AtlanticWx Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 8 minutes ago, Amped said: The high moves offshore too quickly, that's why the storm produces less snow as you go further northeast. the high doesn't really matter here to be honest. the system is dynamic enough to produce its own cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 50 minutes ago, usedtobe said: Looks bad. Ops are starting to be more important than ensembles at this point bc of higher resolution, right? And I count more than half that give western areas measurable snow, which I would classify as a win for this winter. eta: But I hear you and understand it would have been better to see more ensemble members show improved solutions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 1 minute ago, snowmagnet said: I say we need to keep this thread. It’s actually the late February thread, so maybe we can fake out whatever is trying to keep us from getting snow. Not to mention...there really aren't any other threats to track, lol, so it's not like there will be any confusion over what's we're talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 32 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Only snow storm misses us to the south is very on script for this winter lol i know you know this, but for those who don't, the horrible winter for our region of '72-'73 featured an all-time Carolina snowstorm that is a legendary in those parts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2023 Author Share Posted February 7, 2023 Psu hates when he and jb on same page . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Gotta give some credit to the ICON the way this is headed. It picked up pretty early on the delayed southern wave allowing it to pinch off. The pinching off of the ULL will likely make it difficult to keep both low and mid-levels subfreezing. Being near the 500mb low center and just west of the SLP is probably going to be the place to be for snow. Eastern slopes of the Southern Apps might be in line here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 18z euro looks like it's digging more + slower + more amped. good trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 WB 18Z EURO at 90 v. GFS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO at 90 v. GFS The euro map looks better to me in the ns. Actually room for it to move north. Don’t look at the pretty colors. Height lines show only a slightly more positive tilt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO at 90 v. GFS How does it compare to its 12z run at 96? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, Chris78 said: How does it compare to its 12z run at 96? WB 12Z EURO at 96 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 18z definitely looks less progressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Euro 12z vs 18z. I actually like 18z a tick better. It’s farther west and better ridging in front. Also little bit more tilted negatively vs 12z All about spacing and latitude with this one.. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 hour ago, AtlanticWx said: the high doesn't really matter here to be honest. the system is dynamic enough to produce its own cold That always works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Here is 18z euro vs gfs. Can see the differences here with the NE shortwave etc. make of it what you will. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 4 hours ago, Heisy said: Kind of does a Ukie track. It’s all rain though, not that I’d care about thermals on a Nogaps hah. Where’s Ralph with the CRASS . Too soon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Here is 18z CMC is vs 12z. Yes there is a 18z cmc…. Can see it trended towards other models. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 minute ago, Heisy said: Here is 18z euro vs gfs. Can see the differences here with the NE shortwave etc. make of it what you will . Yeah, Euro could allow a cut further west with that depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 3 hours ago, psuhoffman said: This is kind of like trying to get a snowstorm the last week of March or first week of April. It’s possible but we need a lot to go right. But if we’re ever going to get snow this year we’re probably gonna have to get that kinda lucky. Tell me you think things are too warm without actually saying you think things are too warm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 -PNA/+EPO -- have fun with that. It's going to be rain. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 17 minutes ago, Amped said: That always works out. I daresay this is one of the few cases where it actually could. Still a ways to go, of course...but this would be the scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 I will believe the strat warming event when I see it. We were supposed to have the PV decimated 2 weeks ago. They never seem to pan out for some reason. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 eps is being kinda slow rn but eps control looks way better 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 eps more amped and a bit slower at hour 90 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Headed in a positive direction tonight, cue up @stormtracker in 2 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Just now, Solution Man said: Headed in a positive direction tonight, cue up @stormtracker in 2 hours 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 25 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Tell me you think things are too warm without actually saying you think things are too warm No I just think there is too much molecular friction in the air. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 eps! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 euro control for shits and giggles 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Just now, AtlanticWx said: euro control for shits and giggles Is it done at that point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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