NorthArlington101 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 largely noise - highlights are probably more snow SWVA, more snow central VA/along I-81, less members that are bringing snow further north out of our subforum. probability maps for just an 1" (hey, low bar) show non-zero improvement from 06z. Generally 0-10% better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 21 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: largely noise - highlights are probably more snow SWVA, more snow central VA/along I-81, less members that are bringing snow further north out of our subforum. probability maps for just an 1" (hey, low bar) show non-zero improvement from 06z. Generally 0-10% better That’s 30-40% than I had 2 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Glad to see the Euro finally got a clue that there is going to be a storm out this way. Now all I have to do is start worrying about temps. Whoever gets the deform will get some snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard Hunter Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 35 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Glad to see the Euro finally got a clue that there is going to be a storm out this way. Now all I have to do is start worrying about temps. Whoever gets the deform will get some snow. Agreed. I think the Deform band is going to be pretty big. Partially wishcasting but also due to the CIPS analogs which was presented earlier. Some heavy hitters in there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 hour ago, Terpeast said: Just a gut feeling… i don’t think this h5 low closes and tracks as far south as its showing on the models. Maybe I’ve seen too many last minute north trends in my lifetime. *Not saying we get a result that favors us in the end (in case I get weenie tagged lol) I think that’s very true, almost 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: I think that’s very true, almost 100%. I can't say I hate us being towards the northern edge with this setup around 100 hrs out........just need to get the storm strong enough to suck cold air down from the stratosphere and we should be rockin'! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 What's the NASA model showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Just now, Kleimax said: What's the NASA model showing? The moon 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Can I try this once? Kill it if you hate it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Well LWX not entirely dismissing the threat: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 GFS near carbon copy of 12z run so far thru 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 54 hours, small closed low has developed over AR with a slightly slower progression than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 66 more of a suppressive flow from that nrn s/w..that got a little stronger, and less ridging in front, but don't think it's gonna make a huge difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: 66 more of a suppressive flow from that nrn s/w..that got a little stronger, and less ridging in front, but don't think it's gonna make a huge difference Upper level low is Even further south lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Upper level low is Even further south lol Yes, was just about to post this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Def more south and east with main precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 If there's a God, this will miss us completely 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 South central SC and North East GA with snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Definitely more suppressed at 105. No snow in the area, not even for the I-81 crew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Atleast there's snow almost to the Carolina coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Almost time to call it folks. We'll hang in there another day or so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Every dud winter has some sort of gut punch suppressed snow bomb.. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 How’s March looking? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Almost time to call it folks. We'll hang in there another day or so 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Is it time to talk about sun angle yet? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 9 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Is it time to talk about sun angle yet? Apparently so 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 So my weekend plans will still be intact... As for this winter, we're down 35-3 late in the third quarter. It's 3rd and long against a stout defense (warm air). Looking like yet another punt... maybe we get the ball back last week of February with about 5-7 minutes left in the game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Clown map season is over 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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