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Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread


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5 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Ya know, I actually understand for this month. But I don't remember a nina with wall-to-wall SER on steroids. I mean that typical cold on the front end of winter never really came!

90-91 was a horrific winter in swva. Got cold in March but before that :yikes:

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54 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

just a matter of time before we get a taste of some of those obscene heat waves seen in Western North America or Europe the past couple of years.

Maybe the new normal is a huge ridge with blazing summer heat out West? And if that summer rubber band does bonce back, then by extension the winter one should, as well.

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4 minutes ago, GATECH said:

Best investment I ever made was the pool, installed 2013. Worst…snowblower after winter of 2010…I thought we were going to be a snow town!

We have no snowblower. So can't blame me hahaha

But the pool will be the better investment when we have summer like temps for half a year

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22 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Since 2017 we really haven't had much obscene heat.  Not much snow either.  Coincidence?   

That's what I'm saying. The rubber band is going to snap at some point, but until we have a reason to think it's going to, then I'm sticking with persistence. Huge ridge in the West in the summer and SER in the East in the winter.

If we go moderate Nino in a favorable location, then things may change next winter, but I don't know...I just don't see a reason to think this summer will be particularly hot.

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Some hopium in the LR on the 12z GEFS. As mentioned in a previous post, a weak signal for frozen next Friday-Saturday period, then a somewhat stronger signal around the 24th-25th for something. The advertised pattern on the GEFS looks like it may be going places. EPS and CMC ens look somewhat different at h5, but still a notably colder look for the east the end of the month. Time will tell; we just can't know yet. 

1677326400-C9YGnG1btRY.png

 

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I said I had some optimism for late Feb and March.  That's relative to the no hope despair I've felt for the whole winter up until now...so don't get carried away and say I think snowmageddon is coming...but I could see us maybe having some legit threats for snow  the last week of Feb and through March. 

Have to think our latitude scores at least once in that late feb - march timeframe. We do late season snowfall fairly well up this way. Would absolutely love to see everyone get in on the action, but it’d be truly historically shitty if your area over to mine continued to strike out through march too.


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