78Blizzard Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 0z GFS already backing away from the cold. BOS and many areas stay above 0F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 7 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: 0z GFS already backing away from the cold. BOS and many areas stay above 0F. Most models have been pretty bullish on the cold so I think everybody, away from the RI/CT coast and Cape Cod, sees zero or below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 That sfc high crests right over NNE Sat night. Those rad spots will get damn cold. But yeah, it backed off quite a bit this run for SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Euro isn’t backing off at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Should be fun in Quebec this weekend for the winter carnival, if I ever go I'd like to hit a cold snap like we're going to have. A friend of mine went one year with below zero weather, he said they wore ski pants while outside.Yup. I forget the year it was when I went up there. It was below zero every day. Bundle up and it was fine. Drink plenty of caribou. I remember watching the car temp drop as we heard north. Gassing up at the border at -27 was definitely an education. Swimming at the hotel's outdoor heated pool was fun at -15. Hair would freeze if above water for more than 2 minutes. Thought I had a pic, but this is the best I could find...Sent from my SM-A505U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 3 hours ago, weathafella said: Euro isn’t backing off at all. It backed off quite a bit actually with the southern extent. Not nearly as cold as 12z for CT. In line with Gfs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Euro was a little warmer. GFS warmer again. Let’s keep trending this to run of the mill. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro was a little warmer. GFS warmer again. Let’s keep trending this to run of the mill. Good. Unfortunately it’s probably a difference of -8 vs -5 lol. But yeah warm it up Chris. I’m all set with this crap and bare ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 My gut is that Fri night cold is being overplayed (wind chills will still be brutal, talking strictly air temp). CAA mixing should keep things from challenging records. Sat seems to be trending a bit colder as the core of the cold is delayed by a few hours. MEX is now single digits at PWM for a high, which hasn't been done in 5 years. Then Sat night I think has the potential to be the coldest for some places. High hasn't totally left town yet and that inversion is going to allow temps to drop from a pretty low launching pad as is. Might be -20 at HIE/BML before midnight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 7 hours ago, 78Blizzard said: 0z GFS already backing away from the cold. BOS and many areas stay above 0F. 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: It backed off quite a bit actually with the southern extent. Not nearly as cold as 12z for CT. In line with Gfs now. I’m stunned by this. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m stunned by this. It’s coming regardless. You’re talking a few degrees. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 9 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I remember it being the first time I ever saw schools in SNE being closed due to cold. I know it had happened way back in the day but never that I had seen I was in 7th grade. I remember having no school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 My face will take more 5 minutes more to freeze off my face. What a tremendous failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 32 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m stunned by this. Lol I mean . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Lol I mean . Probably take those up a few. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: It backed off quite a bit actually with the southern extent. Not nearly as cold as 12z for CT. In line with Gfs now. Worlds apart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Lol I mean . Add 10 degrees to this by go time 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol I mean . A lot of posting going on without looking at guidance. I won't name names. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Probably take those up a few. Yea but no where in line with the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Add 10 degrees to this by go time Based on? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Based on? Climo, past experience, etc etc. maybe 10 is too much, but definitely 6-8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Climo, past experience, etc etc. maybe 10 is too much, but definitely 6-8 Well I have no idea what climo would have to do with it. GFS is by far the warmest model of any medium range model. Maybe it's on to something but GFS thermals can be suspect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Well I have no idea what climo would have to do with it. GFS is by far the warmest model of any medium range model. Maybe it's on to something but GFS thermals can be suspect. Not clear what role "etc etc" plays either. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Or, and I know this can be shocking, it kind of went towards the ensembles? Those didn’t change much overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Or, and I know this can be shocking, it kind of went towards the ensembles? Those didn’t change much overnight. EPS has -9 ORH -7 TAN -8 SWeymouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Just now, Ginx snewx said: EPS has -9 ORH -7 TAN -8 SWeymouth Yeah I mean getting near 480 thicknesses on an op run versus 490 on an ensemble… It’s really kind of silly to claim failure. We’ll see what guidance does today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah I mean getting near 480 thicknesses on an op run versus 490 on an ensemble… It’s really kind of silly to claim failure. We’ll see what guidance does today. Damn 480 might be the lowest I have ever seen. Too bad it modified to a toasty 490 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Looking forward to verification. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 12 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Looking forward to verification. I’m looking forward to 12z . Maybe Play the seasonal trend of cold under performing . People will whine as they don’t like anything negative to be said about the winter events they wait 3 seasons for . We know it’s gonna be cold . The thread is to talk about numbers , wind chills, effects trends , Etc. it would make a difference regarding weather with respect to records being broke or not . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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