Weather Will Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 WB 12Z GEFS. Show about a 10 percent chance of snow NW next weekend. 90% none. it is what it is….will watch it over the next few days and see if it becomes more optimistic. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 Pitiful set of model runs! The winter will be over soon! This winter is like pouring lemon juice on an open wound! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2023 Author Share Posted February 4, 2023 Where is the euro storm?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 6 minutes ago, Ji said: Where is the euro storm? . Try again in another 10 days… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 Looks like the Euro took the northern route this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 16 minutes ago, Ji said: Where is the euro storm? . What the 12Z is showing is meteorologically impossible. There is a low pressure in SW Illinois for 3 days. That can't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 WB 12Z EPS, about 8 percent chance for next weekend.. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 1 hour ago, midatlanticweather said: Pitiful set of model runs! The winter will be over soon! This winter is like pouring lemon juice on an open wound! If this winter got any worse it would be like getting embalmed with Fluoroantimonic acid! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 Taking this from my Philly forum. GFS showing some stratospheric help. Smarch upcoming? 3 weeks from the 12/13th would put us around the end of first week of March for normal effect range. . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 I think folks should step away from the computer for 5 days and get little vitamin D for their soul and regroup for the final stretch of misery 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 2 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: I think folks should step away from the computer for 5 days and get little vitamin D for their soul and regroup for the final stretch of misery People should step away until December then regroup. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 The disrupted Strat PV Hail Mary!! for March. Then it would need to couple to the troposphere and result in a significant -AO to be useful. Running out of time. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 26 minutes ago, Heisy said: Taking this from my Philly forum. GFS showing some stratospheric help. Smarch upcoming? 3 weeks from the 12/13th would put us around the end of first week of March for normal effect range. . Just in time to ruin the start of actual spring? Sure. That tracks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 I thought that from 1-2 weeks ago, the first 1/2 to 2/3 of Feb looked like crap based on pretty good ensemble and teleconnections agreement. That looks to be playing out despite a couple of phantom storm runs by Op models. I’ll leave it to CAPE to find the light at the end of the tunnel for later Feb/March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 55 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It's Happening!!! 100% correct there will be no fail for that look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 The pattern will shift in late February or March. Will it be in time for the coastal plain like D.C. or will it only sweeten the higher elevations out west. I have received many April snowfalls of 1 - 8 inches in the past 60 years. Is this the year for 8 inches on April 7 like 1971 or will we measure the winter on Easter Sunday, April 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 15 minutes ago, stormy said: The pattern will shift in late February or March. Will it be in time for the coastal plain like D.C. or will it only sweeten the higher elevations out west. I have received many April snowfalls of 1 - 8 inches in the past 60 years. Is this the year for 8 inches on April 7 like 1971 or will we measure the winter on Easter Sunday, April 9. Yes one or two decent march events that we get screwed in. Same script as 2017 and 2018. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 Thank you. But I will need to politely decline the offer of a strat event at this moment in time. Yours truly, 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 Can’t make this shit up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 This winter continues to remind me of ‘19/20. It’s just too mild and we have blocking, alright…in the southeast. It’s gonna be a spicy summer if that type of pattern continues…though the t-storms could be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 1 hour ago, North Balti Zen said: Just in time to ruin the start of actual spring? Sure. That tracks. So what maybe we get another late March snow like 2018 and oh no if we have to wait an extra few weeks to get our 6 months of guaranteed warm weather. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 4 hours ago, stormtracker said: My pbp slays Storms Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 47 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Can’t make this shit up The GFS can 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 1 hour ago, 87storms said: This winter continues to remind me of ‘19/20. It’s just too mild and we have blocking, alright…in the southeast. It’s gonna be a spicy summer if that type of pattern continues…though the t-storms could be fun. Developing El Nino summers are typically crappy in the east. Usually increased TSTM activity which can be interesting but generally below normal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted February 5, 2023 Share Posted February 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: So what maybe we get another late March snow like 2018 and oh no if we have to wait an extra few weeks to get our 6 months of guaranteed warm weather. We're down to two seasons in the DMV... 5 months of November, 7 months of summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 5, 2023 Share Posted February 5, 2023 GFS 18z run at H5 for 2/12 looks less positively tilted. Maybe something to watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 5, 2023 Share Posted February 5, 2023 So the big question is will "Late February still be rocking"? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2023 Author Share Posted February 5, 2023 GFS 18z run at H5 for 2/12 looks less positively tilted. Maybe something to watch.You mean gets?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 5, 2023 Share Posted February 5, 2023 I’m about mostly checked out, but it’s a shame that this isn’t 400 miles further west. Where’s the west trend when we needed it? 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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