Heisy Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Nice change on 18z GEFS long range. Looks like PV diving SE with split flow out west. .Didn’t really turn out that way post 270 hours as I thought it was. Still, not a completely horrible look. Site won’t let me post photos for some reason . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Oh FFS. I was somewhat excited about mid Feb this morning, come home from work and look at the model runs and Feb is already over. This winter and this hobby suck ass. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 3 hours ago, BlizzardNole said: Found this while cleaning out the garage. Should I keep it, you know, just in case? You just have to have realistic expectations friend 2 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 -PNA is going to continue getting cut and sliced up on the LR (long range). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 41 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: You just have to have realistic expectations friend Do you use that just to measure snow?. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 44 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: -PNA is going to continue getting cut and sliced up on the LR (long range). What leads you to believe this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 3, 2023 Author Share Posted February 3, 2023 Oh FFS. I was somewhat excited about mid Feb this morning, come home from work and look at the model runs and Feb is already over. This winter and this hobby suck ass. Who told you to get excited lol. When is Snyder selling the redskins?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 17 minutes ago, Ji said: Who told you to get excited lol. When is Snyder selling the redskins? . Mid Atlantic Weather fans and Redskin fans go hand in hand. Failure is imminent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 1 hour ago, ravensrule said: Do you use that just to measure snow?. I measure all kinds of things with it. Makes me feel good. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 5 hours ago, BlizzardNole said: Found this while cleaning out the garage. Should I keep it, you know, just in case? Save it as a souvenir in remembrance of when it really Snowed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 GFS trying to reel us back in @ 234 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Region wide warning level snowfall 234-252 this time. Probably nothing next run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 4 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Region wide warning level snowfall 234-252 this time. Probably It will be nothing next run 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Gefs has some limited support. Super long shot but at least there are a few members hinting maybe. Last few op runs that teased I didn’t even bother to say anything because there was absolutely no support. It’s still the weakest of signals and probably gone tomorrow but I figured I’d mention it. If we ever are gonna get lucky it has to start somewhere. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 3, 2023 Author Share Posted February 3, 2023 Gefs has some limited support. Super long shot but at least there are a few members hinting maybe. Last few op runs that teased I didn’t even bother to say anything because there was absolutely no support. It’s still the weakest of signals and probably gone tomorrow but I figured I’d mention it. If we ever are gonna get lucky it has to start somewhere. Euro got close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Out beyond the Feb 11-14 window, the GEFS gives renewed hope in the LR with an elongated/displaced TPV and flattening of the SER. Also some evidence of lower heights near the 50/50 region. Still have some issues in the PAC but it's not a shit the blinds look and may offer continued chances thru the 3rd week of Feb at the very least. CFS continues that same general idea thru early March: 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 3 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Out beyond the Feb 11-14 window, the GEFS gives renewed hope in the LR with an elongated/displaced TPV and flattening of the SER. Also some evidence of lower heights near the 50/50 region. Still have some issues in the PAC but it's not a shit the blinds look and may offer continued chances thru the 3rd week of Feb at the very least. CFS continues that same general idea thru early March: PD III, lets go! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 7 hours ago, Solution Man said: Region wide warning level snowfall 234-252 this time. Probably nothing next run You were right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 3 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Out beyond the Feb 11-14 window, the GEFS gives renewed hope in the LR with an elongated/displaced TPV and flattening of the SER. Also some evidence of lower heights near the 50/50 region. Still have some issues in the PAC but it's not a shit the blinds look and may offer continued chances thru the 3rd week of Feb at the very least. CFS continues that same general idea thru early March: On 2/2/2023 at 4:17 AM, CAPE said: The latest Ens means in the long range are hinting at an improving pattern beyond mid month, with the AO and NAO trending toward negative and with the TPV back over N Hudson Bay. This look suggests some colder air intrusions would be possible for central and eastern US, as NS disturbances are directed southward in the flow between the EPO ridge and the TPV. A more -NAO might help facilitate getting colder air further southeast/ flattening the ridge along the east coast, somewhat mitigating the -PNA. Always a battle. We really need that ridge south of the Aleutians to not be the predominant feature. Some weakening and a slight shift eastward would improve our prospects. On 2/2/2023 at 5:06 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: If that's an improving pattern I would really hate to see what a worsening pattern would look like. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Where was this in January? Maybe this can increase chances for that big mid March event... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 30 minutes ago, CAPE said: Bro, you said no negativity....just keeping with the good vibes. We probably need intervention....big group hug Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Bro, you said no negativity....just keeping with the good vibes. We probably need intervention....big group hug lol just messing with ya. There is some hope on the means for a better h5 look beyond mid month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Wildwood 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 4 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Out beyond the Feb 11-14 window, the GEFS gives renewed hope in the LR with an elongated/displaced TPV and flattening of the SER. Also some evidence of lower heights near the 50/50 region. Still have some issues in the PAC but it's not a shit the blinds look and may offer continued chances thru the 3rd week of Feb at the very least. CFS continues that same general idea thru early March: Sliced avocadoes as opposed to a whole one dumping into the US...a little better look! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 11 hours ago, Ji said: Who told you to get excited lol. When is Snyder selling the redskins? . Who are the "Redskins"?? They've now gone "Commander"!! 11 hours ago, clskinsfan said: Mid Atlantic Weather fans and Redskin fans go hand in hand. Failure is imminent. Ha! Well, try being from Cleveland and enduring a litany of sports failure and agony! (Other than the NBA championship in 2016 of course)!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 JB2 doesn’t believe what THEY want to tell you about the February torch! #FITF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 34 minutes ago, CAPE said: lol just messing with ya. There is some hope on the means for a better h5 look beyond mid month. I was being facetious/sarcastic no worries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 15 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: JB2 doesn’t believe what THEY want to tell you about the February torch! #FITF Eventually we will get snow and the clowns who are constantly hyping every day 15 threat will claim victory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Eventually we will get snow and the clowns who are constantly hyping every day 15 threat will claim victory. Kinda like us watching the long range ensembles every time they’ve looked good this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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