Ravens94 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Show me young Jedi . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Helluva lot better than earlier today . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2023 Author Share Posted January 31, 2023 Helluva lot better than earlier today .Kinda looks like 09z - 15z was the only really off run. Regardless, good to see guidance like the HHRR (and sure, even the SREF ) pivoting back a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2023 Author Share Posted January 31, 2023 Don’t look at the NAMs or the FV3 though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 NAM just shit the blinds 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 more worried ab what the RGEM shows tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Not one quality model has ever shows us snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Maybe we get our first snow obs thread of the season out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 rgem increased totals j a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2023 Author Share Posted January 31, 2023 GFS has a more substantial system but it’s still really meh. And standards are low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 not that it matters(this is prob gonna be a nowcasting type situation) but GFS uptrended 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 NAM looks better to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Chuckled a little at this from Mount Holly this morning- That brings us to the more interesting portion of this forecast period, but still not necessarily exciting. Given we have not seen measurable snowfall in significant portions of our forecast area thus far this winter, any snow might be exciting to some. As the cold and dry airmass behind the cold front continues to sink southward tonight, a wave of low pressure will track eastward across North Carolina and eventually off the coast Wednesday morning. As a shortwave trough approaches from the west, some low and mid-level frontogenesis may be just enough to act upon some limited moisture to produce light snow across portions of the forecast area tonight, especially to the southeast of I-95. 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Chuckled a little at this from Mount Holly this morning-That brings us to the more interesting portion of this forecast period, but still not necessarily exciting. Given we have not seen measurable snowfall in significant portions of our forecast area thus far this winter, any snow might be exciting to some. As the cold and dry airmass behind the cold front continues to sink southward tonight, a wave of low pressure will track eastward across North Carolina and eventually off the coast Wednesday morning. As a shortwave trough approaches from the west, some low and mid-level frontogenesis may be just enough to act upon some limited moisture to produce light snow across portions of the forecast area tonight, especially to the southeast of I-95.It wasn't that funny 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 LOL, models this AM are terrible for 90+% of us. CAPEs area has the best shot at some snow as the wave hits the water and intensifies. Can’t even cash in on a few hours of snow. Yeesh. . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 18 minutes ago, jayyy said: LOL, models this AM are terrible for 90+% of us. CAPEs area has the best shot at some snow as the wave hits the water and intensifies. Can’t even cash in on a few hours of snow. Yeesh. . All the 6z models are trending right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 32 minutes ago, jayyy said: LOL, models this AM are terrible for 90+% of us. CAPEs area has the best shot at some snow as the wave hits the water and intensifies. Can’t even cash in on a few hours of snow. Yeesh. . we could some some brief snow/sleet showers today as temps drop and precip is still in the area. appreciate what we do get! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Is it just me or not even being able to get any ice shows how bad it is here? There just an amazing lack of cold air working east this winter. It refuses to come this way thanks to a SER that won’t budge. Mt Everest moves more than the SER 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EstorilM Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 3 hours ago, Ji said: 4 hours ago, CAPE said: Chuckled a little at this from Mount Holly this morning-That brings us to the more interesting portion of this forecast period, but still not necessarily exciting. Given we have not seen measurable snowfall in significant portions of our forecast area thus far this winter, any snow might be exciting to some. As the cold and dry airmass behind the cold front continues to sink southward tonight, a wave of low pressure will track eastward across North Carolina and eventually off the coast Wednesday morning. As a shortwave trough approaches from the west, some low and mid-level frontogenesis may be just enough to act upon some limited moisture to produce light snow across portions of the forecast area tonight, especially to the southeast of I-95. It wasn't that funny It's kinda entertaining when the forecasters at NWS occasionally remind us that they aren't robots lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Im throwing this here since its all associated with the fropa and system sleet. its sleeting. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Little sleet and light rain were mixed briefly here. Seems the precip is going to cut off. I mean like a sleet pellet every 10 to 20 seconds.. nothing exciting at all! 37 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 22 minutes ago, mappy said: Im throwing this here since its all associated with the fropa and system sleet. its sleeting. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 22 minutes ago, mappy said: Im throwing this here since its all associated with the fropa and system sleet. its sleeting. Cool. You can borrow my broom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 4 minutes ago, J.Mike said: Cool. You can borrow my broom. I will let you have the sleet instead. dumbest precip type ever. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 5 minutes ago, J.Mike said: Cool. You can borrow my broom. But then how will you fly back home? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 hour ago, H2O said: Is it just me or not even being able to get any ice shows how bad it is here? There just an amazing lack of cold air working east this winter. It refuses to come this way thanks to a SER that won’t budge. Mt Everest moves more than the SER You're not imagining it. It's been going on for a while now. No its not all the time every pattern every synoptic event. But in addition to there not being as prolific a frozen precip shield associated with mid latitude storms recently I've also noticed that south of 40* there is less ice between the rain/snow, if there is any snow at all that is. It seems like it used to be way more common to have the traditional Snow-sleet-freezing rain-rain transition zones and recently its just rain or wet snow south of 40* and east of the Mississippi unless at elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: You're not imagining it. It's been going on for a while now. No its not all the time every pattern every synoptic event. But in addition to there not being as prolific a frozen precip shield associated with mid latitude storms recently I've also noticed that south of 40* there is less ice between the rain/snow, if there is any snow at all that is. It seems like it used to be way more common to have the traditional Snow-sleet-freezing rain-rain transition zones and recently its just rain or wet snow south of 40* and east of the Mississippi unless at elevation. Translation: we suck at frozen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 opens radar: wooo under yellows! looks outside: sleet. pouring sleet. with the occasional mangled snowflake 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 21 minutes ago, mappy said: opens radar: wooo under yellows! looks outside: sleet. pouring sleet. with the occasional mangled snowflake If nothing else some ice cover should help keep your ground temps down if anything comes from the "main event" later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2023 Author Share Posted January 31, 2023 12z ICON took a big jump north #dustingwatch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now