wintry precipitation. Last 2 panels are just Day 15. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 9 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: The last edition of the weeklies was useless as it was initialized off a run where the EPS went all in on HL block forming. The next run it went right back to blue up top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 New edition of the weeklies isn't bad at all at h5 though. Not sure I would say it went in the wrong direction. The last run was ultra weenie and not likely to transpire. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 27 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Lol, i am hunting 70s and 80s. Sounds like it’s not too far off! 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Yessssss, another d10 possibility to track. What could go wrong!?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 I do want to say good job GFS not showing long range snowstorms, for many Winter's now, in verification. It was not like that in the early 2000s. -PNA signal in February is a reverse-ENSO historically by May-August that year(higher developing El Nino tendency). Correlation is 0.4 to a +NAO April (-PNA February, which should be top 15 all time this year). 0.3 correlation to -PNA March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Ah well, sounds like it's time to go on ENSO watch 2023-24, lol Not that we have any certainty that a well-placed mod niño still helps, but regardless I'm still gonna root for it because it kinda feels like a watershed (or in this case snowshed ) moment for what's still possible in our climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 WB 18Z GEFS. If you want snow in March, need cold anomalies. Under half of members are cold for March 1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 ^p25 good lord Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: ^p25 good lord I gotta get in shape and fast. Pool season next month 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 There are signs of a -NAO/-AO developing in the first week of March on LR models, with a +120dm anomaly over the arctic circle at 384hr on the 18z GEFS. I think initially we will even out the cold signal with -PNA/+EPO-even, but watch to around March 7/8-18 for a possible window,bridge between the Pacific/Atlantic. (10mb warmings don't always downwell to -NAO+time, but about 70% of the time they do.) 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 My personal favorite of the day is the EURO weekly control…. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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