Rvarookie Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 34 minutes ago, mappy said: I’m a snow weenie like the everyone else but def deal with SAD during the winter. The sunny, higher sun angle, with a touch of warmth like today is comforting. +1 to that. Also kids are able to burn some energy outside which is nice for the early bed times and people overall just seem to be kinder when the rays start hitting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Just now, Rvarookie said: +1 to that. Also kids are able to burn some energy outside which is nice for the early bed times and people overall just seem to kinder when the rays start hitting. Can relate with that. My little girl is the outdoorsy type, and she goes stir crazy if we’re cooped up inside for too long. Funnily enough she doesn’t mind the cold as long as we dress her warmly enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 There is a pretty strong signal on the ensembles for yet another storm cutting NW for the 16- 17th. Just beyond that there may be the possibility for a wave along the boundary around the 18th or so with colder air in its wake. Something to keep an eye on as we try again lol. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 10 hours ago, CAPE said: Winter is coming. Delayed but not denied. March is our time. Hopefully not lol. Bring on spring. I want to plant my weed plants. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Wild to think if late February/March doesn't offer any redemption, I will have lived through Baltimore's best and worst winters of all time(in terms of snowfall) already in my lifetime. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 You know some big snowstorm is going to show up in late March lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Lol Nothing can stop the SER 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Lol Nothing can stop the SER That's what I'm saying...if prime climo has stop the SER, why the frickle would it be any better in March? Lol And please let me unleash a bit of angst: WHY IS THE SER SO FRICKIN' STRONG THIS YEAR??? *pant, pant* Alright I'm good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: That's what I'm saying...if prime climo has stop the SER, why the frickle would it be any better in March? Lol And please let me unleash a bit of angst: WHY IS THE SER SO FRICKIN' STRONG THIS YEAR??? *pant, pant* Alright I'm good la nina 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 15 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: la nina Ya know, I actually understand for this month. But I don't remember a nina with wall-to-wall SER on steroids. I mean that typical cold on the front end of winter never really came! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 30 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: la nina Worst of both el nino and la nina. This may be why post-nina neutral winters are the worst for us in snowfall. As the nina decays, the atmosphere starts acting more like a nino out west but the SER stays. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 The Day 13/14 12z GFS blizzard in SNE and NYC would be a hilarious end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 46 minutes ago, yoda said: The Day 13/14 12z GFS blizzard in SNE and NYC would be a hilarious end With March rearing it's head and the pattern actually looking more than favorable, this may actually be just the beginning. Could be a wild 2-3 week finish to a backloaded winter. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 3 hours ago, yoda said: You know some big snowstorm is going to show up in late March lol I said that weeks ago. March 23rd, book it. Big snowstorm during spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 2 hours ago, Terpeast said: Worst of both el nino and la nina. This may be why post-nina neutral winters are the worst for us in snowfall. As the nina decays, the atmosphere starts acting more like a nino out west but the SER stays. A good point. I've been thinking along the same lines. Makes sense actually. It has been acting like a hybrid Strong Nina/Nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2023 Author Share Posted February 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: With March rearing it's head and the pattern actually looking more than favorable, this may actually be just the beginning. Could be a wild 2-3 week finish to a backloaded winter. ok jb 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 weeklies are kind of ridiculous… locked and loaded throughout the run. every member has a SSW that occurs by the 16th as some have already mentioned, I am skeptical about the effects of the SSW, as models are notoriously horrible with tropospheric effects. however, given the strength of the SSW, I would be more inclined to see a switch to a blocky pattern like this rather than keeping with the status quo 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 4 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: la nina Ya know, I actually understand for this month. But I don't remember a nina with wall-to-wall SER on steroids. I mean that typical cold on the front end of winter never really came! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 She goin'!!! I know it won't help for the rest of this winter, I'm just happy to see it go and see things try and set up for next winter. Get the heck outta here! Time and make room for El Niño...(No guarantees, of course, but I just wanna shuffle the ENSO deck again) Now to see if a neutral March bodes well for a solid Niño by Fall... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: weeklies are kind of ridiculous… locked and loaded throughout the run. every member has a SSW that occurs by the 16th as some have already mentioned, I am skeptical about the effects of the SSW, as models are notoriously horrible with tropospheric effects. however, given the strength of the SSW, I would be more inclined to see a switch to a blocky pattern like this rather than keeping with the status quo One thing of note- the weeklies initialized off the 0z run, which had a more promising look at the end in the HL and hinted at a -NAO developing. The 12z run today took a step back, looking like more of the same rather than some sort of a meaningful pattern change getting underway. Not sure I would put much faith in this edition of the weeklies. Need to see more persistent hints of a favorable shift in the pattern towards the end of the month over the next few ensemble model cycles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 From the WashPost: how-a-predicted-polar-vortex-disruption-could-spur-winter-s-revenge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 2 hours ago, Ji said: ok jb Did he start getting all religious and philosophical Iike he does when he is wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 WB 18Z GFS….WE CAN DREAM…13 Days… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 37 minutes ago, J.Mike said: From the WashPost: how-a-predicted-polar-vortex-disruption-could-spur-winter-s-revenge That is very very bad, Here is to hoping the brunt of it smashes straight into the Washington Metropolitan Region delivering incredible amounts of snow. Better yet, a triple phaser that dumps record amounts of snow from Florida right up the eastern Seaboard into Maine, 100,000 year magnitude snows, particularly the Mid Atlantic. A HUGE TROWAL forms dumping torrential snows on the entire Mid Atlantic for five fun-filled days and DC gets a good taste of Tahoe and Alta. I am pulling hard for incredible snows and record vodka Siberian air in the Mid Atlantic, with 50s/60s in south central Texas. One frackin' thing is fo' sure! No one on here can ever call me a Deb. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS….WE CAN DREAM…13 Days… Make preparations now. Only 15 days to get ready. Make sure you buy enough eggs to feed the entire metro area with quiche, a minimum of 10 loaves of bread because why not, and all the toilet paper just in case it never melts and after all the leftover quiche... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Make preparations now. Only 15 days to get ready. Make sure you buy enough eggs to feed the entire metro area with quiche, a minimum of 10 loaves of bread because why not, and all the toilet paper just in case it never melts and after all the leftover quiche... Dont forget the beer kegs and the IPA's. Lay in a damn good supply. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 It actually starts at Day 13… so better get started a little earlier…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 16 minutes ago, Jebman said: That is very very bad, Here is to hoping the brunt of it smashes straight into the Washington Metropolitan Region delivering incredible amounts of snow. Better yet, a triple phaser that dumps record amounts of snow from Florida right up the eastern Seaboard into Maine, 100,000 year magnitude snows, particularly the Mid Atlantic. A HUGE TROWAL forms dumping torrential snows on the entire Mid Atlantic for five fun-filled days and DC gets a good taste of Tahoe and Alta. I am pulling hard for incredible snows and record vodka Siberian air in the Mid Atlantic, with 50s/60s in south central Texas. One frackin' thing is fo' sure! No one on here can ever call me a Deb. This post I made is ridiculous. I realize it deserves a billion hot dogs. But I want DC to be FebuBuried in snow. I used to live there. I know what it is to crave snow and get 50s all winter. I am pulling so hard for you guys to get snowed in its unbelievable. I'm crazy, but I just might be right. Weather's goin nuts these days. Anything's possible. If a crazy nut can forecast the DC weather, let a crazy nut forecast the DC weather. lmao Now lets see how many hot dogs this post gets. I love them New York Yankees hot dogs a lot, lets have about 7,000 of those. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2023 Author Share Posted February 10, 2023 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Make preparations now. Only 15 days to get ready. Make sure you buy enough eggs to feed the entire metro area with quiche, a minimum of 10 loaves of bread because why not, and all the toilet paper just in case it never melts and after all the leftover quiche... as the thread says--LATE FEB will be Rockin. I know more than people think on this board:) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2023 Author Share Posted February 10, 2023 i think this March will give us the closest chance we have had to a March 1993 type storm since that storm 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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