H2O Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 23 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: I may have looked at the latest RAP...(desperate times). Looks like it gets about 0.08" into DC...but temps are so marginal..maybe I can get a shrub topper Trash can lid pics are my hopes and dreams 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 37 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: This is 100% true but it won't stop me from analyzing every 15m interval on the HRRR. Don't look now but the 20z is substantially jucier into VA. 20z 19z Good rule of thumb for DC is precip advancing from w-sw must make it into at least central KY and then it doesn’t get shunted south here. it looks like it’s trying to do that but not emphatically 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Why is everyone posting 10:1 maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Surprised about that last GFS run....Wonder if this is a sick joke and we get a late Charlie Brown'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 minute ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Why is everyone posting 10:1 maps? Because we can Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 minute ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Why is everyone posting 10:1 maps? Because there aren't any 5:1? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 minute ago, Baltimorewx said: Surprised about that last GFS run....Wonder if this is a sick joke and we get a late Charlie Brown'd Yes and yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 3 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Why is everyone posting 10:1 maps? We want to be conservative 2 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 lol what a thing to moan about when we talking an inch of snow as the upside. 3 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Nowcast / obs mode: drizzle, 37 in ashburn. Temps were slowly dropping throughout the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 36 in Haymarket, shitty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 19 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Why is everyone posting 10:1 maps? bc the ratio of this event is very close to 10:1 if not higher 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 drizzle and 37.1/35 not enough angle of the dark to help 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 36 and heavy mist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2023 Author Share Posted January 31, 2023 57 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: I may have looked at the latest RAP...(desperate times). Looks like it gets about 0.08" into DC...but temps are so marginal..maybe I can get a shrub topper latest RAP is much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 28 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Why is everyone posting 10:1 maps? Thanks for bringing this thread back to where the focus should be. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 37 and clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 is it me or is HRRR overdoing moisture rn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 minute ago, AtlanticWx said: is it me or is HRRR overdoing moisture rn? Pretty damn good to my eyes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 36° and misting NW of Staunton I have been watching this minor threat like a hawk for days now because even when it wasn’t showing anything for most of the subforum, the models kept keying on Augusta County for a mini jack. Super glad to see the Euro and NAMs jump aboard today and the trend towards a norther and more expansive precip field so that the majority of the sub hopefully sees at least some snow. We got this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Unless it’s an error that 23 dewpoint at Hagerstown is very interesting ?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Just now, Solution Man said: Pretty damn good to my eyes there's like no precip in NW arkansas rn while it said there would be mod ZR, the system's probably just faster than modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Agreed. It’s nearly identical. If anything, MAYBE a smidge more moisture than the radar shows but barely. Last run was also very close, but had a TINY bit less moisture than the radar was indicating. Perhaps a difference of virga? Not sure. But I’d call it pretty spot on overall. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Pretty damn good to my eyesIt’s also showing hour 0.5 on HRRR versus the current radar. 30 min difference, so the systems a bit further east on the HRRR? Not on that though . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Unless it’s an error that 23 dewpoint at Hagerstown is very interesting ??DP is 26 IMBY currently, so I’d say that’s probably accurate. Current obs: 36/26 with 70% humidity 30.20 inHg pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, jayyy said: It’s also showing hour 0.5 on HRRR versus the current radar. 30 min difference, so the systems a bit further east on the HRRR? Not on that though . Looks good for first region wide flakage 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Hoping to see some snow showers when I drive into work at 6am tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 8 minutes ago, jayyy said: It’s also showing hour 0.5 on HRRR versus the current radar. 30 min difference, so the systems a bit further east on the HRRR? Not on that though . well it was initialized at 21z and the time i posted it was at 21.50z so i had to skip to hour 0.5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 8 minutes ago, jayyy said: DP is 26 IMBY currently, so I’d say that’s probably accurate. Current obs: 36/26 with 70% humidity 30.20 inHg pressure . Anybody got the 850’s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Damn that’s the best GFS run I have seen…did we talk about that already? Sorry I was constipated 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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